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The Coronavirus, also known as the COVID-19 virus, has emerged in Wuhan China since late November 2019. Since that time, it has been spreading at large-scale until today all around the world. It is currently recognized as the world's most…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-01 Anis Koubaa

The ongoing Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic threatens the health of humans and causes great economic losses. Predictive modelling and forecasting the epidemic trends are essential for developing countermeasures to mitigate this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-01 Ling Xue , Shuanglin Jing , Joel C. Miller , Wei Sun , Huafeng Li , Jose Guillermo Estrada-Franco , James M Hyman , Huaiping Zhu

The generalized logistic equation is used to interpret the COVID-19 epidemic data in several countries: Austria, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Italy, Turkey and South Korea. The model coefficients are calculated: the growth rate and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-03 Efim Pelinovsky , Andrey Kurkin , Oxana Kurkina , Maria Kokoulina , Anastasia Epifanova

In December 2019, a novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) has been identified to cause acute respiratory disease in humans. An outbreak of this disease has been reported in mainland China with the city of Wuhan as the recognized epicenter. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-07 Jomar F. Rabajante

Since the outbreak of COVID-19, many data analyses have been done. Some of them are based on the classical epidemiological approach that assumes an exponential growth, but a few studies report that a power-law scaling may provide a better…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-26 Ming Li , Jie Chen , Youjin Deng

COVID-19 is an emerging respiratory infectious disease caused by the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2. It was first reported on in early December 2019 in Wuhan, China and within three month spread as a pandemic around the whole globe. Here, we study…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-23 Bernd Blasius

Here, we focus on the data analysis of the growth of epidemic spread of Covid-19 in countries where different policies of containment were activated. It is known that the growth of pandemic spread at its threshold is exponential, but it is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-31 Antonio Bianconi , Augusto Marcelli , Gaetano Campi , Andrea Perali

Background: Recent work showed that the temporal growth of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) follows a sub-exponential power-law scaling whenever effective control interventions are in place. Taking this into consideration, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-24 S. Triambak , D. P. Mahapatra , N. Mallick , R. Sahoo

In order to predict the development trend of the 2019 coronavirus (2019-nCov), we established an prediction model to predict the number of diagnoses case in China except Hubei Province. From January 25 to January 29, 2020, we optimized 6…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-04 Ye Liang , Dan Xu , Shang Fu , Kewa Gao , Jingjing Huan , Linyong Xu , Jia-da Li

The worldwide outbreak of the coronavirus was first identified in 2019 in Wuhan, China. Since then, the disease has spread worldwide. As it currently spreading in the United States, policy makers, public health officials and citizens are…

Performance · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Sergio Palomo , Jamol Pender , William Massey , Robert C. Hampshire

The number of corona virus (COVID-19) infections grows worldwide. In order to create short term predictions to prepare for the extent of the global pandemic we analyze infection data from the top 25 affected countries. It is shown that all…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-27 H. M. Singer

We present Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) statistics in China dataset: daily statistics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China at the city/county level. For each city/country, we include the six most important numbers for epidemic research:…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-08 Wenyuan Liu , Peter Tsung-Wen Yen , Siew Ann Cheong

Governments around the world have implemented preventive measures against the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19). In this study, we consider a multivariate discrete-time Markov model to analyze the propagation of COVID-19 across…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-18 Tatsushi Oka , Wei Wei , Dan Zhu

An urgent problem in controlling COVID-19 spreading is to understand the role of undocumented infection. We develop a five-state model for COVID-19, taking into account the unique features of the novel coronavirus, with key parameters…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-27 Yong-Shang Long , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Li-Lei Han , Jie Kang , Yi-Lin Li , Zhao-Hua Lin , Lang Zeng , Da-Yu Wu , Chang-Qing Hao , Ming Tang , Zonghua Liu , Ying-Cheng Lai

COVID-19 is a new type of coronavirus disease which is caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). It originated in China in the month of December 2019 and quickly started to spread within the country. On 31st…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-26 Soumyabrata Bhattacharjee

The recent emergence of a new coronavirus, COVID-19, has gained extensive coverage in public media and global news. As of 24 March 2020, the virus has caused viral pneumonia in tens of thousands of people in Wuhan, China, and thousands of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-07-29 Artur Strzelecki

Since the first recording of what we now call Covid-19 infection in Wuhan, Hubei province, China on Dec 31, 2019, the disease has spread worldwide and met with a wide variety of social distancing and quarantine policies. The effectiveness…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-07 Raj Dandekar , George Barbastathis

Human civilization is experiencing a critical situation that presents itself for a new coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). This virus emerged in late December 2019 in Wuhan city, Hubei, China. The grim fact of COVID-19 is, it is highly…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Bikash Chandra Singh , Zulfikar Alom , Mohammad Muntasir Rahman , Mrinal Kanti Baowaly , Mohammad Abdul Azim

The coronavirus disease 2019 bursted out about two months ago in Wuhan has caused the death of more than a thousand people. China is fighting hard against the epidemics with the helps from all over the world. On the other hand, there appear…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-14 Junyi Zhang

In this work we analyse the growth of the cumulative number of confirmed infected cases by the COVID-19 until March 27th, 2020, from countries of Asia, Europe, North and South America. Our results show (i) that power-law growth is observed…