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A coupling method is developed for univariate extreme value theory , providing an alternative to the use of the tail empirical/quantile processes. Emphasizing the Peak-over-Threshold approach that approximates the distribution above high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Benjamin Bobbia , Clément Dombry , Davit Varron

The extremal characteristics of random structures, including trees, graphs, and networks, are discussed. A statistical physics approach is employed in which extremal properties are obtained through suitably defined rate equations. A variety…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

We use importance sampling in a redefined way to highlight and investigate rare events in the form of trajectories trapped inside a target coherent set. We take a transfer operator approach to finding these sets on a reconstructed…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-16 Meagan Carney , Holger Kantz

In this paper we study extreme value distributions for one-parameter actions on homogeneous spaces of Lie groups. We study both shortest vectors in unimodular lattices, maximal distance excursions and closest distance returns of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-09-13 Maxim Sølund Kirsebom

The rate of uniform convergence in extreme value statistics is non-universal and can be arbitrarily slow. Further, the relative error can be unbounded in the tail of the approximation, leading to difficulty in extrapolating the extreme…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-05 Ashivni Shekhawat

Extreme value statistics (EVS) concerns the study of the statistics of the maximum or the minimum of a set of random variables. This is an important problem for any time-series and has applications in climate, finance, sports, all the way…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-12 Satya N. Majumdar , Arnab Pal , Gregory Schehr

Consider $n$ i.i.d. random elements on $C[0,1]$. We show that, under an appropriate strengthening of the domain of attraction condition, natural estimators of the extreme-value index, which is now a continuous function, and the normalizing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 John H. J. Einmahl , Tao Lin

We propose a formal expansion of the transfer entropy to put in evidence irreducible sets of variables which provide information for the future state of each assigned target. Multiplets characterized by a large contribution to the expansion…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-04 S. Stramaglia , Guo-Rong Wu , M. Pellicoro , D. Marinazzo

Exchangeability is a central notion in statistics and probability theory. The assumption that an infinite sequence of data points is exchangeable is at the core of Bayesian statistics. However, finite exchangeability as a statistical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-04-24 Mathias Niepert , Guy Van den Broeck

Mixed modeling of extreme values and random effects is relatively unexplored topic. Computational difficulties in using the maximum likelihood method for mixed models and the fact that maximum likelihood method uses available data and does…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-05 Ali Reza Fotouhi

This paper deals with the extreme value analysis for the triangular arrays, which appear when some parameters of the mixture model vary as the number of observations grow. When the mixing parameter is small, it is natural to associate one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Vladimir Panov , Ekaterina Morozova

In many application areas of extreme value theory, the variables of interest are not directly observable but instead contain errors. In this article, we quantify the effect of these errors in moment-based extreme value index estimation, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Jaakko Pere , Pauliina Ilmonen , Lauri Viitasaari

This work considers the notion of random tensors and reviews some fundamental concepts in statistics when applied to a tensor based data or signal. In several engineering fields such as Communications, Signal Processing, Machine learning,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Divyanshu Pandey , Alexis Decurninge , Harry Leib

Humans have recorded the arrival dates of migratory birds for millennia, searching for trends and patterns. As the first arrival among individuals in a species is the realized tail of the probability distribution of arrivals, the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-13 Dhanushi A. Wijeyakulasuriya , Ephraim M. Hanks , Benjamin A. Shaby

This thesis is devoted to the study of extreme value statistics in stochastic processes and their applications. In the first part, we obtain exact analytical results on the extreme value statistics of both discrete-time and continuous-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-24 Benjamin De Bruyne

Extreme value theory is concerned with probabilistic and statistical questions related to very high or very low values in sequences of random variables and in stochastic processes. The subject has a rich mathematical theory and also a long…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-31 Ali Saeb

The spectral properties of one exciton trapped in a self-assembled multi-layered quantum dot is obtained using a high precision variational numerical method. The exciton Hamiltonian includes the effect of the polarization charges, induced…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-12-24 Mariano Garagiola , Omar Osenda

Fluctuations of global additive quantities, like total energy or magnetization for instance, can in principle be described by statistics of sums of (possibly correlated) random variables. Yet, it turns out that extreme values (the largest…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-11-18 Maxime Clusel , Eric Bertin

The univariate generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is the most commonly used tool for analyzing the properties of rare events. The ever greater utilization of Bayesian methods for extreme value analysis warrants detailed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-03 Likun Zhang , Benjamin A. Shaby

We study the computational problem of rigorously describing the asymptotic behaviour of topological dynamical systems up to a finite but arbitrarily small pre-specified error. More precisely, we consider the limit set of a typical orbit,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Cristobal Rojas , Mathieu Sablik