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We consider the setting of sequential prediction of arbitrary sequences based on specialized experts. We first provide a review of the relevant literature and present two theoretical contributions: a general analysis of the specialist…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-07-10 Marie Devaine , Pierre Gaillard , Yannig Goude , Gilles Stoltz

Increased deployment of residential smart meters has made it possible to record energy consumption data on short intervals. These data, if used efficiently, carry valuable information for managing power demand and increasing energy…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Nameer Al Khafaf , Mahdi Jalili , Peter Sokolowski

Efficient energy consumption is crucial for achieving sustainable energy goals in the era of climate change and grid modernization. Thus, it is vital to understand how energy is consumed at finer resolutions such as household in order to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-16 Swapna Thorve , Young Yun Baek , Samarth Swarup , Henning Mortveit , Achla Marathe , Anil Vullikanti , Madhav Marathe

The availability of residential electric demand profiles data, enabled by the large-scale deployment of smart metering infrastructure, has made it possible to perform more accurate analysis of electricity consumption patterns. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Mayank Jain , Tarek AlSkaif , Soumyabrata Dev

The wide adoption of smart meters makes residential load data available and thus improves the understanding of the energy consumption behavior. Many existing studies have focused on smart-meter data analysis, but the drivers of energy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Zhuo Wei , Hao Wang

Future grid management systems will coordinate distributed production and storage resources to manage, in a cost effective fashion, the increased load and variability brought by the electrification of transportation and by a higher share of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-21 Christian Capezza , Biagio Palumbo , Yannig Goude , Simon N. Wood , Matteo Fasiolo

Understanding electrical energy demand at the consumer level plays an important role in planning the distribution of electrical networks and offering of off-peak tariffs, but observing individual consumption patterns is still expensive. On…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-29 Gabriel Franco , Camila P. E. de Souza , Nancy L. Garcia

Network-theoretic tools contribute to understanding real-world system dynamics, e.g., in wildlife conservation, epidemics, and power outages. Network visualization helps illustrate structural heterogeneity; however, details about…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-09-28 Kehinde R. Salau , Jacopo A. Baggio , Marco A. Janssen , Joshua K. Abbott , Eli P. Fenichel

Massive informations about individual (household, small and medium enterprise) consumption are now provided with new metering technologies and the smart grid. Two major exploitations of these data are load profiling and forecasting at…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-02 Emilie Devijver , Yannig Goude , Jean-Michel Poggi

We are interested in the estimation and prediction of a parametric model on a short dataset upon which it is expected to overfit and perform badly. To overcome the lack of data (relatively to the dimension of the model) we propose the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-26 Tristan Launay , Anne Philippe , Sophie Lamarche

Consumer energy forecasting is essential for managing energy consumption and planning, directly influencing operational efficiency, cost reduction, personalized energy management, and sustainability efforts. In recent years, deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Muhammad Umair Danish , Katarina Grolinger

Aggregated curves are common structures in economics and finance, and the most prominent examples are supply and demand curves. In this study, we exploit the fact that all aggregated curves have an intrinsic hierarchical structure, and thus…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-12 Paul Ghelasi , Florian Ziel

Sustainability requires increased energy efficiency with minimal waste. The future power systems should thus provide high levels of flexibility iin controling energy consumption. Precise projections of future energy demand/load at the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Lyes Saad Saoud , Hasan AlMarzouqi , Ramy Hussein

In this paper, the modeling of building end-use energy profile is comprehensively investigated. Top-down and Bottom-up approaches are discussed with a focus on the latter for better integration with occupant information. Compared to the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-17 Zhaoyi Kang , Ming Jin , Costas J. Spanos

Modelling renewable energy systems is a computationally-demanding task due to the high fluctuation of supply and demand time series. To reduce the scale of these, this paper discusses different methods for their aggregation into typical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Leander Kotzur , Peter Markewitz , Martin Robinius , Detlef Stolten

With increasing energy prices, low income households are known to forego or minimize the use of electricity to save on energy costs. If a household is on a prepaid electricity program, it can be automatically and immediately disconnected…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-28 Maitreyee Marathe , Line A. Roald

The utility company has many motivations for modifying energy consumption patterns of consumers such as revenue decoupling and demand response programs. We model the utility company--consumer interaction as a principal--agent problem. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-04-02 Lillian J. Ratliff , Roy Dong , Henrik Ohlsson , S. Shankar Sastry

While non-parametric models, such as neural networks, are sufficient in the load forecasting, separate estimates of fixed and shiftable loads are beneficial to a wide range of applications such as distribution system operational planning,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-09 A. Khaled Zarabie , Sanjoy Das , Hongyu Wu

The growing share of renewable energy makes the optimization of power flows in power system models computationally more complicated, due to the widely distributed weather-dependent electricity generation. This article evaluates two methods…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-26 Oriol Raventós , Julian Bartels

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy