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We study the sample variance of the matter power spectrum for the standard Lambda Cold Dark Matter universe. We use a total of 5000 cosmological N-body simulations to study in detail the distribution of best-fit cosmological parameters and…

Despite having various attractive qualities such as high prediction accuracy and the ability to quantify uncertainty and avoid over-fitting, Bayesian Matrix Factorization has not been widely adopted because of the prohibitive cost of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-11 Sungjin Ahn , Anoop Korattikara , Nathan Liu , Suju Rajan , Max Welling

We propose a geometric framework to assess sensitivity of Bayesian procedures to modeling assumptions based on the nonparametric Fisher-Rao metric. While the framework is general in spirit, the focus of this article is restricted to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-28 Sebastian Kurtek , Karthik Bharath

The problem of $H_{\infty}$ filtering for attitude estimation using rotation matrices and vector measurements is studied. Starting from a storage function on the Special Orthogonal Group $SO(3)$, a dissipation inequality is considered, and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-25 Farooq Aslam , Muhammad Farooq Haydar

Parton distribution functions (PDFs) form an essential part of particle physics calculations. Currently, the most precise predictions for these non-perturbative functions are generated through fits to global data. A problem that several PDF…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-09-04 Mengshi Yan , Tie-Jiun Hou , Zhao Li , Kirtimaan Mohan , C. -P. Yuan

In computational and applied statistics, it is of great interest to get fast and accurate calculation for the distributions of the quadratic forms of Gaussian random variables. This paper presents a novel approximation strategy that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Hong Zhang , Judong Shen , Zheyang Wu

This paper develops a new nonlinear filter, called Moment-based Kalman Filter (MKF), using the exact moment propagation method. Existing state estimation methods use linearization techniques or sampling points to compute approximate values…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Yutaka Shimizu , Ashkan Jasour , Maani Ghaffari , Shinpei Kato

This paper proposes two novel nonlinear attitude filters evolved directly on the Special Orthogonal Group SO(3) able to ensure prescribed measures of transient and steady-state performance. The tracking performance of the normalized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-24 Hashim A. Hashim , Lyndon J. Brown , Kenneth McIsaac

Gaussian variational approximation is a popular methodology to approximate posterior distributions in Bayesian inference especially in high dimensional and large data settings. To control the computational cost while being able to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Bingxin Zhou , Junbin Gao , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Richard Gerlach

This paper develops information geometric representations for nonlinear filters in continuous time. The posterior distribution associated with an abstract nonlinear filtering problem is shown to satisfy a stochastic differential equation on…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Nigel J. Newton

We propose estimating Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) that are fair with respect to sensitive nodal attributes. Many real-world models exhibit unfair discriminatory behavior due to biases in data. Such discrimination is known to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-17 Madeline Navarro , Samuel Rey , Andrei Buciulea , Antonio G. Marques , Santiago Segarra

Gradient-based attribution methods are model-faithful and scalable, but Integrated Gradients (IG) can be brittle because explanations depend on heuristic baselines, straight-line paths, discretization, and saturation. We propose Fisher--Rao…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Gabriele Martino , Sebastian Tschiatschek

Although Bayesian methods are robust and principled, their application in practice could be limited since they typically rely on computationally intensive Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms for their implementation. One possible solution…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-06 Tian Chen , Jeffrey Streets , Babak Shahbaba

In this paper, the problem of state estimation, in the context of both filtering and smoothing, for nonlinear state-space models is considered. Due to the nonlinear nature of the models, the state estimation problem is generally intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

Gaussian mixture models form a flexible and expressive parametric family of distributions that has found applications in a wide variety of applications. Unfortunately, fitting these models to data is a notoriously hard problem from a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Yuling Yan , Kaizheng Wang , Philippe Rigollet

Normalizing flows (NFs) provide a powerful tool to construct an expressive distribution by a sequence of trackable transformations of a base distribution and form a probabilistic model of underlying data. Rotation, as an important quantity…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Yulin Liu , Haoran Liu , Yingda Yin , Yang Wang , Baoquan Chen , He Wang

We introduce a novel approach to inference on parameters that take values in a Riemannian manifold embedded in a Euclidean space. Parameter spaces of this form are ubiquitous across many fields, including chemistry, physics, computer…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-12 Alexander C Murph , Jan Hannig , Jonathan P Williams

State estimation in non-linear models is performed by tracking the posterior distribution recursively. A plethora of algorithms have been proposed for this task. Among them, the Gaussian particle filter uses a weighted set of particles to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-05 Karthik Comandur , Yunpeng Li , Santosh Nannuru

Bayesian estimation is a vital tool in robotics as it allows systems to update the robot state belief using incomplete information from noisy sensors. To render the state estimation problem tractable, many systems assume that the motion and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Miguel Saavedra-Ruiz , Steven A. Parkison , Ria Arora , James Richard Forbes , Liam Paull

In this letter, we present a novel Gaussian Process Learning-based Probabilistic Optimal Power Flow (GP-POPF) for solving POPF under renewable and load uncertainties of arbitrary distribution. The proposed method relies on a non-parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-17 Parikshit Pareek , Hung D. Nguyen