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The application of deep learning techniques for predicting stock market prices is a prominent and widely researched topic in the field of data science. To effectively predict market trends, it is essential to utilize a diversified dataset.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-18 Yuhui Jin

We propose a deep learning approach to probabilistic forecasting of macroeconomic and financial time series. Being able to learn complex patterns from a data rich environment, our approach is useful for a decision making that depends on…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-15 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

The Stochastic Volatility (SV) model and its variants are widely used in the financial sector while recurrent neural network (RNN) models are successfully used in many large-scale industrial applications of Deep Learning. Our article…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-25 Trong-Nghia Nguyen , Minh-Ngoc Tran , David Gunawan , R. Kohn

Deep learning applies hierarchical layers of hidden variables to construct nonlinear high dimensional predictors. Our goal is to develop and train deep learning architectures for spatio-temporal modeling. Training a deep architecture is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-08 Matthew F. Dixon , Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim O. Sokolov

We develop a novel observation-driven model for high-frequency prices. We account for irregularly spaced observations, simultaneous transactions, discreteness of prices, and market microstructure noise. The relation between trade durations…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-09 Vladimír Holý

We propose a general interpretation for long-range correlation effects in the activity and volatility of financial markets. This interpretation is based on the fact that the choice between `active' and `inactive' strategies is subordinated…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Irene Giardina , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Mézard

In this paper, we show that the recent integration of statistical models with deep recurrent neural networks provides a new way of formulating volatility (the degree of variation of time series) models that have been widely used in time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-06 Rui Luo , Weinan Zhang , Xiaojun Xu , Jun Wang

This paper studies forward-looking stock-stock correlation forecasting for S\&P 500 constituents and evaluates whether learned correlation forecasts can improve graph-based clustering used in basket trading strategies. We cast 10-day ahead…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Jack Fanshawe , Rumi Masih , Alexander Cameron

Earnings conference calls are significant information events for volatility forecasting, which is essential for financial risk management and asset pricing. Although some recent volatility forecasting models have utilized the textual…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Yunxin Sang , Yang Bao

This study presents a deep reinforcement learning approach for global hedging of long-term financial derivatives. A similar setup as in Coleman et al. (2007) is considered with the risk management of lookback options embedded in guarantees…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-31 Alexandre Carbonneau

We develop deep learning models to learn the hedge ratio for S&P500 index options directly from options data. We compare different combinations of features and show that a feedforward neural network model with time to maturity,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-08 Jie Chen , Lingfei Li

The advent of financial technology has witnessed a surge in the utilization of deep learning models to anticipate consumer conduct, a trend that has demonstrated considerable potential in enhancing lending strategies and bolstering market…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Shenghan Zhao , Yuzhen Lin , Ximeng Yang , Qiaochu Lu , Haozhong Xue , Gaozhe Jiang

Accurately predicting the prices of financial time series is essential and challenging for the financial sector. Owing to recent advancements in deep learning techniques, deep learning models are gradually replacing traditional statistical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-29 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

Derivative hedging and pricing are important and continuously studied topics in financial markets. Recently, deep hedging has been proposed as a promising approach that uses deep learning to approximate the optimal hedging strategy and can…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-16 Masanori Hirano

Applying machine learning methods to forecast stock prices has been one of the research topics of interest in recent years. Almost few studies have been reported based on generative adversarial networks (GANs) in this area, but their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-21 Fateme Shahabi Nejad , Mohammad Mehdi Ebadzadeh

We present a deep long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network for predicting asset prices, together with a successful trading strategy for generating profits based on the model's predictions. Our work is motivated by the fact that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-09 Chariton Chalvatzis , Dimitrios Hristu-Varsakelis

We propose a deep hedging framework for index option portfolios, grounded in a realistic market simulator that captures the joint dynamics of S&P 500 returns and the full implied volatility surface. Our approach integrates surface-informed…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-14 Pascal François , Geneviève Gauthier , Frédéric Godin , Carlos O. Pérez-Mendoza

Incorporating environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations into systematic investments has drawn numerous attention recently. In this paper, we focus on the ESG events in financial news flow and exploring the predictive power…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-07 Tian Guo , Nicolas Jamet , Valentin Betrix , Louis-Alexandre Piquet , Emmanuel Hauptmann

Understanding non-linear relationships among financial instruments has various applications in investment processes ranging from risk management, portfolio construction and trading strategies. Here, we focus on interconnectedness among…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-18 Bhaskarjit Sarmah , Nayana Nair , Dhagash Mehta , Stefano Pasquali

Accurately predicting stock repurchases is crucial for quantitative investment and risk management, yet traditional static models fail to capture the complex temporal dependencies of corporate financial conditions. This paper proposes a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Xiang Ao , Jingxuan Zhang , Xinyu Zhao