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Approximate Bayesian inference methods that scale to very large datasets are crucial in leveraging probabilistic models for real-world time series. Sparse Markovian Gaussian processes combine the use of inducing variables with efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-10 William J. Wilkinson , Arno Solin , Vincent Adam

In this paper we introduce a new method for automatically selecting knots in spline regression. The approach consists in setting a large number of initial knots and fitting the spline regression through a penalized likelihood procedure…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-20 Vivien Goepp , Olivier Bouaziz , Grégory Nuel

Hard optimization problems are often approached by finding approximate solutions. Here, we highlight the concept of proportional sampling and discuss how it can be used to improve the performance of stochastic algorithms for optimization.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-08-01 Juan Miguel Arrazola , Thomas R. Bromley , Patrick Rebentrost

The kernel function and its hyperparameters are the central model selection choice in a Gaussian proces (Rasmussen and Williams, 2006). Typically, the hyperparameters of the kernel are chosen by maximising the marginal likelihood, an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-07 Vidhi Lalchand , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt , Carl E. Rasmussen

Bayesian optimization is an effective technique for black-box optimization, but its applicability is typically limited to low-dimensional and small-budget problems due to the cubic complexity of computing the Gaussian process (GP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Yunyue Wei , Vincent Zhuang , Saraswati Soedarmadji , Yanan Sui

Latent position models are widely used for the analysis of networks in a variety of research fields. In fact, these models possess a number of desirable theoretical properties, and are particularly easy to interpret. However, statistical…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-08 Riccardo Rastelli , Florian Maire , Nial Friel

The first algorithm for sampling the space of thick equilateral knots, as a function of thickness, will be described. This algorithm is based on previous algorithms of applying random reflections. To prove the existence of the algorithm, we…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Kyle Chapman

Chance constraints are frequently used to limit the probability of constraint violations in real-world optimization problems where the constraints involve stochastic components. We study chance-constrained submodular optimization problems,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-27 Xiankun Yan , Anh Viet Do , Feng Shi , Xiaoyu Qin , Frank Neumann

We propose a lower bound on the log marginal likelihood of Gaussian process regression models that can be computed without matrix factorisation of the full kernel matrix. We show that approximate maximum likelihood learning of model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-17 Artem Artemev , David R. Burt , Mark van der Wilk

Gaussian Processes are widely used for regression tasks. A known limitation in the application of Gaussian Processes to regression tasks is that the computation of the solution requires performing a matrix inversion. The solution also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-22 Sourish Das , Sasanka Roy , Rajiv Sambasivan

We consider the problem of sequentially maximizing an unknown function $f$ over a set of actions of the form $(s,\mathbf{x})$, where the selected actions must satisfy a safety constraint with respect to an unknown safety function $g$. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-06 Arpan Losalka , Jonathan Scarlett

The goal of this paper is to discuss the possibility of finding an algorithm that can give all distinct knots up to a desired complexity. Two such algorithms are presented, one based on projections on a plane, the other on closed…

q-alg · Mathematics 2008-02-03 Charilaos Aneziris

We consider the problem of selecting important nodes in a random network, where the nodes connect to each other randomly with certain transition probabilities. The node importance is characterized by the stationary probabilities of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-14 Haidong Li , Xiaoyun Xu , Yijie Peng , Chun-Hung Chen

We apply Bayesian optimization and reinforcement learning to a problem in topology: the question of when a knot bounds a ribbon disk. This question is relevant in an approach to disproving the four-dimensional smooth Poincar\'e conjecture;…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Sergei Gukov , James Halverson , Ciprian Manolescu , Fabian Ruehle

In the pivotal variable selection problem, we derive the exact non-asymptotic minimax selector over the class of all $s$-sparse vectors, which is also the Bayes selector with respect to the uniform prior. While this optimal selector is, in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Cristina Butucea , Enno Mammen , Mohamed Ndaoud , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

Bayesian methods for learning Gaussian graphical models offer a principled framework for quantifying model uncertainty and incorporating prior knowledge. However, their scalability is constrained by the computational cost of jointly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , Lucas Vogels , S. Ilker Birbil

Creating low dimensional representations of a high dimensional data set is an important component in many machine learning applications. How to cluster data using their low dimensional embedded space is still a challenging problem in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Zahra Moslehi , Abdolreza Mirzaei , Mehran Safayani

We develop a computational procedure to estimate the covariance hyperparameters for semiparametric Gaussian process regression models with additive noise. Namely, the presented method can be used to efficiently estimate the variance of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Siavash Ameli , Shawn C. Shadden

A Bayesian optimization algorithm for the nurse scheduling problem is presented, which involves choosing a suitable scheduling rule from a set for each nurses assignment. Unlike our previous work that used Gas to implement implicit…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2010-07-05 Jingpeng Li , Uwe Aickelin

In this paper, the sparse sensor placement problem for least-squares estimation is considered, and the previous novel approach of the sparse sensor selection algorithm is extended. The maximization of the determinant of the matrix which…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-18 Yuji Saito , Taku Nonomura , Keigo Yamada , Kumi Nakai , Takayuki Nagata , Keisuke Asai , Yasuo Sasaki , Daisuke Tsubakino