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A truncated sequential procedure is constructed for estimating the drift coefficient at a given state point based on discrete data of ergodic diffusion process. A nonasymptotic upper bound is obtained for a pointwise absolute error risk.…
In this article, we consider a jump diffusion process (X_t), with drift function b, diffusion coefficient sigma and jump coefficient xi^{2}. This process is observed at discrete times t=0,Delta,...,nDelta. The sampling interval Delta tends…
The paper presents a generalization of the local limit theorem on the convergence of inhomogeneous Markov chains to the diffusion limit for the case where the corresponding process coefficients satisfy weak regularity conditions and…
The global estimation problem of the drift function is considered for a large class of ergodic diffusion processes. The unknown drift $S(\cdot)$ is supposed to belong to a nonparametric class of smooth functions of order $k\geq1$, but the…
Traditional nonparametric estimation methods often lead to a slow convergence rate in large dimensions and require unrealistically enormous sizes of datasets for reliable conclusions. We develop an approach based on partial derivatives,…
We derive asymptotic normality of kernel type deconvolution estimators of the density, the distribution function at a fixed point, and of the probability of an interval. We consider the so called super smooth case where the characteristic…
Consider a scalar reflected diffusion $(X_t:t\geq 0)$, where the unknown drift function $b$ is modelled nonparametrically. We show that in the low frequency sampling case, when the sample consists of $(X_0,X_\Delta,...,X_{n\Delta})$ for…
Weak consistency and asymptotic normality of the ordinary least-squares estimator in a linear regression with adaptive learning is derived when the crucial, so-called, `gain' parameter is estimated in a first step by nonlinear least squares…
We revisit the problem of estimating the parameters of a partially observed diffusion process, consisting of a hidden state process and an observed process, with a continuous time parameter. The estimation is to be done online, i.e. the…
In this note we develop a prelimit analysis of performance measures for importance sampling schemes related to small noise diffusion processes. In importance sampling the performance of any change of measure is characterized by its second…
Drift diffusion models (DDMs) have found widespread use in computational neuroscience and other fields. They model evidence accumulation in simple decision tasks as a stochastic process drifting towards a decision barrier. In models where…
We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect…
We consider the problems of parameter estimation for several models of threshold ergodic diffusion processes in the asymptotics of large samples. These models are the direct continuous time analogues of the well-known in time series…
We consider a one-dimensional diffusion whose drift contains a deterministic periodic signal with unknown periodicity $T$ and carrying some unknown $d$-dimensional shape parameter $\theta$. We prove Local Asymptotic Normality (LAN) jointly…
In multivariate regression estimation, the rate of convergence depends on the dimension of the regressor. This fact, known as the curse of the dimensionality, motivated several works. The additive model, introduced by Stone (10), offers an…
The nonparametric volatility estimation problem of a scalar diffusion process observed at equidistant time points is addressed. Using the spectral representation of the volatility in terms of the invariant density and an eigenpair of the…
In this paper we consider an ergodic diffusion process with jumps whose drift coefficient depends on $\mu$ and volatility coefficient depends on $\sigma$, two unknown parameters. We suppose that the process is discretely observed at the…
We study the estimation of time-homogeneous drift functions in multivariate stochastic differential equations with known diffusion coefficient, from multiple trajectories observed at high frequency over a fixed time horizon. We formulate…
In this article, we consider flexible seasonal time series models which consist of a common trend function over periods and additive individual trend (seasonal effect) functions. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the local linear…
Sequential data collection has emerged as a widely adopted technique for enhancing the efficiency of data gathering processes. Despite its advantages, such data collection mechanism often introduces complexities to the statistical inference…