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Many pre-trained models (PTMs) are available in modern applications. Because different PTMs are often trained on different datasets, their performances can vary substantially for different new tasks, and the ranking of the candidates may…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Ziwen Gao , Baihua He , Yuhong Yang

The importance of accurately quantifying forecast uncertainty has motivated much recent research on probabilistic forecasting. In particular, a variety of deep learning approaches has been proposed, with forecast distributions obtained as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Benedikt Schulz , Lutz Köhler , Sebastian Lerch

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas

Conformal prediction quantifies the uncertainty of machine learning models by augmenting point predictions with valid prediction sets. For complex scenarios involving multiple trials, models, or data sources, conformal prediction sets can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Gina Wong , Drew Prinster , Suchi Saria , Rama Chellappa , Anqi Liu

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a powerful framework for constructing prediction sets with guaranteed coverage. However, recent studies have shown that integrating confidence calibration with CP can lead to a degradation in efficiency. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Rui Luo , Nicolo Colombo

Many engineering systems require accurate simulations of complex physical systems. Yet, analytical solutions are only available for simple problems, necessitating numerical approximations such as the Finite Element Method (FEM). The cost…

A new meta-algorithm for estimating the conditional average treatment effects is proposed in the paper. The main idea underlying the algorithm is to consider a new dataset consisting of feature vectors produced by means of concatenation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-10 Lev V. Utkin , Mikhail V. Kots , Viacheslav S. Chukanov

Motivation: The discovery of relationships between gene expression measurements and phenotypic responses is hampered by both computational and statistical impediments. Conventional statistical methods are less than ideal because they either…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-16 Lei Ding , Daniel J. McDonald

Reliable causal effect estimation from observational data requires adjustment for confounding and sufficient overlap in covariate distributions between treatment groups. However, in high-dimensional settings, lack of overlap often inflates…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-21 Linying Yang , Robin J. Evans

Biases in observational data of treatments pose a major challenge to estimating expected treatment outcomes in different populations. An important technique that accounts for these biases is reweighting samples to minimize the discrepancy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Michal Ozery-Flato , Pierre Thodoroff , Matan Ninio , Michal Rosen-Zvi , Tal El-Hay

This paper considers the practically important case of nonparametrically estimating heterogeneous average treatment effects that vary with a limited number of discrete and continuous covariates in a selection-on-observables framework where…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-26 Michael Zimmert , Michael Lechner

In this article, we introduce a kernel-based consensual aggregation method for regression problems. We aim to flexibly combine individual regression estimators $r_1, r_2, \ldots, r_M$ using a weighted average where the weights are defined…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-29 Sothea Has

Multivariate meta-analysis is gaining prominence in evidence synthesis research because it enables simultaneous synthesis of multiple correlated outcome data, and random-effects models have generally been used for addressing between-studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Hisashi Noma , Kengo Nagashima , Toshi A. Furukawa

In many contexts, we have access to aggregate data, but individual level data is unavailable. For example, medical studies sometimes report only aggregate statistics about disease prevalence because of privacy concerns. Even so, many a time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Sanket Tavarageri , Nag Mani , Anand Ramasubramanian , Jaskiran Kalsi

Data augmentation is an effective technique to improve the generalization of deep neural networks. However, previous data augmentation methods usually treat the augmented samples equally without considering their individual impacts on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Mingyang Yi , Lu Hou , Lifeng Shang , Xin Jiang , Qun Liu , Zhi-Ming Ma

Model averaging has gained significant attention in recent years due to its ability of fusing information from different models. The critical challenge in frequentist model averaging is the choice of weight vector. The bootstrap method,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Minghui Song , Guohua Zou , Alan T. K. Wan

This paper develops a new approach to post-selection inference for screening high-dimensional predictors of survival outcomes. Post-selection inference for right-censored outcome data has been investigated in the literature, but much…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-22 Tzu-Jung Huang , Alex Luedtke , Ian W. McKeague

Most of the recent results in polynomial functional regression have been focused on an in-depth exploration of single-parameter regularization schemes. In contrast, in this study we go beyond that framework by introducing an algorithm for…

In this paper, we examine the current state-of-the-art in AMR parsing, which relies on ensemble strategies by merging multiple graph predictions. Our analysis reveals that the present models often violate AMR structural constraints. To…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Abelardo Carlos Martínez Lorenzo , Pere-Lluís Huguet Cabot , Roberto Navigli

In many machine learning tasks, models are trained to predict structure data such as graphs. For example, in natural language processing, it is very common to parse texts into dependency trees or abstract meaning representation (AMR)…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Hoang Thanh Lam , Gabriele Picco , Yufang Hou , Young-Suk Lee , Lam M. Nguyen , Dzung T. Phan , Vanessa López , Ramon Fernandez Astudillo