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Related papers: Semi-parametric resampling with extremes

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Temporal point processes are powerful generative models for event sequences that capture complex dependencies in time-series data. They are commonly specified using autoregressive models that learn the distribution of the next event from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Marin Biloš , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka

Appropriate modelling of extreme skew surges is crucial, particularly for coastal risk management. Our study focuses on modelling extreme skew surges along the French Atlantic coast, with a particular emphasis on investigating the extremal…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-07 Nathan Huet , Philippe Naveau , Anne Sabourin

Understanding rare events is critical across domains ranging from signal processing to reliability and structural safety, extreme-weather forecasting, and insurance. The analysis of rare events is a computationally challenging problem,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Anya Katsevich , Alexander Katsevich

This work employs variational techniques to revisit and expand the construction and analysis of extreme value processes. These techniques permit a novel study of spatial statistics of the location of minimizing events. We develop integral…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-10 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Ryan Murray , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

This work introduces a novel framework for precisely and efficiently estimating rare event probabilities in complex, high-dimensional non-Gaussian spaces, building on our foundational Approximate Sampling Target with Post-processing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-09 Elsayed Eshra , Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou , Hamed Nikbakht

Data-driven anomaly detection methods typically build a model for the normal behavior of the target system, and score each data instance with respect to this model. A threshold is invariably needed to identify data instances with high (or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-09 Sreelekha Guggilam , S. M. Arshad Zaidi , Varun Chandola , Abani Patra

Data augmentation is commonly used to encode invariances in learning methods. However, this process is often performed in an inefficient manner, as artificial examples are created by applying a number of transformations to all points in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Michael Kuchnik , Virginia Smith

Capturing the extremal behaviour of data often requires bespoke marginal and dependence models which are grounded in rigorous asymptotic theory, and hence provide reliable extrapolation into the upper tails of the data-generating…

We present algorithms for nonparametric regression in settings where the data are obtained sequentially. While traditional estimators select bandwidths that depend upon the sample size, for sequential data the effective sample size is…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Haijie Gu , John Lafferty

Current 3D object detection methods heavily rely on an enormous amount of annotations. Semi-supervised learning can be used to alleviate this issue. Previous semi-supervised 3D object detection methods directly follow the practice of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Xiaopei Wu , Yang Zhao , Liang Peng , Hua Chen , Xiaoshui Huang , Binbin Lin , Haifeng Liu , Deng Cai , Wanli Ouyang

Supervised deep learning methods for segmentation require large amounts of labelled training data, without which they are prone to overfitting, not generalizing well to unseen images. In practice, obtaining a large number of annotations…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Krishna Chaitanya , Neerav Karani , Christian Baumgartner , Olivio Donati , Anton Becker , Ender Konukoglu

The sequential analysis of series often requires nonparametric procedures, where the most powerful ones frequently use rank transformations. Re-ranking the data sequence after each new observation can become too intensive computationally.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-27 W. J. Conover , Victor G. Tercero , Alvaro E. Cordero-Franco

In multivariate extreme value theory (MEVT), the focus is on analysis outside of the observable sampling zone, which implies that the region of interest is associated to high risk levels. This work provides tools to include directional…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-05 Raúl Torres , Elena Di Bernardino , Henry Laniado , Rosa E. Lillo

Computational capability often falls short when confronted with massive data, posing a common challenge in establishing a statistical model or statistical inference method dealing with big data. While subsampling techniques have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-31 Yixiao Ruan , Zan Li , Zhaohui Li , Dennis K. J. Lin , Qingpei Hu , Dan Yu

Dealing with visualizations containing large data set is a challenging issue and, in the field of Information Visualization, almost every visual technique reveals its drawback when visualizing large number of items. To deal with this…

Graphics · Computer Science 2017-01-26 Enrico Bertini , Giuseppe Santucci

This article presents methods for estimating extreme probabilities, beyond the range of the observations. These methods are model-free and applicable to almost any sample size. They are grounded in order statistics theory and have a wide…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-03 Joan del Castillo , Pedro Puig

Analysis of covariance is a crucial method for improving precision of statistical tests for factor effects in randomized experiments. However, existing solutions suffer from one or more of the following limitations: (i) they are not…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-24 Konstantin Emil Thiel , Paavo Sattler , Arne C Bathke , Georg Zimmermann

We present a method for enhanced sampling of molecular dynamics simulations using stochastic resetting. Various phenomena, ranging from crystal nucleation to protein folding, occur on timescales that are unreachable in standard simulations.…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-02-09 Ofir Blumer , Shlomi Reuveni , Barak Hirshberg

We present a mechanism to steer the sampling diversity of denoising diffusion and flow matching models, allowing users to sample from a sharper or broader distribution than the training distribution. We build on the observation that these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yanbo Xu , Yu Wu , Sungjae Park , Zhizhuo Zhou , Shubham Tulsiani

From environmental sciences to finance, there is a growing demand for methods that can assess the risks of extreme events beyond those observed in available data. Extrapolating extreme events beyond the range of the data is not obvious.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan
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