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While previous distribution shift detection approaches can identify if a shift has occurred, these approaches cannot localize which specific features have caused a distribution shift -- a critical step in diagnosing or fixing any underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Sean Kulinski , Saurabh Bagchi , David I. Inouye

We characterize the asymptotic performance of nonparametric goodness of fit testing. The exponential decay rate of the type-II error probability is used as the asymptotic performance metric, and a test is optimal if it achieves the maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-19 Shengyu Zhu , Biao Chen , Pengfei Yang , Zhitang Chen

We describe a method for fitting distributions to data which only requires knowledge of the parametric form of either the signal or the background but not both. The unknown distribution is fit using a non-parametric kernel density…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-03 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. López

Model checking plays an important role in linear regression as model misspecification seriously affects the validity and efficiency of regression analysis. In practice, model checking is often performed by subjectively evaluating the plot…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Rok Blagus , Jakob Peterlin , Janez Stare

This paper discusses two goodness-of-fit testing problems. The first problem pertains to fitting an error distribution to an assumed nonlinear parametric regression model, while the second pertains to fitting a parametric regression model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Estate V. Khmaladze , Hira L. Koul

The normal distribution has the unique property that the cumulant generating function has only two terms, namely those involving the mean and the variance. This property is used to construct a simple by using the log of the modulus of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-02 J. Martin van Zyl

Motivated by applications to goodness of fit testing, the empirical likelihood approach is generalized to allow for the number of constraints to grow with the sample size and for the constraints to use estimated criteria functions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Hanxiang Peng , Anton Schick

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating a conditional density in moderately large dimensions. Much more informative than regression functions, conditional densities are of main interest in recent methods, particularly in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-22 Minh-Lien Jeanne Nguyen

This paper introduces the kernel mixture network, a new method for nonparametric estimation of conditional probability densities using neural networks. We model arbitrarily complex conditional densities as linear combinations of a family of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-22 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Marcel A. J. van Gerven , Eric Maris

A problem of goodness-of-fit test for ergodic diffusion processes is presented. In the null hypothesis the drift of the diffusion is supposed to be in a parametric form with unknown shift parameter. Two Cramer-Von Mises type test statistics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-30 Ilia Negri , Li Zhou

This paper studies the problem of nonparametric testing for the effect of a random functional covariate on a real-valued error term. The covariate takes values in $L^2[0,1]$, the Hilbert space of the square-integrable real-valued functions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-28 Valentin Patilea , Cesar Sanchez-Sellero , Matthieu Saumard

In this paper we suggest two statistical hypothesis tests for the regression function of binary classification based on conditional kernel mean embeddings. The regression function is a fundamental object in classification as it determines…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Ambrus Tamás , Balázs Csanád Csáji

Nonparametric detection of existence of an anomalous structure over a network is investigated. Nodes corresponding to the anomalous structure (if one exists) receive samples generated by a distribution q, which is different from a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-11 Shaofeng Zou , Yingbin Liang , H. Vincent Poor

When performing Bayesian inference, we frequently need to work with conditional probability densities. For example, the posterior function is the conditional density of the parameters given the data. Some might worry that conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Alex Yan , Cathal Mills , Augustin Marignier , Younjung Kim , Ben Lambert

We develop goodness-of-fit tests for max-stable random fields, which are used to model heavy-tailed spatial data. The test statistics are constructed based on the Fourier transforms of the indicators of extreme values in the heavy-tailed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Ying Niu , Zhao Chen , Christina Dan Wang , Yuwei Zhao

High-dimensional covariates often admit linear factor structure. To effectively screen correlated covariates in high-dimension, we propose a conditional variable screening test based on non-parametric regression using neural networks due to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-21 Jianqing Fan , Weining Wang , Yue Zhao

We introduce a new goodness-of-fit test for regular vine (R-vine) copula models, a flexible class of multivariate copulas based on a pair-copula construction (PCC). The test arises from the information matrix ratio. The corresponding test…

Computation · Statistics 2013-09-24 Ulf Schepsmeier

Logistic regression is widely used to model the propensity score in the analysis of nonignorable missing data. However, goodness-of-fit testing for this propensity score model has received limited attention in the literature. In this paper,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Manli Cheng , Yangjianchen Xu , Qinglong Tian , Pengfei Li

Probabilistic Regression refers to predicting a full probability density function for the target conditional on the features. We present a nonparametric approach to this problem which combines base classifiers (typically gradient boosted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Brian Lucena

A novel goodness-of-fit strategy is introduced for testing models of angular power spectra with unknown parameters. Using this strategy, it is possible to assess the validity of such models without specifying the distribution of the angular…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-01-30 Sara Algeri , Xiangyu Zhang , Erik Floden , Hongru Zhao , Galin L. Jones , Vuk Mandic , Jesse Miller
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