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This paper explores the impacts of decarbonisation of heat on demand and subsequently on the generation capacity required to secure against system adequacy standards. Gas demand is explored as a proxy variable for modelling the…

Building heat electrification is central to economy-wide decarbonization efforts and directly affects energy infrastructure planning through increasing electricity demand and reducing the building sector's use of gas infrastructure that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Rahman Khorramfar , Morgan Santoni-Colvin , Saurabh Amin , Leslie K. Norford , Audun Botterud , Dharik Mallapragada

The decarbonization of buildings requires the phase-out of fossil fuel heating systems. Heat pumps are considered a crucial technology to supply a substantial part of heating energy for buildings. Yet, their introduction is not without…

General Economics · Economics 2023-12-12 Alexander Roth

Achieving decarbonization across energy sectors requires demand-side transformation such as behavioural changes and end-use efficiency improvements to complement supply-side technological shifts. However, changing consumption patterns is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-07 Parisa Rahdan , Mirko Schäfer , Ana Belén Cristóbal López , Marta Victoria

An essential facet of achieving climate neutrality by 2045 is the decarbonization of municipal energy systems. To accomplish this, it is necessary to establish implementation concepts that detail the timing, location, and specific measures…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-21 Paul Maximilian Röhrig , Nils Körber , Julius Zocher , Andreas Ulbig

Residential demands for space heating and hot water account for 31% of the total European energy demand. Space heating is highly dependent on ambient conditions and susceptible to climate change. We adopt a techno-economic standpoint and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-18 S. Kozarcanin , R. Hanna , I. Staffell , R. Gross , G. B. Andresen

Electrification of transport compounded with climate change will transform hourly load profiles and their response to weather. Power system operators and EV charging stakeholders require such high-resolution load profiles for their planning…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-08 Samrat Acharya , Malini Ghosal , Travis Thurber , Casey D. Burleyson , Yang Ou , Allison Campbell , Gokul Iyer , Nathalie Voisin , Jason Fuller

Energy system models for long-term planning are widely used to explore the future electricity system. Typically, to represent the future electricity demand in these models, historical demand profiles are used directly or scaled up linearly.…

Popular Physics · Physics 2021-10-14 Xiaoming Kan , Lina Reichenberg , Fredrik Hedenus

The demand for electricity is undergoing considerable spatial and temporal change. With the uptake of efficient technologies and increased electrification, a better understanding of how potential changes in demand patterns can affect…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-13 Conrad Zorn , Elco Koks , Sven Eggimann

Growth of intermittent renewable energy and climate change make it increasingly difficult to manage electricity demand variability. Centralized storage can help but is costly. An alternative is to shift demand. Cooling and heating demands…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-23 Michael J. Roberts , Sisi Zhang , Eleanor Yuan , James Jones , Matthias Fripp

The demand-supply balance of electricity systems is fundamentally linked to climate conditions. In light of this, the present study aims to model the effect of climate change on the European electricity system, specifically on its long-term…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-29 Inès Harang , Fabian Heymann , Laurens P. Stoop

Decarbonizing the building stock in cold countries by replacing fossil fuel boilers with heat pumps is expected to drastically increase electricity demand. While heating flexibility could reduce the impact of additional demand from heat…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-20 Claire Halloran , Jesus Lizana , Malcolm McCulloch

Weather is one of the main drivers of both the power demand and supply, especially in the Nordic region which is characterized by high heating needs and a high share of renewable energy. Furthermore, ambitious decarbonization plans may…

General Economics · Economics 2021-12-07 Ian M. Trotter , Torjus F. Bolkesjø , Eirik O. Jåstad , Jon Gustav Kirkerud

Despite various efforts, decarbonizing the heating sector remains a significant challenge. To tackle it by smart planning, the availability of highly resolved heating demand data is key. Several existing models provide heating demand only…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-12 Simon Malacek , José Portela , Yannick Marcus Werner , Sonja Wogrin

Being able to adjust the demand of electricity can be an effective means for power system operators to compensate fluctuating renewable generation, to avoid grid congestion, and to cope with other contingencies. Electric heating and cooling…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-06-21 Fabian L. Müller , Bernhard Jansen

As urbanization and climate change progress, urban heat becomes a priority for climate adaptation efforts. High temperatures concentrated in urban heat can drive increased risk of heat-related death and illness as well as increased energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-26 Grant Buster , Jordan Cox , Brandon N. Benton , Ryan N. King

The electrical generation and transmission infrastructures of many countries are under increased pressure. This partially reflects the move towards low carbon economies and the increased reliance on renewable power generation systems. There…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-12 Corneliu Arsene

India is expected to witness rapid growth in electricity use over the next two decades. Here, we introduce a custom regression model to project electricity consumption in India over the coming decades, which includes a bottom-up estimate of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-11 Marc Barbar , Dharik Mallapragada , Meia Alsup , Robert Stoner

To limit the global temperature increase to 1.5 degrees Celsius, fossil-free energy systems will be required eventually. To understand how such systems can be designed, the current state-of-the-art is to apply techno-economical optimisation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-01 K. Zhu , M. Victoria , G. B. Andresen , M. Greiner

The increased integration of variable renewable generation into the power systems, along with the phase-out of fossil-based power stations, necessitate procuring more flexibility from the demand sectors. The electrification of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-18 Dr Alexandre Canet , Prof Meysam Qadrdan
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