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Uncertainty quantification is a key pillar of trustworthy machine learning. It enables safe reactions under unsafe inputs, like predicting only when the machine learning model detects sufficient evidence, discarding anomalous data, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Michael Kirchhof

Despite the popularity of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), the problem of uncertainty quantification (UQ) of CNN has been largely overlooked. Lack of efficient UQ tools severely limits the application of CNN in certain areas, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Hongfei Du , Emre Barut , Fang Jin

Uncertainty quantification by ensemble learning is explored in terms of an application from computational optical form measurements. The application requires to solve a large-scale, nonlinear inverse problem. Ensemble learning is used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-03 Lara Hoffmann , Ines Fortmeier , Clemens Elster

In context-specific applications such as robotics, telecommunications, and healthcare, artificial intelligence systems often face the challenge of limited training data. This scarcity introduces epistemic uncertainty, i.e., reducible…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Osvaldo Simeone , Yaniv Romano

Human Activity Recognition using time-series data from wearable sensors poses unique challenges due to complex temporal dependencies, sensor noise, placement variability, and diverse human behaviors. These factors, combined with the…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Daniel Geissler , Bo Zhou , Paul Lukowicz

Neural Networks have high accuracy in solving problems where it is difficult to detect patterns or create a logical model. However, these algorithms sometimes return wrong solutions, which become problematic in high-risk domains like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Miguel N. Font , José L. Jorro-Aragoneses , Carlos M. Alaíz

Curricula for goal-conditioned reinforcement learning agents typically rely on poor estimates of the agent's epistemic uncertainty or fail to consider the agents' epistemic uncertainty altogether, resulting in poor sample efficiency. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Julian Alverio , Boris Katz , Andrei Barbu

Applications like personal assistants need to be aware ofthe user's context, e.g., where they are, what they are doing, and with whom. Context information is usually inferred from sensor data, like GPS sensors and accelerometers on the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Qiang Shen , Stefano Teso , Wanyi Zhang , Hao Xu , Fausto Giunchiglia

Uncertainty estimation bears the potential to make deep learning (DL) systems more reliable. Standard techniques for uncertainty estimation, however, come along with specific combinations of strengths and weaknesses, e.g., with respect to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Joachim Sicking , Maram Akila , Jan David Schneider , Fabian Hüger , Peter Schlicht , Tim Wirtz , Stefan Wrobel

Accurately estimating uncertainties in neural network predictions is of great importance in building trusted DNNs-based models, and there is an increasing interest in providing accurate uncertainty estimation on many tasks, such as security…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Yukun Ding , Jinglan Liu , Jinjun Xiong , Yiyu Shi

Automatic action quality assessment (AQA) has attracted increasing attention due to its wide applications. However, most existing AQA methods employ deterministic models to predict the final score for each action, while overlooking the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-06 Caixia Zhou , Yaping Huang

Adapting pre-trained deep learning models to new and unknown environments remains a major challenge in underwater acoustic localization. We show that although the performance of pre-trained models suffers from mismatch between the training…

Sound · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Dariush Kari , Hari Vishnu , Andrew C. Singer

Uncertainty quantification is a key aspect in many tasks such as model selection/regularization, or quantifying prediction uncertainties to perform active learning or OOD detection. Within credal approaches that consider modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Tuan-Anh Vu , Sébastien Destercke , Frédéric Pichon

We propose a novel framework for uncertainty quantification via information bottleneck (IB-UQ) for scientific machine learning tasks, including deep neural network (DNN) regression and neural operator learning (DeepONet). Specifically, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Ling Guo , Hao Wu , Wenwen Zhou , Yan Wang , Tao Zhou

One of the key obstacles in traditional deep learning is the reduction in model transparency caused by increasingly intricate model functions, which can lead to problems such as overfitting and excessive confidence in predictions. With the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Maximilian Wendlinger , Kilian Tscharke , Pascal Debus

Research in neural networks in the field of computer vision has achieved remarkable accuracy for point estimation. However, the uncertainty in the estimation is rarely addressed. Uncertainty quantification accompanied by point estimation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Min-hwan Oh , Peder A. Olsen , Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy

Long-context inference remains challenging for large language models due to attention dilution and out-of-distribution degradation. Context selection mitigates this limitation by attending to a subset of key-value cache entries, yet most…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Lang Zhou , Shuxuan Li , Zhuohao Li , Shi Liu , Zhilin Zhao , Wei-Shi Zheng

In this work, we investigate uncertainty-aware neural network models for blood glucose prediction and adverse glycemic event identification in Type 1 diabetes. We consider three families of sequence models based on LSTM, GRU, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Hai Siong Tan , Rafe McBeth

Advances in architectural design, data availability, and compute have driven remarkable progress in semantic segmentation. Yet, these models often rely on relaxed Bayesian assumptions, omitting critical uncertainty information needed for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-19 M. M. A. Valiuddin , R. J. G. van Sloun , C. G. A. Viviers , P. H. N. de With , F. van der Sommen

Quantifying the impact of parametric and model-form uncertainty on the predictions of stochastic models is a key challenge in many applications. Previous work has shown that the relative entropy rate is an effective tool for deriving…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-04 Jeremiah Birrell , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet
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