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Dynamic behavior of traffic adversely affect the performance of the prediction models in intelligent transportation applications. This study applies Gaussian processes (GPs) to traffic speed prediction. Such predictions can be used by…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-25 Gurcan Comert

Gaussian process (GP) regression has been widely used in supervised machine learning due to its flexibility and inherent ability to describe uncertainty in function estimation. In the context of control, it is seeing increasing use for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Lukas Hewing , Juraj Kabzan , Melanie N. Zeilinger

This paper tackles the challenge of parameter calibration in stochastic models, particularly in scenarios where the likelihood function is unavailable in an analytical form. We introduce a gradient-based simulated parameter estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-25 Zehao Li , Yijie Peng

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful framework for optimizing expensive black-box objectives, yet extending it to graph-structured domains remains challenging due to the discrete and combinatorial nature of graphs. Existing approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Shu Hong , Yongsheng Mei , Mahdi Imani , Tian Lan

In this paper we introduce a novel online time series forecasting model we refer to as the pM-GP filter. We show that our model is equivalent to Gaussian process regression, with the advantage that both online forecasting and online…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-13 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen J. Roberts

We apply Gaussian process (GP) regression, which provides a powerful non-parametric probabilistic method of relating inputs to outputs, to survival data consisting of time-to-event and covariate measurements. In this context, the covariates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-08 James E. Barrett , Anthony C. C. Coolen

This paper proposes online sampling in the parameter space of a neural network for GPU-accelerated motion planning of autonomous vehicles. Neural networks are used as controller parametrization since they can handle nonlinear non-convex…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-04-16 Mogens Graf Plessen

For developing innovative systems architectures, modeling and optimization techniques have been central to frame the architecting process and define the optimization and modeling problems. In this context, for system-of-systems the use of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Paul Saves , Jasper Bussemaker , Rémi Lafage , Thierry Lefebvre , Nathalie Bartoli , Youssef Diouane , Joseph Morlier

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are expressive models for capturing signal statistics and expressing prediction uncertainty. As a result, the robotics community has gathered interest in leveraging these methods for inference, planning, and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Francesco Crocetti , Jeffrey Mao , Alessandro Saviolo , Gabriele Costante , Giuseppe Loianno

Optimum parameter estimation methods require knowledge of a parametric probability density that statistically describes the available observations. In this work we examine Bayesian and non-Bayesian parameter estimation problems under a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-01 George V. Moustakides

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

Due to the evolving nature of power grids and model uncertainty, the online stability assessment of electrical power systems is always a challenging problem. This paper aims to provide a theoretical framework for estimating the region of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-26 Chao Zhai

Finite element model updating utilizing frequency response functions as inputs is an important procedure in structural analysis, design and control. This paper presents a highly efficient framework that is built upon Gaussian process…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Kai Zhou , Jiong Tang

This paper studies optimization on networks modeled as metric graphs. Motivated by applications where the objective function is expensive to evaluate or only available as a black box, we develop Bayesian optimization algorithms that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-30 Wenwen Li , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

Gaussian stochastic process emulation is a powerful tool for approximating computationally intensive computer models. However, estimation of parameters in the GaSP emulator is a challenging task. No closed-form estimator is available, and…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-06 Mengyang Gu , Jesús Palomo , James O. Berger

Sparse variational Gaussian process (SVGP) methods are a common choice for non-conjugate Gaussian process inference because of their computational benefits. In this paper, we improve their computational efficiency by using a dual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-20 Vincent Adam , Paul E. Chang , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Arno Solin

Complex computer codes or models can often be run in a hierarchy of different levels of complexity ranging from the very basic to the sophisticated. The top levels in this hierarchy are typically expensive to run, which limits the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Louise Kimpton , James Salter , Tim Dodwell , Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor

We address the problem of Gaussian Process (GP) optimization in the presence of unknown and potentially varying adversarial perturbations. Unlike traditional robust optimization approaches that focus on maximizing performance under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Artun Saday , Yaşar Cahit Yıldırım , Cem Tekin

When the dynamics of systems are unknown, supervised machine learning techniques are commonly employed to infer models from data. Gaussian process (GP) regression is a particularly popular learning method for this purpose due to the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-16 Xiaobing Dai , Armin Lederer , Zewen Yang , Sandra Hirche

Simulation of surface processes is a key part of computational chemistry that offers atomic-scale insights into mechanisms of heterogeneous catalysis, diffusion dynamics, as well as quantum tunneling phenomena. The most common theoretical…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-05-01 Wei Fang , Yu-Cheng Zhu , Yi-Han Cheng , Yi-Ping Hao , Jeremy O. Richardson