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Improving Importance Sampling estimators for rare event probabilities requires sharp approx- imations of the optimal density leading to a nearly zero-variance estimator. This paper presents a new way to handle the estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-15 Virgile Caron

Under $\mathrm{ZF}$, we show that the statement that every subset of every $\mathbb{R}$-vector space has a maximal convex subset is equivalent to the Axiom of Choice. We also study the strength of the same statement restricted to some…

Logic · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Yasuo Yoshinobu

We consider a vertex reinforced random walk on the integer lattice with sub-linear reinforcement. Under some assumptions on the regular variation of the weight function, we characterize whether the walk gets stuck on a finite interval. When…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-18 Anne-Laure Basdevant , Bruno Schapira , Arvind Singh

The Airy line ensemble is a random collection of continuous ordered paths that plays an important role within random matrix theory and the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang universality class. The aim of this paper is to prove a universality property of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Denis Denisov , Will FitzGerald , Vitali Wachtel

We prove an analogue of the classical ballot theorem that holds for any random walk in the range of attraction of the normal distribution. Our result is best possible: we exhibit examples demonstrating that if any of our hypotheses are…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-28 L. Addario-Berry , B. A. Reed

We consider a system of independent one-dimensional random walks in a common random environment under the condition that the random walks are transient with positive speed $v_P$. We give upper bounds on the quenched probability that at…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Jonathon Peterson

A measure on a locally compact group is called spread out if one of its convolution powers is not singular with respect to Haar measure. Using Markov chain theory, we conduct a detailed analysis of random walks on homogeneous spaces with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Roland Prohaska

Consider a critical nearest neighbor branching random walk on the $d$-dimensional integer lattice initiated by a single particle at the origin. Let $G_{n}$ be the event that the branching random walk survives to generation $n$. We obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-08 Steven Lalley , Xinghua Zheng

Central limit theorems for random walks in quenched random environments have attracted plenty of attention in the past years. More recently still, finer local limit theorems -- yielding a Gaussian density multiplied by a highly oscillatory…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-07 Mikko Stenlund

In this paper we construct uniformly expanding random walks on smooth manifolds. In higher dimensions, our definition of uniform expansion measures the growth of subspaces rather than single vectors. Potrie showed that given any open set…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Rosemary Elliott Smith

We consider the simple random walk on the infinite cluster of a general class of percolation models on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d\geq 3$, including Bernoulli percolation as well as models with strong, algebraically decaying correlations. For almost…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Alberto Chiarini , Zhizhou Liu , Maximilian Nitzschner

We study the occupation measure of various sets for a symmetric transient random walk in $Z^d$ with finite variances. Let $\mu^X_n(A)$ denote the occupation time of the set $A$ up to time $n$. It is shown that $\sup_{x\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Endre Csáki , Antónia Földes , Pál Révész , Jay Rosen , Zhan Shi

Consider uniformly elliptic random walk on $\bbZ^d$ with independent jump rates across nearest neighbour bonds of the lattice. We show that the infinite volume effective diffusion matrix can be almost surely recovered as the limit of finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Pietro Caputo , Dima Ioffe

We consider a branching random walk on $\mathbb{R}$ with a stationary and ergodic environment $\xi=(\xi_n)$ indexed by time $n\in\mathbb{N}$. Let $Z_n$ be the counting measure of particles of generation $n$. For the case where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-30 Chunmao Huang , Quansheng Liu

We study, in d-dimensions, the random walker with geometrically shrinking step sizes at each hop. We emphasize the integrated quantities such as expectation values, cumulants and moments rather than a direct study of the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Tonguc Rador

We consider the approximation of the equilibrium of a metapopulation model, in which a finite number of patches are randomly distributed over a bounded subset $\Omega$ of Euclidean space. The approximation is good when a large number of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-09 A. D. Barbour , R. McVinish , P. K. Pollett

As an extension of Polya's classical result on random walks on the square grids ($\Z^d$), we consider a random walk where the steps, while still have unit length, point to different directions. We show that in dimensions at least 4, the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Simão Herdade , Van Vu

For compact subsets $E$ of the unit disk $ \mathbb{D}$ we study the capacity of the condenser ${\rm cap}( \mathbb{D},E)$ by means of set functionals defined in terms of hyperbolic geometry. In particular, we study experimentally the case of…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2021-02-15 Mohamed M. S. Nasser , Matti Vuorinen

Many real phenomena may be modelled as locally finite unions of $d$-dimensional time dependent random closed sets in $\mathbb{R}^d$, described by birth-and-growth stochastic processes, so that their mean volume and surface densities, as…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-06 Elena Villa

We study branching random walks in random i.i.d. environment in $\Z^d, d \geq 1$. For this model, the population size cannot decrease, and a natural definition of recurrence is introduced. We prove a dichotomy for recurrence/transience,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Francis Comets , Serguei Popov
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