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Recent studies in the literature have introduced a new approach to earthquake forecasting based on representing the space-time patterns of localized seismicity by a time-dependent system state vector in a real-valued Hilbert space and…

Estimating how well a machine learning model performs during inference is critical in a variety of scenarios (for example, to quantify uncertainty, or to choose from a library of available models). However, the standard accuracy estimate of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-07 Xuechen Zhang , Samet Oymak , Jiasi Chen

Earthquake monitoring by seismic networks typically involves a workflow consisting of phase detection/picking, association, and location tasks. In recent years, the accuracy of these individual stages has been improved through the use of…

For effective integration of building operations into the evolving demand response programs of the power grid, real-time decisions concerning the use of building appliances for grid services must excel on multiple criteria, ranging from the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-23 Milan Jain , Soumya Kundu , Arnab Bhattacharya , Sen Huang , Vikas Chandan , Nikitha Radhakrishnan , Veronica Adetola , Draguna Vrabie

The ETAS model is widely employed to model the spatio-temporal distribution of earthquakes, generally using spatially invariant parameters. We propose an efficient method for the estimation of spatially varying parameters, using the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-06-28 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Stefan Wiemer , Didier Sornette

Endurance time method is a time history dynamic analysis in which structures are subjected to predesigned intensifying excitations. This method provides a tool for response prediction that correlates structural responses to the intensity of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-08-27 Homayoon E. Estekanchi , Mohammadreza Mashayekhi , Hassan Vafai , Goodarz Ahmadi , S. Ali Mirfarhadi , Mojtaba Harati

The abundance of training data is not guaranteed in various supervised learning applications. One of these situations is the post-earthquake regional damage assessment of buildings. Querying the damage label of each building requires a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-17 Mohamadreza Sheibani , Ge Ou

We present an axiomatic approach to earthquake forecasting in terms of multi-component random fields on a lattice. This approach provides a method for constructing point estimates and confidence intervals for conditional probabilities of…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-10-29 V. Gertsik , M. Kelbert , A. Krichevets

The rapid proliferation of deep-learning-based detection and association methods has greatly expanded automatically generated earthquake catalogs, but has also introduced false detections, mis-associated arrivals, and poorly constrained…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-03 Ziye Yu , Jinqing Sun , Yuqi Cai , Zemin Liu , Pingping Wu , Xin Liu , Jiayan Tan

This article presents a pragmatic framework for making formal, utility-based decisions from statistical inferences. The method calculates an expected utility score for an intervention by combining Bayesian posterior probabilities of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Will G. Hopkins

For historical buildings and monuments, i.e. when considering time intervals of about a million year (we do not want to loose cultural heritage), the applicability of standard estimates of seismic hazard is really questionable. A viable…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-11-10 Fabio Romanelli , Franco Vaccari

In performative prediction, predictions guide decision-making and hence can influence the distribution of future data. To date, work on performative prediction has focused on finding performatively stable models, which are the fixed points…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 John Miller , Juan C. Perdomo , Tijana Zrnic

In developing countries, building codes often are outdated or not enforced. As a result, a large portion of the housing stock is substandard and vulnerable to natural hazards and climate related events. Assessing housing quality is key to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Chaofeng Wang , Sarah Elizabeth Antos , Jessica Grayson Gosling Goldsmith , Luis Miguel Triveno

The use of tiered warnings and multicategorical forecasts are ubiquitous in meteorological operations. Here, a flexible family of scoring functions is presented for evaluating the performance of ordered multicategorical forecasts. Each…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-02 Robert Taggart , Nicholas Loveday , Deryn Griffiths

Cloud environment is very different from traditional computing environment and therefore tracking the performance of cloud leverages additional requirements. The movement of data in cloud is very fast. Hence, it requires that resources and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2014-12-30 Mansaf Alam , Kashish Ara Shakil

Current seismic design codes primarily rely on the strength and displacement capacity of structural members and do not account for the influence of the ground motion duration or the hysteretic behavior characteristics. The energy-based…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Berkay Topaloglu , Gulsen Taskin Kaya , Fatih Sutcu , Zeynep Tuna Deger

Seismograms, the fundamental seismic records, have revolutionized earthquake research and monitoring. Recent advancements in deep learning have further enhanced seismic signal processing, leading to even more precise and effective…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-03-08 Sen Li , Xu Yang , Anye Cao , Changbin Wang , Yaoqi Liu , Yapeng Liu , Qiang Niu

The development of new earthquake forecasting models is often motivated by one of the following complementary goals: to gain new insights into the governing physics and to produce improved forecasts quantified by objective metrics. Often,…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-01-19 Leila Mizrahi , Shyam Nandan , William Savran , Stefan Wiemer , Yehuda Ben-Zion

Quantification of the impact of uncertainty in material properties as well as the input ground motion on structural responses is an important step in implementing a performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework. Among various…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-08-12 Mohammad Amin Hariri-Ardebili , Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Siamak Sattar

Purpose: Optical imaging is evolving as a key technique for advanced sensing in the operating room. Recent research has shown that machine learning algorithms can be used to address the inverse problem of converting pixel-wise multispectral…