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Adaptive time series forecasting is essential for prediction under regime changes. Several classical methods assume linear Gaussian state space model (LGSSM) with variances constant in time. However, there are many real-world processes that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-23 Baptiste Abélès , Joseph de Vilmarest , Olivier Wintemberger

Medical time series analysis is challenging due to data sparsity, noise, and highly variable recording lengths. Prior work has shown that stochastic sparse sampling effectively handles variable-length signals, while retrieval-augmented…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Aydin Javadov , Samir Garibov , Tobias Hoesli , Qiyang Sun , Florian von Wangenheim , Joseph Ollier , Björn W. Schuller

Diagnosis and prediction in some domains, like medical and industrial diagnosis, require a representation that combines uncertainty management and temporal reasoning. Based on the fact that in many cases there are few state changes in the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Gustavo Arroyo-Figueroa , Luis Enrique Sucar

Processing temporal sequences is central to a variety of applications in health care, and in particular multi-channel Electrocardiogram (ECG) is a highly prevalent diagnostic modality that relies on robust sequence modeling. While Recurrent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-17 Deepta Rajan , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan

Planning with generative models has emerged as an effective decision-making paradigm across a wide range of domains, including reinforcement learning and autonomous navigation. While continuous replanning at each timestep might seem…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Pascal Jutras-Dubé , Ruqi Zhang , Aniket Bera

Clinical decision support tools built on electronic health records often experience performance drift due to temporal population shifts, particularly when changes in the clinical environment initially affect only a subset of patients,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Mengying Yan , Ziye Tian , Siqi Li , Nan Liu , Benjamin A. Goldstein , Molei Liu , Chuan Hong

Several key metrics in public health convey the probability that a primary event will lead to a more serious secondary event in the future. These "severity rates" can change over the course of an epidemic in response to shifting conditions…

Adaptive Computation Time for Recurrent Neural Networks (ACT) is one of the most promising architectures for variable computation. ACT adapts to the input sequence by being able to look at each sample more than once, and learn how many…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-03-23 Daniel Fojo , Víctor Campos , Xavier Giro-i-Nieto

Accurate prediction of application performance is critical for enabling effective scheduling and resource management in resource-constrained dynamic edge environments. However, achieving predictable performance in such environments remains…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Panagiotis Giannakopoulos , Bart van Knippenberg , Kishor Chandra Joshi , Nicola Calabretta , George Exarchakos

In the era of precision medicine, time-to-event outcomes such as time to death or progression are routinely collected, along with high-throughput covariates. These high-dimensional data defy classical survival regression models, which are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Stephen Salerno , Yi Li

The paper presents a machine learning approach to design digital interfaces that can dynamically adapt to different users and usage strategies. The algorithm uses Bayesian statistics to model users' browsing behavior, focusing on their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Eric Petit , Denis Chêne

Electronic Health Records have become popular sources of data for secondary research, but their use is hampered by the amount of effort it takes to overcome the sparsity, irregularity, and noise that they contain. Modern learning…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-28 Jacek M. Bajor , Diego A. Mesa , Travis J. Osterman , Thomas A. Lasko

This work addresses challenges in evaluating adaptive artificial intelligence (AI) models for medical devices, where iterative updates to both models and evaluation datasets complicate performance assessment. We introduce a novel approach…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Alexis Burgon , Berkman Sahiner , Nicholas A Petrick , Gene Pennello , Ravi K Samala

Medical time-series datasets have unique characteristics that make prediction tasks challenging. Most notably, patient trajectories often contain longitudinal variations in their input-output relationships, generally referred to as temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Victor D. Bourgin , Ioana Bica , Mihaela van der Schaar

A temporal point process is a mathematical model for a time series of discrete events, which covers various applications. Recently, recurrent neural network (RNN) based models have been developed for point processes and have been found…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Takahiro Omi , Naonori Ueda , Kazuyuki Aihara

Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Shun-Yao Shih , Fan-Keng Sun , Hung-yi Lee

We describe a novel neural network architecture for the prediction of ventricular tachyarrhythmias. The model receives input features that capture the change in RR intervals and ectopic beats, along with features based on heart rate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-03 Marek Rei , Joshua Oppenheimer , Marek Sirendi

Models for sequential data such as the recurrent neural network (RNN) often implicitly model a sequence as having a fixed time interval between observations and do not account for group-level effects when multiple sequences are observed. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-27 Ghazal Fazelnia , Mark Ibrahim , Ceena Modarres , Kevin Wu , John Paisley

Epidemiological forecasting from surveillance data is a hard problem and hybridizing mechanistic compartmental models with neural models is a natural direction. The mechanistic structure helps keep trajectories epidemiologically plausible,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Yiqi Su , Ray Lee , Jiaming Cui , Naren Ramakrishnan

When developing clinical prediction models, it can be challenging to balance between global models that are valid for all patients and personalized models tailored to individuals or potentially unknown subgroups. To aid such decisions, we…

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