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Let $X$ be the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions contained in the $p$-biased random subset of the first $N$ positive integers. We give asymptotically sharp estimates on the logarithmic upper-tail probability $\log \Pr(X \ge E[X] +…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Matan Harel , Frank Mousset , Wojciech Samotij

We empirically study sorting in the evolving data model. In this model, a sorting algorithm maintains an approximation to the sorted order of a list of data items while simultaneously, with each comparison made by the algorithm, an…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-05-16 Juan Jose Besa , William E. Devanny , David Eppstein , Michael Goodrich , Timothy Johnson

Suppose that $X$ is a bounded-degree polynomial with nonnegative coefficients on the $p$-biased discrete hypercube. Our main result gives sharp estimates on the logarithmic upper tail probability of $X$ whenever an associated extremal…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Matan Harel , Frank Mousset , Wojciech Samotij

We study the upper tail of the number of arithmetic progressions of a given length in a random subset of {1,...,n}, establishing exponential bounds which are best possible up to constant factors in the exponent. The proof also extends to…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Lutz Warnke

Empirical distributions have their in-sample maxima as natural censoring. We look at the "hidden tail", that is, the part of the distribution in excess of the maximum for a sample size of $n$. Using extreme value theory, we examine the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

One of the key performance measures in queueing systems is the exponential decay rate of the steady-state tail probabilities of the queue lengths. It is known that if a corresponding fluid model is stable and the stochastic primitives have…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Gamarnik , Sean Meyn

For first passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ with i.i.d. bounded edge weights, we consider the upper tail large deviation event; i.e., the rare situation where the first passage time between two points at distance $n$, is macroscopically…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Riddhipratim Basu , Shirshendu Ganguly , Allan Sly

We study the tail behavior of regret in stochastic multi-armed bandits for algorithms that are asymptotically optimal in expectation. While minimizing expected regret is the classical objective, recent work shows that even such algorithms…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Subhodip Panda , Shubhada Agrawal

Consider the following random process: we are given $n$ queues, into which elements of increasing labels are inserted uniformly at random. To remove an element, we pick two queues at random, and remove the element of lower label (higher…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-06-14 Dan Alistarh , Justin Kopinsky , Jerry Li , Giorgi Nadiradze

Whether an extreme observation is an outlier or not, depends strongly on the corresponding tail behaviour of the underlying distribution. We develop an automatic, data-driven method to identify extreme tail behaviour that deviates from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-06 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Jan Beirlant

We study BDD-based bucket elimination, an approach to satisfiability testing using variable elimination which has seen several practical implementations in the past. We prove that it allows solving the standard pigeonhole principle formulas…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Stefan Mengel

Graded posets frequently arise throughout combinatorics, where it is natural to try to count the number of elements of a fixed rank. These counting problems are often $\#\textbf{P}$-complete, so we consider approximation algorithms for…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Prateek Bhakta , Ben Cousins , Matthew Fahrbach , Dana Randall

A growing line of work shows how learned predictions can be used to break through worst-case barriers to improve the running time of an algorithm. However, incorporating predictions into data structures with strong theoretical guarantees…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Samuel McCauley , Benjamin Moseley , Aidin Niaparast , Shikha Singh

Understanding the shape of a distribution of data is of interest to people in a great variety of fields, as it may affect the types of algorithms used for that data. We study one such problem in the framework of distribution property…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Amartya Shankha Biswas , Kavya Ravichandran , Ronitt Rubinfeld

We study efficient algorithms for linear regression and covariance estimation in the absence of Gaussian assumptions on the underlying distributions of samples, making assumptions instead about only finitely-many moments. We focus on how…

This paper investigates the asymptotics of the number of prime values taken by a polynomial in several variables with integer coefficients. Based on probabilistic heuristics and the multidimensional Bateman Horn conjecture, the expected…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Victor Volfson

We propose a conceptually simple oblivious sort and oblivious random permutation algorithms called bucket oblivious sort and bucket oblivious random permutation. Bucket oblivious sort uses $6n\log n$ time (measured by the number of memory…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Gilad Asharov , T-H. Hubert Chan , Kartik Nayak , Rafael Pass , Ling Ren , Elaine Shi

We present an evaluation of bucketed approximate top-$k$ algorithms. Computing top-$k$ exactly suffers from limited parallelism, because the $k$ largest values must be aggregated along the vector, thus is not well suited to computation on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Oscar Key , Luka Ribar , Alberto Cattaneo , Luke Hudlass-Galley , Douglas Orr

We study the problem of factor modelling vector- and tensor-valued time series in the presence of heavy tails in the data, which produce extreme observations with non-negligible probability. We propose to combine a two-step procedure for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-08 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng

This paper describes a class of probabilistic approximation algorithms based on bucket elimination which offer adjustable levels of accuracy and efficiency. We analyze the approximation for several tasks: finding the most probable…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Rina Dechter , Irina Rish
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