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This paper presents a PAC-Bayes framework for learning controllers for unknown stochastic linear discrete-time systems, where the system parameters are drawn from a fixed but unknown distribution. We derive a data-dependent high probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Yujia Luo , Ye Pu , Jonathan H. Manton , Jingge Zhu

We introduce a novel extension of the canonical multi-armed bandit problem that incorporates an additional strategic innovation: abstention. In this enhanced framework, the agent is not only tasked with selecting an arm at each time step,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Junwen Yang , Tianyuan Jin , Vincent Y. F. Tan

We consider a discrete time stochastic Markovian control problem under model uncertainty. Such uncertainty not only comes from the fact that the true probability law of the underlying stochastic process is unknown, but the parametric family…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Tao Chen

The ranking and selection problem is a popular framework in the simulation literature for studying optimal information collection. We study a version of this problem in which the simulation output for each design is normally distributed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Jianzhong Du , Ilya O. Ryzhov , Siyang Gao

This paper studies optimal consumption and saving decisions under uncertainty about the transition dynamics of the economic environment. We consider a general optimal savings problem in which the exogenous state governing discounting,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-10 Qingyin Ma , Xinxin Zhang

The human brain copes with sensory uncertainty in accordance with Bayes' rule. However, it is unknown how the brain makes predictions in the presence of parameter uncertainty. Here, we tested whether and how humans take parameter…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Jannes Jegminat , Maya Jastrzebowska , Matt Pachai , Michael Herzog , Jean-Pascal Pfister

Online learning and model reference adaptive control have many interesting intersections. One area where they differ however is in how the algorithms are analyzed and what objective or metric is used to discriminate "good" algorithms from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-24 Travis E. Gibson , Sawal Acharya

We present safe control of partially-observed linear time-varying systems in the presence of unknown and unpredictable process and measurement noise. We introduce a control algorithm that minimizes dynamic regret, i.e., that minimizes the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-03 Hongyu Zhou , Vasileios Tzoumas

We revisit the problem of stochastic online learning with feedback graphs, with the goal of devising algorithms that are optimal, up to constants, both asymptotically and in finite time. We show that, surprisingly, the notion of optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Teodor V. Marinov , Mehryar Mohri , Julian Zimmert

Learning to control unknown nonlinear dynamical systems is a fundamental problem in reinforcement learning and control theory. A commonly applied approach is to first explore the environment (exploration), learn an accurate model of it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Andrew Wagenmaker , Guanya Shi , Kevin Jamieson

We consider a stochastic control problem which is composed of a controlled stochastic differential equation, and whose associated cost functional is defined through a controlled backward stochastic differential equation. Under appropriate…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-17 Rainer Buckdahn , Boubakeur Labed , Catherine Rainer , Lazhar Tamer

In this paper, we focus on a method based on optimal control to address the optimization problem. The objective is to find the optimal solution that minimizes the objective function. We transform the optimization problem into optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Yeming Xu , Ziyuan Guo , Hongxia Wang , Huanshui Zhang

We consider numerical approaches for deterministic, finite-dimensional optimal control problems whose dynamics depend on unknown or uncertain parameters. We seek to amortize the solution over a set of relevant parameters in an offline stage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-16 Deepanshu Verma , Nick Winovich , Lars Ruthotto , Bart van Bloemen Waanders

We consider a long-term optimal investment problem where an investor tries to minimize the probability of falling below a target growth rate. From a mathematical viewpoint, this is a large deviation control problem. This problem will be…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Hiroaki Hata , Hideo Nagai , Shuenn-Jyi Sheu

We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward; this is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Hugh Entwistle , Christopher Lustri , Georgy Sofronov

Adjustable hyperparameters of machine learning models typically impact various key trade-offs such as accuracy, fairness, robustness, or inference cost. Our goal in this paper is to find a configuration that adheres to user-specified limits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Bracha Laufer-Goldshtein , Adam Fisch , Regina Barzilay , Tommi Jaakkola

Addressing uncertainty is critical for autonomous systems to robustly adapt to the real world. We formulate the problem of model uncertainty as a continuous Bayes-Adaptive Markov Decision Process (BAMDP), where an agent maintains a…

We consider the Chance Constrained Model Predictive Control problem for polynomial systems subject to disturbances. In this problem, we aim at finding optimal control input for given disturbed dynamical system to minimize a given cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Ashkan Jasour , Constantino Lagoa

In this paper, we propose a probabilistic game-theoretic model to study the properties of the worst-case regret of the greedy strategy under complete (Knightian) uncertainty. In a game between a decision-maker (DM) and an adversarial agent…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Kristijan Atanasov , Mehmet Ismail , Frederik Mallmann-Trenn

In this paper we focus on the solution of online problems with time-varying, linear equality and inequality constraints. Our approach is to design a novel online algorithm by leveraging the tools of control theory. In particular, for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Umberto Casti , Nicola Bastianello , Ruggero Carli , Sandro Zampieri
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