Related papers: Functional Limit Theorems for Non-Markovian Epidem…
We present limit theorems for a sequence of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) taking values in a separable Hilbert space. This class of processes provides a rigorous framework for stochastic spatial models in which discrete…
We adapt the article of Forien, Pang, Pardoux and Zotsa: Arxiv preprint Arxiv2210.04667(2022), on epidemic models with varying infectivity and waning immunity, to incorporate the memory of the last infection. To this end, we introduce a…
Confidence intervals based on the central limit theorem (CLT) are a cornerstone of classical statistics. Despite being only asymptotically valid, they are ubiquitous because they permit statistical inference under weak assumptions and can…
We characterize the convergence in distribution to a standard normal law for a sequence of multiple stochastic integrals of a fixed order with variance converging to 1. Some applications are given, in particular to study the limiting…
In general, the rates of infection and removal (whether through recovery or death) are nonlinear functions of the number of infected and susceptible individuals. One of the simplest models for the spread of infectious diseases is the SIR…
The global existence and boundedness of solutions to quasi-linear reaction-diffusion systems are investigated. The system arises from compartmental models describing the spread of infectious diseases proposed in [Viguerie et al, Appl. Math.…
We prove a functional central limit theorem for integrals $\int_W f(X(t))\, dt$, where $(X(t))_{t\in\mathbb{R}^d}$ is a stationary mixing random field and the stochastic process is indexed by the function $f$, as the integration domain $W$…
We develop a new methodology for the efficient computation of epidemic final size distributions for a broad class of Markovian models. We exploit a particular representation of the stochastic epidemic process to derive a method which is…
We consider the adjacency matrix $A$ of a large random graph and study fluctuations of the function $f_n(z,u)=\frac{1}{n}\sum_{k=1}^n\exp\{-uG_{kk}(z)\}$ with $G(z)=(z-iA)^{-1}$. We prove that the moments of fluctuations normalized by…
In this paper, we establish some functional central limit theorems for a large class of general supercritical superprocesses with spatially dependent branching mechanisms satisfying a second moment condition. In the particular case when the…
We present a multivariate central limit theorem for a general class of interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms used to solve nonlinear measure-valued equations. These algorithms generate stochastic processes which belong to the…
In this work, we establish a Trotter-Kato type theorem. More precisely, we characterize the convergence in distribution of Feller processes by examining the convergence of their generators. The main novelty lies in providing quantitative…
Ordinary differential equations obtained as limits of Markov processes appear in many settings. They may arise by scaling large systems, or by averaging rapidly fluctuating systems, or in systems involving multiple time-scales, by a…
We establish a central limit theorem (CLT) for families of products of $\epsilon$-independent random variables. We utilize graphon limits to encode the evolution of independence and characterize the limiting distribution. Our framework…
Targeting influential nodes in complex networks allows fastening or hindering rumors, epidemics, and electric blackouts. Since communities are prevalent in real-world networks, community-aware centrality measures exploit this information to…
Consider an epidemic model with a constant flux of susceptibles, in a situation where the corresponding deterministic epidemic model has a unique stable endemic equilibrium. For the associated stochastic model, whose law of large numbers…
We study fast-slow versions of the SIR, SIRS, and SIRWS epidemiological models. The multiple time scale behavior is introduced to account for large differences between some of the rates of the epidemiological pathways. Our main purpose is…
We consider the Fluctuation Dissipation Theorem (FDT) of statistical physics from a mathematical perspective. We formalize the concept of "linear response function" in the general framework of Markov processes. We show that for processes…
In this paper, under the assumption that the dimension is much larger than the sample size, i.e., $p \asymp n^{\alpha}, \alpha>1,$ we consider the (unnormalized) sample covariance matrices $Q = \Sigma^{1/2} XX^*\Sigma^{1/2}$, where…
In this paper, we utilize the framework of Markov processes to attain a more probabilistic perspective on the theory of transfer operators. In doing so, we establish a functional central limit theorem (FLCT) for an $O(N)$ model associated…