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Computational fluid dynamics using the Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) remains the most cost-effective approach to study wake flows and power losses in wind farms. The underlying assumptions associated with turbulence closures are…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-03 Ali Eidi , Navid Zehtabiyan-Rezaie , Reza Ghiassi , Xiang Yang , Mahdi Abkar

Uncertainty quantification is a key pillar of trustworthy machine learning. It enables safe reactions under unsafe inputs, like predicting only when the machine learning model detects sufficient evidence, discarding anomalous data, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Michael Kirchhof

Despite a cost-effective option in practical engineering, Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes simulations are facing the ever-growing demand for more accurate turbulence models. Recently, emerging machine learning techniques are making…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-05-04 Chao Jiang

Due to the steadily increasing relevance of machine learning for practical applications, many of which are coming with safety requirements, the notion of uncertainty has received increasing attention in machine learning research in the last…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-06 Mohammad Hossein Shaker , Eyke Hüllermeier

With increasing computational demand, Neural-Network (NN) based models are being developed as pre-trained surrogates for different thermohydraulics phenomena. An area where this approach has shown promise is in developing higher-fidelity…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-13 Cody Grogan , Som Dutta , Mauricio Tano , Somayajulu L. N. Dhulipala , Izabela Gutowska

Reliable uncertainty quantification on RUL prediction is crucial for informative decision-making in predictive maintenance. In this context, we assess some of the latest developments in the field of uncertainty quantification for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Luis Basora , Arthur Viens , Manuel Arias Chao , Xavier Olive

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

Building a sustainable burn platform in inertial confinement fusion (ICF) requires an understanding of the complex coupling of physical processes and the effects that key experimental design changes have on implosion performance. While…

Uncertainty quantification is vital for decision-making and risk assessment in machine learning. Mean-variance regression models, which predict both a mean and residual noise for each data point, provide a simple approach to uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-01 Eliot Wong-Toi , Alex Boyd , Vincent Fortuin , Stephan Mandt

In the past decades, most work in the area of data analysis and machine learning was focused on optimizing predictive models and getting better results than what was possible with existing models. To what extent the metrics with which such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-06 Nicolas Dewolf

Sophisticated machine learning (ML) models to inform trading in the financial sector create problems of interpretability and risk management. Seemingly robust forecasting models may behave erroneously in out of distribution settings. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Gabriel Deza , Adelin Travers , Colin Rowat , Nicolas Papernot

Uncertainty is a key feature of any machine learning model and is particularly important in neural networks, which tend to be overconfident. This overconfidence is worrying under distribution shifts, where the model performance silently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Arthur Thuy , Dries F. Benoit

Data-driven model identification strategies can be used to obtain phenomenological models that capture the temporal evolution of observable data. While it is usually straightforward to obtain such a model from time series data, for instance…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Mohamed Akrout , Dan Wilson

Computational fluid dynamics models based on Reynolds-averaged Navier--Stokes equations with turbulence closures still play important roles in engineering design and analysis. However, the development of turbulence models has been stagnant…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-10-04 Heng Xiao , Jin-Long Wu , Sylvain Laizet , Lian Duan

This work presents a review and perspectives on recent developments in the use of machine learning (ML) to augment Reynolds-averaged Navier--Stokes (RANS) and Large Eddy Simulation (LES) models of turbulent flows. Different approaches of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-05-19 Karthik Duraisamy

In order to achieve a virtual certification process and robust designs for turbomachinery, the uncertainty bounds for Computational Fluid Dynamics have to be known. The formulation of turbulence closure models implies a major source of the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Marcel Matha , Karsten Kucharczyk , Christian Morsbach

Deep Learning is a consolidated, state-of-the-art Machine Learning tool to fit a function when provided with large data sets of examples. However, in regression tasks, the straightforward application of Deep Learning models provides a point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Mauricio Ciprian , Roberto Maestre , Jordi Vitrià

Reliable quantification of uncertainty in Mobile Laser Scanning (MLS) point clouds is essential for ensuring the accuracy and credibility of downstream applications such as 3D mapping, modeling, and change analysis. Traditional backward…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Ziyang Xu , Olaf Wysocki , Christoph Holst

In this paper, we develop a machine learning-based Bayesian approach to inversely quantify and reduce the uncertainties of the two-fluid model-based multiphase computational fluid dynamics (MCFD) for bubbly flow simulations. The proposed…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-22 Yang Liu , Dewei Wang , Xiaodong Sun , Yang Liu , Nam Dinh , Rui Hu

Floods are among the most destructive natural disasters, which are highly complex to model. The research on the advancement of flood prediction models contributed to risk reduction, policy suggestion, minimization of the loss of human life,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-10 Amir Mosavi , Pinar Ozturk , Kwok-wing Chau