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We study stochastic bifurcation for a system under multiplicative stable Levy noise (an important class of non-Gaussian noise), by examining the qualitative changes of equilibrium states in its most probable phase portraits. We have found…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Hui Wang , Xiaoli Chen , Jinqiao Duan

Inference for mechanistic models is challenging because of nonlinear interactions between model parameters and a lack of identifiability. Here we focus on a specific class of mechanistic models, which we term stable differential equations.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-13 Philip Maybank , Ingo Bojak , Richard G. Everitt

A parameter estimation problem is considered for a linear stochastic hyperbolic equation driven by additive space-time Gaussian white noise. The damping/amplification operator is allowed to be unbounded. The estimator is of spectral type…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-25 W. Liu , S. V. Lototsky

This paper discusses a methodology for determining a functional representation of a random process from a collection of scattered pointwise samples. The present work specifically focuses onto random quantities lying in a high dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-01-03 Lionel Mathelin

This paper is concerned with high moment and pathwise error estimates for both velocity and pressure approximations of the Euler-Maruyama scheme for time discretization and its two fully discrete mixed finite element discretizations. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Liet Vo

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

A key issue in dimension reduction of dissipative dynamical systems with spectral gaps is the identification of slow invariant manifolds. We present theoretical and numerical results for a variational approach to the problem of computing…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-11-30 Dirk Lebiedz , Jochen Siehr , Jonas Unger

We provide a simple method to estimate the parameters of multivariate stochastic volatility models with latent factor structures. These models are very useful as they alleviate the standard curse of dimensionality, allowing the number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-15 Giorgio Calzolari , Roxana Halbleib , Christian Mücher

We address a numerical methodology for the computation of coarse-grained stable and unstable manifolds of saddle equilibria/stationary states of multiscale/stochastic systems for which a "good" macroscopic description in the form of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Constantinos Siettos , Lucia Russo

We construct a novel estimator for the diffusion coefficient of the limiting homogenized equation, when observing the slow dynamics of a multiscale model, in the case when the slow dynamics are of bounded variation. Previous research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Theodoros Manikas , Anastasia Papavasiliou

Mean field approximation is a powerful technique which has been used in many settings to study large-scale stochastic systems. In the case of two-timescale systems, the approximation is obtained by a combination of scaling arguments and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Sebastian Allmeier , Nicolas Gast

Sample-based Bayesian inference provides a route to uncertainty quantification in the geosciences, and inverse problems in general, though is very computationally demanding in the naive form that requires simulating an accurate computer…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-12 Tiangang Cui , Colin Fox , Michael J O'Sullivan

In this paper we consider the parameter estimation problem associated to partially-observed time changed SDEs, with observations that are given at discrete times. In particular we consider both likelihood and Bayesian estimation. We develop…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Ke Zhao , Ajay Jasra

Non linear regression models are a standard tool for modeling real phenomena, with several applications in machine learning, ecology, econometry... Estimating the parameters of the model has garnered a lot of attention during many years. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Peggy Cénac , Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Bruno Portier

Continuous phase estimation is known to be superior in accuracy as compared to static estimation. The estimation process is, however, desired to be made robust to uncertainties in the underlying parameters. Here, homodyne phase estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-14 Shibdas Roy , Obaid Ur Rehman , Ian R. Petersen , Elanor H. Huntington

Estimating probabilistic deformable template models is a new approach in the fields of computer vision and probabilistic atlases in computational anatomy. A first coherent statistical framework modelling the variability as a hidden random…

Computation · Statistics 2009-01-16 Stéphanie Allassonnière , Estelle Kuhn

Consider the problem of simultaneous estimation and support recovery of the coefficient vector in a linear data model with additive Gaussian noise. We study the problem of estimating the model coefficients based on a recently proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Soham Jana , Henry Li , Yutaro Yamada , Ofir Lindenbaum

We develop a method that relates the truncated cumulant-function of the fourth order with the L\'evian cumulant-function. This gives us explicit formulas for the L\'evy-parameters, which allow a real-time analysis of the state of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-04 Alexander Jurisch

The method of stable random projections is a tool for efficiently computing the $l_\alpha$ distances using low memory, where $0<\alpha \leq 2$ is a tuning parameter. The method boils down to a statistical estimation task and various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-12-18 Ping Li

We study the problem of parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations with small noise and fast oscillating parameters. Depending on how fast the intensity of the noise goes to zero relative to the homogenization parameter, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Alexandra Chronopoulou
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