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Conformal prediction is a method of producing prediction sets that can be applied on top of a wide range of prediction algorithms. The method has a guaranteed coverage probability under the standard IID assumption regardless of whether the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-09 Evgeny Burnaev , Vladimir Vovk

This paper studies robust regression for data on Riemannian manifolds. Geodesic regression is the generalization of linear regression to a setting with a manifold-valued dependent variable and one or more real-valued independent variables.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-26 Ha-Young Shin , Hee-Seok Oh

Random forest regression (RF) is an extremely popular tool for the analysis of high-dimensional data. Nonetheless, its benefits may be lessened in sparse settings due to weak predictors, and a pre-estimation dimension reduction (targeting)…

For the last two decades, high-dimensional data and methods have proliferated throughout the literature. Yet, the classical technique of linear regression has not lost its usefulness in applications. In fact, many high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Lawrence D. Brown , Andreas Buja , Edward I. George , Linda Zhao

Posterior distributions often feature intractable normalizing constants, called marginal likelihoods or evidence, that are useful for model comparison via Bayes factors. This has motivated a number of methods for estimating ratios of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-03 Maxime Rischard , Pierre E. Jacob , Natesh Pillai

In numerous regular statistical models, median bias reduction (Kenne Pagui et al., 2017) has proven to be a noteworthy improvement over maximum likelihood, alternative to mean bias reduction. The estimator is obtained as solution to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui , Alessandra Salvan , Nicola Sartori

We consider online learning with linear models, where the algorithm predicts on sequentially revealed instances (feature vectors), and is compared against the best linear function (comparator) in hindsight. Popular algorithms in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-21 Michał Kempka , Wojciech Kotłowski , Manfred K. Warmuth

We explore a novel methodology for constructing confidence regions for parameters of linear models, using predictions from any arbitrary predictor. Our framework requires minimal assumptions on the noise and can be extended to functions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-30 Charles Guille-Escuret , Eugene Ndiaye

Unlike its intercept, a linear classifier's weight vector cannot be tuned by a simple grid search. Hence, this paper proposes weight vector tuning of a generic binary linear classifier through the parameterization of a decomposition of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-04 Lama B. Niyazi , Abla Kammoun , Hayssam Dahrouj , Mohamed-Slim Alouini , Tareq Al-Naffouri

A variety of interesting parameters may depend on high dimensional regressions. Machine learning can be used to estimate such parameters. However estimators based on machine learners can be severely biased by regularization and/or model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Victor Quintas-Martinez , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Kernel ridge regression (KRR) is a well-known and popular nonparametric regression approach with many desirable properties, including minimax rate-optimality in estimating functions that belong to common reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-15 Arash A. Amini

In this paper, we consider the nonparametric regression problem with multivariate predictors. We provide a characterization of the degrees of freedom and divergence for estimators of the unknown regression function, which are obtained as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Xi Chen , Qihang Lin , Bodhisattva Sen

A general rate estimation method is proposed that is based on studying the in-sample evolution of appropriately chosen diverging/converging statistics. The proposed rate estimators are based on simple least squares arguments, and are shown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Tucker McElroy , Dimitris N. Politis

High-dimensional prediction considers data with more variables than samples. Generic research goals are to find the best predictor or to select variables. Results may be improved by exploiting prior information in the form of co-data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Mirrelijn M. van Nee , Lodewyk F. A. Wessels , Mark A. van de Wiel

A bias-reduced estimator is proposed for the mean absolute deviation parameter of a median regression model. A workaround is devised for the lack of smoothness in the sense conventionally required in general bias-reduced estimation. A local…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Michele Lambardi di San Miniato

Parametric high-dimensional regression analysis requires the usage of regularization terms to get interpretable models. The respective estimators can be regarded as regularized M-functionals which are naturally highly nonlinear. We study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Tino Werner

High-dimensional prediction with multiple data types needs to account for potentially strong differences in predictive signal. Ridge regression is a simple model for high-dimensional data that has challenged the predictive performance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Mark A. van de Wiel , Mirrelijn M. van Nee , Armin Rauschenberger

Random forests are among the most popular classification and regression methods used in industrial applications. To be effective, the parameters of random forests must be carefully tuned. This is usually done by choosing values that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 C. H. Bryan Liu , Benjamin Paul Chamberlain , Duncan A. Little , Angelo Cardoso

We study the behavior of high-dimensional robust regression estimators in the asymptotic regime where $p/n$ tends to a finite non-zero limit. More specifically, we study ridge-regularized estimators, i.e…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-12 Noureddine El Karoui

Assume a (semi)parametrically efficient estimator is given of the Euclidean parameter in a (semi)parametric model. A submodel is obtained by constraining this model in that a continuously differentiable function of the Euclidean parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-27 Chris A. J. Klaassen , Nanang Susyanto
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