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Background: Stepped wedge cluster randomized trials (SW-CRTs) involve sequential measurements within clusters over time. Initially, all clusters start in the control condition before crossing over to the intervention on a staggered…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Jale Basten , Katja Ickstadt , Nina Timmesfeld

By informing the onset of the degradation process, health status evaluation serves as a significant preliminary step for reliable remaining useful life (RUL) estimation of complex equipment. This paper proposes a novel temporal dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Anushiya Arunan , Yan Qin , Xiaoli Li , Chau Yuen

Dynamic predictions for longitudinal and time-to-event outcomes have become a versatile tool in precision medicine. Our work is motivated by the application of dynamic predictions in the decision-making process for primary biliary…

With the availability of massive amounts of data from electronic health records and registry databases, incorporating time-varying patient information to improve risk prediction has attracted great attention. To exploit the growing amount…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-29 Yifei Sun , Sy Han Chiou , Colin O. Wu , Meghan McGarry , Chiung-Yu Huang

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) for survival outcomes has gained increasing attention, as it captures the variation in treatment efficacy across patients or subgroups in delaying disease progression. However, most existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Na Bo , Ying Ding

We present a neural network framework for learning a survival model to predict a time-to-event outcome while simultaneously learning a topic model that reveals feature relationships. In particular, we model each subject as a distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 George H. Chen , Linhong Li , Ren Zuo , Amanda Coston , Jeremy C. Weiss

The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is the best measure of individual causal effects given baseline covariates. However, the CATE only captures the (conditional) average, and can overlook risks and tail events, which are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Nathan Kallus , Miruna Oprescu

Automatically discovering personalized trajectories (i.e., sequential event patterns) from longitudinal EHR data is crucial for enabling precision medicine in clinical research, yet it remains a formidable challenge even for contemporary AI…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Jia Li , Yu Hou , Rui Zhang

Existing metrics in competing risks survival analysis such as concordance and accuracy do not evaluate a model's ability to jointly predict the event type and the event time. To address these limitations, we propose a new metric, which we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Kartik Ahuja , Mihaela van der Schaar

Dynamic prediction of future clinical outcomes based on longitudinally measured predictors plays a crucial role in disease management and patient counseling, particularly when conventional static models are inadequate. Joint modeling of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Wenhao Li , Shikun Wang , Zhe Yin , Brad C. Astor , Wei Yang , Tom H. Greene , Liang Li

Monitoring time between events (TBE) is a critical task in industrial settings. Traditional Statistical Process Monitoring (SPM) methods often assume that TBE variables follow an exponential distribution, which implies a constant failure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Hussam Ahmad , Adel Ahmadi Nadi , Mohammad Amini , Subhabrata Chakraborti

This study explores the potential for predicting turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) from more readily acquired temperature data using temperature profiles and turbulence data collected concurrently at 10 Hz during a small experimental…

Prognosis of the reactor accident is a crucial way to ensure appropriate strategies are adopted to avoid radioactive releases. However, there is very limited research in the field of nuclear industry. In this paper, we propose a method for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Chengyuan Li , Zhifang Qiu , Yugao Ma , Meifu Li

Predicting cancer-associated clinical events is challenging in oncology. In Multiple Myeloma (MM), a cancer of plasma cells, disease progression is determined by changes in biomarkers, such as serum concentration of the paraprotein secreted…

In applications such as biomedical studies, epidemiology, and social sciences, recurrent events often co-occur with longitudinal measurements and a terminal event, such as death. Therefore, jointly modeling longitudinal measurements,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-08 Zhiyue Zhang , Yao Zhao , Yanxun Xu

Patients with breast cancer tend to die from other diseases, so for studies that focus on breast cancer, a competing risks model is more appropriate. Considering subdistribution hazard ratio, which is used often, limited to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Zhiyin Yu , Zhaojin Li , Chengfeng Zhang , Yawen Hou , Derun Zhou , Zheng Chen

Ensuring the safety of vulnerable road users through accurate prediction of pedestrian crossing intention (PCI) plays a crucial role in the context of autonomous and assisted driving. Analyzing the set of observation video frames in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Hongbin Liang , Hezhe Qiao , Wei Huang , Qizhou Wang , Mingsheng Shang , Lin Chen

Trajectory forecasting in healthcare data has been an important area of research in precision care and clinical integration for computational methods. In recent years, generative AI models have demonstrated promising results in capturing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-09 Rosemary Y. He , Jeffrey N. Chiang

Estimating risks or survival probabilities conditional on individual characteristics based on censored time-to-event data is a commonly faced task. This may be for the purpose of developing a prediction model or may be part of a wider…

Sequential recommendation tasks, which aim to predict the next item a user will interact with, typically rely on models trained solely on historical data. However, in real-world scenarios, user behavior can fluctuate in the long interaction…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Zhaoqi Yang , Yanan Wang , Yong Ge
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