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We define a new multivariate time series model by generalizing the ARMAX process in a multivariate way. We give conditions on stationarity and analyze local dependence and domains of attraction. As a consequence of the obtained result, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Marta Ferreira , Helena Ferreira

We review some recent developments which make use of the concept of `superstatistics', an effective description for nonequilibrium systems with a varying intensive parameter such as the inverse temperature. We describe how the asymptotic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-23 Christian Beck

A very interesting matter of Network Science is assessing how complex a given network is. In other words, by how much does such a network departs from any general patterns which could be evoked for its description. Among other choices,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Roger S. Passos , Douglas O. Cardoso

We establish a bijection between marginal independence models on $n$ random variables and split closed order ideals in the poset of partial set partitions. We also establish that every discrete marginal independence model is toric in cdf…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Francisco Ponce-Carrión , Seth Sullivant

We study almost sure limiting behavior of extreme and intermediate order statistics arising from strictly stationary sequences. First, we provide sufficient dependence conditions under which these order statistics converges almost surely to…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-28 Aneta Buraczyńska , Anna Dembińska

This paper revisits the classical concept of network modularity and its spectral relaxations used throughout graph data analysis. We formulate and study several modularity statistic variants for which we establish asymptotic distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-26 Anirban Mitra , Konasale Prasad , Joshua Cape

The well-known M4 processes of Smith and Weissman are very flexible models for asymptotically dependent multivariate data. Extended M4 of Heffernan \emph{et al.} allows to also account for asymptotic independence. In this paper we introduce…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-30 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

We give an overview of several aspects arising in the statistical analysis of extreme risks with actuarial applications in view. In particular it is demonstrated that empirical process theory is a very powerful tool, both for the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Holger Drees

We use the notion of generalized connection over a bundle map in order to present an alternative approach to sub-Riemannian geometry. Known concepts, such as normal and abnormal extremals, will be studied in terms of this new formalism. In…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2009-11-07 B. Langerock

Regarding the analysis of Web communication, social and complex networks the fast finding of most influential nodes in a network graph constitutes an important research problem. We use two indices of the influence of those nodes, namely,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-06 Natalia Markovich

We give necessary and sufficient conditions for two sub-vectors of a random vector with a multivariate extreme value distribution, corresponding to the limit distribution of the maximum of a multidimensional stationary sequence with…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-09 Clara Viseu , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins , Helena Ferreira

In this paper, we study the task of detecting the edge dependency between two weighted random graphs. We formulate this task as a simple hypothesis testing problem, where under the null hypothesis, the two observed graphs are statistically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Mor Oren , Vered Paslev , Wasim Huleihel

The concept of independence plays a crucial role in probability theory and has been the subject of extensive research in recent years. Numerous approaches have been proposed to test for independence; however, most of them address the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Bogdan Ćmiel , Bartłomiej Gibas

An independent set A is maximal if it is not a proper subset of an independent set, while A is maximum if it has a maximum size. The problem of whether a graph has a pair of disjoint maximal independent sets was introduced by C. Berge in…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-02-01 Zakir Deniz , Vadim E. Levit , Eugen Mandrescu

We show that the d -separation criterion constitutes a valid test for conditional independence relationships that are induced by feedback systems involving discrete variables.

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Judea Pearl , Rina Dechter

Causal phenomena associated with rare events occur across a wide range of engineering problems, such as risk-sensitive safety analysis, accident analysis and prevention, and extreme value theory. However, current methods for causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-19 Chih-Yuan Chiu , Kshitij Kulkarni , Shankar Sastry

Clustering of extreme events can have profound and detrimental societal consequences. The extremal index, a number in the unit interval, is a key parameter in modelling the clustering of extremes. The study of extremal index often assumes a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Juan Juan Cai

Let $G = (V,E)$ be a graph and $k \ge 0$ an integer. A $k$-independent set $S \subseteq V$ is a set of vertices such that the maximum degree in the graph induced by $S$ is at most $k$. With $\alpha_k(G)$ we denote the maximum cardinality of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-08-24 Yair Caro , Adriana Hansberg

We introduce a new formulation of structural causal models for extremes, called the extremal structural causal model (eSCM). Unlike conventional structural causal models, where randomness is governed by a probability distribution, eSCMs use…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Shuyang Bai , Fei Fang , Tiandong Wang

A bivariate random vector can exhibit either asymptotic independence or dependence between the largest values of its components. When used as a statistical model for risk assessment in fields such as finance, insurance or meteorology, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-29 Sebastian Engelke , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer Wadsworth