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Recently, emerging epidemics like COVID-19 and its variants require predictive mathematical models to implement suitable responses in order to limit their negative and profound impact on society. The SIR (Susceptible-InfectedRemoved) system…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-26 Driss Kiouach , Yassine Sabbar

This paper considers the classical SIR epidemic model driven by a multidimensional L\'evy jump process. We consecrate to develop a mathematical method to obtain the asymptotic properties of the perturbed model. Our method differs from…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Driss Kiouach , Yassine Sabbar

The aim of this paper is to study the stochastic SIR equation with general incidence functional responses and in which both natural death rates and the incidence rate are perturbed by white noises. We derive a sufficient and almost…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-26 N. H. Du , N. N. Nhu

We propose a unified stochastic SIR model driven by L\'{e}vy noise. The model is structural enough to allow for time-dependency, nonlinearity, discontinuity, demography and environmental disturbances. We present concise results on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Terry Easlick , Wei Sun

Dynamic properties of spreading infection through a heterogeneous population are studied numerically and analytically using a dynamic variant of Watts and Strogatz Small World Network-based stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-28 O. Mosbah , N. Zekri , M. Mokhtari , S. Sahraoui

Natural fluctuations have played a crucial role in affecting the dynamics of pervasive diseases such as the coronavirus. Examining the effects of irregular unsettling disturbances on epidemic models is important for understanding these…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Daniel Tesfay , Almaz Tesfay , James Brannan

The study of epidemic models plays an important role in mathematical epidemiology. There are many researches on epidemic models using ordinary differential equations, partial differential equations or stochastic differential equations. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-10 Yuqi Li , Lihua Zhang

This paper considers a general stochastic SIR epidemic model driven by a multidimensional Levy jump process with heavy tailed increments and possible correlation between noise components. In this framework, we derive new sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Nicolas Privault , Liang Wang

This paper provides a first attempt to incorporate the massive discontinuous changes in the spatio-temporal dynamics of epidemics. Namely, we propose an extended class of epidemic models, governed by coupled stochastic semilinear partial…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Mohamed Mehdaoui

The spread of infectious diseases is a major challenge in our contemporary world, especially after the recent outbreak of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The quarantine strategy is one of the important intervention measures to control…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Driss Kiouach , Yassine Sabbar , Salim El Azami El-idrissi

A class of stochastic vector-borne infectious disease models is derived and studied. The class type is determined by a general nonlinear incidence rate of the disease. The disease spreads in a highly random environment with variability from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Divine Wanduku

This paper deals with a new epidemiological model of SIRS with stochastic perturbations. The primary objective is to establish the existence of a unique non-negative nonlocal solution. Using the basic reproduction number $\mathscr{R}_0$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Achraf Zinihi , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi , Matthias Ehrhardt

This paper investigates asymptotic behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model, which is a system with degenerate diffusion. It gives sufficient conditions that are very close to the necessary conditions for the permanence. In addition,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-24 N. T. Dieu , D. H. Nguyen , N. H. Du , G. Yin

We study the qualitative properties of a spatial diffusive heterogeneous SIR model, that appears in mathematical epidemiology to describe the spread of an infectious disease in a population. The model we consider consists in a system of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Romain Ducasse

In this study we investigate a novel approach to stochastically perturb the disease transmission coefficient, which is a key parameter in susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) models. Motivated by the papers [2] and [5], we perturb the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Alberto Lanconelli , Berk Tan Perçin

This paper focuses on and analyzes realistic SIR models that take stochasticity into account. The proposed systems are applicable to most incidence rates that are used in the literature including the bilinear incidence rate, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Nguyen Du , Alexandru Hening , Nhu Nguyen , George Yin

We consider a stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemiological model. Through the use of a normal form coordinate transform, we are able to analytically derive the stochastic center manifold along with the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-05-13 Eric Forgoston , Lora Billings , Ira B. Schwartz

We propose and study a shifted SICA epidemic model, extending the one of Silva and Torres (2017) to the stochastic setting driven by both Brownian motion processes and jump L\'evy noise. L\'evy noise perturbations are usually ignored by…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-21 Houssine Zine , Jaouad Danane , Delfim F. M. Torres

Networks of contacts capable of spreading infectious diseases are often observed to be highly heterogeneous, with the majority of individuals having fewer contacts than the mean, and a significant minority having relatively very many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-21 César Parra-Rojas , Thomas House , Alan J. McKane

We introduce a stochastic SIR-type partial differential equation model incorporating random diffusion, reinfection, vital dynamics, and a randomly varying transmission rate. For the associated random dynamical system, we prove the existence…

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