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Reliably assessing model confidence in deep learning and predicting errors likely to be made are key elements in providing safety for model deployment, in particular for applications with dire consequences. In this paper, it is first shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-21 Theodoros Tsiligkaridis

Deep neural networks are powerful tools to detect hidden patterns in data and leverage them to make predictions, but they are not designed to understand uncertainty and estimate reliable probabilities. In particular, they tend to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-10 Bat-Sheva Einbinder , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Yanfei Zhou

Recent success in Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) methods has shown that policy optimization with respect to an off-policy distribution via importance sampling is effective for sample reuse. In this paper, we show that the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Zichuan Lin , Xiapeng Wu , Mingfei Sun , Deheng Ye , Qiang Fu , Wei Yang , Wei Liu

A change points detection aims to catch an abrupt disorder in data distribution. Common approaches assume that there are only two fixed distributions for data: one before and another after a change point. Real-world data are richer than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-18 Alexander Stepikin , Evgenia Romanenkova , Alexey Zaytsev

Deterministic neural nets have been shown to learn effective predictors on a wide range of machine learning problems. However, as the standard approach is to train the network to minimize a prediction loss, the resultant model remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-02 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Melih Kandemir

To obtain uncertainty estimates with real-world Bayesian deep learning models, practical inference approximations are needed. Dropout variational inference (VI) for example has been used for machine vision and medical applications, but VI…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-09 Yingzhen Li , Yarin Gal

Reliable uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks is very crucial in safety-critical applications such as automated driving for trustworthy and informed decision-making. Assessing the quality of uncertainty estimates is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Neslihan Kose , Ranganath Krishnan , Akash Dhamasia , Omesh Tickoo , Michael Paulitsch

Deep neural network training spends most of the computation on examples that are properly handled, and could be ignored. We propose to mitigate this phenomenon with a principled importance sampling scheme that focuses computation on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Angelos Katharopoulos , François Fleuret

We evaluate two different methods for the integration of prediction uncertainty into diagnostic image classifiers to increase patient safety in deep learning. In the first method, Monte Carlo sampling is applied with dropout at test time to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-05 Max-Heinrich Laves , Sontje Ihler , Tobias Ortmaier

In learning with noisy labels, the sample selection approach is very popular, which regards small-loss data as correctly labeled during training. However, losses are generated on-the-fly based on the model being trained with noisy labels,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Xiaobo Xia , Tongliang Liu , Bo Han , Mingming Gong , Jun Yu , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama

Neural networks are ubiquitous in many tasks, but trusting their predictions is an open issue. Uncertainty quantification is required for many applications, and disentangled aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties are best. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-21 Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Daniel Saromo

This study demonstrates that double descent can be mitigated by adding a dropout layer adjacent to the fully connected linear layer. The unexpected double-descent phenomenon garnered substantial attention in recent years, resulting in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Tian-Le Yang , Joe Suzuki

While the use of deep learning in drug discovery is gaining increasing attention, the lack of methods to compute reliable errors in prediction for Neural Networks prevents their application to guide decision making in domains where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Isidro Cortes-Ciriano , Andreas Bender

Obtaining reliable and accurate quantification of uncertainty estimates from deep neural networks is important in safety-critical applications. A well-calibrated model should be accurate when it is certain about its prediction and indicate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Ranganath Krishnan , Omesh Tickoo

Measuring uncertainties in the output of a deep learning method is useful in several ways, such as in assisting with interpretation of the outputs, helping build confidence with end users, and for improving the training and performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Luke Whitbread , Mark Jenkinson

Deep learning has achieved impressive performance on many tasks in recent years. However, it has been found that it is still not enough for deep neural networks to provide only point estimates. For high-risk tasks, we need to assess the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Yuandu Lai , Yucheng Shi , Yahong Han , Yunfeng Shao , Meiyu Qi , Bingshuai Li

Deep neural networks are increasingly being used for the analysis of medical images. However, most works neglect the uncertainty in the model's prediction. We propose an uncertainty-aware deep kernel learning model which permits the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Zhiliang Wu , Yinchong Yang , Jindong Gu , Volker Tresp

Uncertainty quantification is essential for robotic perception, as overconfident or point estimators can lead to collisions and damages to the environment and the robot. In this paper, we evaluate scalable approaches to uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Javier Rodríguez-Puigvert , Rubén Martínez-Cantín , Javier Civera

Given data with label noise (i.e., incorrect data), deep neural networks would gradually memorize the label noise and impair model performance. To relieve this issue, curriculum learning is proposed to improve model performance and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Tingting Wu , Xiao Ding , Hao Zhang , Jinglong Gao , Li Du , Bing Qin , Ting Liu

To improve the uncertainty quantification of variance networks, we propose a novel tree-structured local neural network model that partitions the feature space into multiple regions based on uncertainty heterogeneity. A tree is built upon…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Wenxuan Ma , Xing Yan , Kun Zhang
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