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To backpropagate the gradients through stochastic binary layers, we propose the augment-REINFORCE-merge (ARM) estimator that is unbiased, exhibits low variance, and has low computational complexity. Exploiting variable augmentation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-11 Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou

Accurately reconstructing and forecasting ocean fields from sparse observations is critical for both operational and scientific purposes. Optimizing sensor placement to maximize reconstruction skill remains challenging due to evolving ocean…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-27 Oscar Chapron , Ronan Fablet , Yann Stéphan

Switching dynamical systems can model complicated time series data while maintaining interpretability by inferring a finite set of dynamics primitives and explaining different portions of the observed time series with one of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Yiliu Wang , Timothy Doyeon Kim , Eric Shea-Brown , Uygar Sümbül

Multivariate generalized Gamma convolutions are distributions defined by a convolutional semi-parametric structure. Their flexible dependence structures, the marginal possibilities and their useful convolutional expression make them…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Oskar Laverny

We propose using model reparametrization to improve variational Bayes inference for hierarchical models whose variables can be classified as global (shared across observations) or local (observation specific). Posterior dependence between…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-28 Linda S. L. Tan

We present practical Levenberg-Marquardt variants of Gauss-Newton and natural gradient methods for solving non-convex optimization problems that arise in training deep neural networks involving enormous numbers of variables and huge data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-07 Yi Ren , Donald Goldfarb

We propose a simple and general variant of the standard reparameterized gradient estimator for the variational evidence lower bound. Specifically, we remove a part of the total derivative with respect to the variational parameters that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-30 Geoffrey Roeder , Yuhuai Wu , David Duvenaud

The generalised linear model (GLM) is a very important tool for analysing real data in biology, sociology, agriculture, engineering and many other application domain where the relationship between the response and explanatory variables may…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-04 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

Distributed systems have been widely used in practice to accomplish data analysis tasks of huge scales. In this work, we target on the estimation problem of generalized linear models on a distributed system with nonrandomly distributed…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Feifei Wang , Danyang Huang , Yingqiu Zhu , Hansheng Wang

In this article, we derive Stein's method for approximating a spatial random graph by a generalised random geometric graph, which has vertices given by a finite Gibbs point process and edges based on a general connection function. Our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-06 Dominic Schuhmacher , Leoni Carla Wirth

Stochastic-gradient sampling methods are often used to perform Bayesian inference on neural networks. It has been observed that the methods in which notions of differential geometry are included tend to have better performances, with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Hanlin Yu , Marcelo Hartmann , Bernardo Williams , Arto Klami

We focus on the problem of estimating the change in the dependency structures of two $p$-dimensional Gaussian Graphical models (GGMs). Previous studies for sparse change estimation in GGMs involve expensive and difficult non-smooth…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-24 Beilun Wang , Arshdeep Sekhon , Yanjun Qi

We propose a new finite sample corrected variance estimator for the linear generalized method of moments (GMM) including the one-step, two-step, and iterated estimators. Our formula additionally corrects for the over-identification bias in…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-03 Jungbin Hwang , Byunghoon Kang , Seojeong Lee

In Bayesian Deep Learning, distributions over the output of classification neural networks are often approximated by first constructing a Gaussian distribution over the weights, then sampling from it to receive a distribution over the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Marius Hobbhahn , Agustinus Kristiadi , Philipp Hennig

Assessing the significance of alignment scores of optimally aligned DNA or amino acid sequences can be achieved via the knowledge of the score distribution of random sequences. But this requires obtaining the distribution in the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-24 Pascal Fieth , Alexander K. Hartmann

Gradient-based optimization methods are commonly used to identify local optima in high-dimensional spaces. When derivatives cannot be evaluated directly, stochastic estimators can provide approximate gradients. However, these estimators'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Philipp Andelfinger , Wentong Cai

An important question in statistical network analysis is how to estimate models of discrete and dependent network data with intractable likelihood functions, without sacrificing computational scalability and statistical guarantees. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jonathan R. Stewart , Michael Schweinberger

In this paper we are concerned with a sequence of univariate random variables with piecewise polynomial means and independent sub-Gaussian noise. The underlying polynomials are allowed to be of arbitrary but fixed degrees. All the other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-03 Yi Yu , Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Haotian Xu

Variational inference approximates the posterior distribution of a probabilistic model with a parameterized density by maximizing a lower bound for the model evidence. Modern solutions fit a flexible approximation with stochastic gradient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-13 Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Inference in discrete graphical models with variational methods is difficult because of the inability to re-parameterize gradients of the Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO). Many sampling-based methods have been proposed for estimating these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Andy Shih , Stefano Ermon