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We introduce an ordinary differential equation (ODE) based deep generative method for learning conditional distributions, named Conditional F\"ollmer Flow. Starting from a standard Gaussian distribution, the proposed flow could approximate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-14 Jinyuan Chang , Zhao Ding , Yuling Jiao , Ruoxuan Li , Jerry Zhijian Yang

We present a stochastic descent algorithm for unconstrained optimization that is particularly efficient when the objective function is slow to evaluate and gradients are not easily obtained, as in some PDE-constrained optimization and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-08 David Kozak , Stephen Becker , Alireza Doostan , Luis Tenorio

We consider the statistical linear inverse problem of making inference on an unknown source function in an elliptic partial differential equation from noisy observations of its solution. We employ nonparametric Bayesian procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Matteo Giordano

This work proposes a statistically enhanced framework to address the instability and limited predictive capability of conventional Galerkin-Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (Galerkin-POD) models. The method reformulates the correction of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 Bijie Yang , Chengyuan Liu , Lu Tian , Yuping Qian , Mingyang Yang

Bayesian inference plays an important role in advancing machine learning, but faces computational challenges when applied to complex models such as deep neural networks. Variational inference circumvents these challenges by formulating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-03 Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Didrik Nielsen

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) describe dynamical systems evolving deterministically in continuous time. Accurate data-driven modeling of systems as ODEs, a central problem across the natural sciences, remains challenging,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Maximilian Mauel , Manuel Hinz , Patrick Seifner , David Berghaus , Ramses J. Sanchez

Gaussian process regression can flexibly represent the posterior distribution of an interest parameter given sufficient information on the likelihood. However, in some cases, we have little knowledge regarding the probability model. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Yuta Shikuri

The hierarchical prior used in Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) induces a posterior geometry prone to frustrate inference algorithms. Marginalizing out the latent Gaussian variable using an integrated Laplace approximation removes the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-28 Charles C. Margossian

Simulator-based models are models for which the likelihood is intractable but simulation of synthetic data is possible. They are often used to describe complex real-world phenomena, and as such can often be misspecified in practice.…

The main features of the statistical approach to inverse problems are described on the example of a linear model with additive noise. The approach does not use any Bayesian hypothesis regarding an unknown object; instead, the standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-05 V. Yu. Terebizh

In this paper we extent the previously published DALI-approximation for likelihoods to cases in which the parameter dependency is in the covariance matrix. The approximation recovers non-Gaussian likelihoods, and reduces to the Fisher…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-09 Elena Sellentin

Parameter estimation for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) plays a fundamental role in the analysis of dynamical systems. Generally lacking closed-form solutions, ODEs are traditionally approximated using deterministic solvers.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-30 Mohan Wu , Martin Lysy

High-fidelity simulators that connect theoretical models with observations are indispensable tools in many sciences. When coupled with machine learning, a simulator makes it possible to infer the parameters of a theoretical model directly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Ali Al Kadhim , Harrison B. Prosper , Olivia F. Prosper

Recently, Neural Ordinary Differential Equations has emerged as a powerful framework for modeling physical simulations without explicitly defining the ODEs governing the system, but instead learning them via machine learning. However, the…

In partial differential equations-based (PDE-based) inverse problems with many measurements, many large-scale discretized PDEs must be solved for each evaluation of the misfit or objective function. In the nonlinear case, evaluating the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-18 Selin Aslan , Eric de Sturler , Misha E. Kilmer

A Bayesian data assimilation scheme is formulated for advection-dominated or hyperbolic evolutionary problems, and observations. The method is referred to as the dynamic likelihood filter because it exploits the model physics to dynamically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-26 Juan M. Restrepo

In this paper, we introduce a new form of amortized variational inference by using the forward KL divergence in a joint-contrastive variational loss. The resulting forward amortized variational inference is a likelihood-free method as its…

Model Predictive Control evolved as the state of the art paradigm for safety critical control tasks. Control-as-Inference approaches thereof model the constrained optimization problem as a probabilistic inference problem. The constraints…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Jörn Tebbe , Andreas Besginow , Markus Lange-Hegermann

Regression, unlike classification, has lacked a comprehensive and effective approach to deal with cost-sensitive problems by the reuse (and not a re-training) of general regression models. In this paper, a wide variety of cost-sensitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-11-07 Jose Hernandez-Orallo

Like many numerical methods, solvers for initial value problems (IVPs) on ordinary differential equations estimate an analytically intractable quantity, using the results of tractable computations as inputs. This structure is closely…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-14 Michael Schober , Simo Särkkä , Philipp Hennig
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