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Inference over tails is performed by applying only the results of extreme value theory. Whilst such theory is well defined and flexible enough in the univariate case, multivariate inferential methods often require the imposition of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-11 Manuele Leonelli , Dani Gamerman

We introduce an independence criterion based on entropy regularized optimal transport. Our criterion can be used to test for independence between two samples. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for our test statistic and study its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-21 Lang Liu , Soumik Pal , Zaid Harchaoui

Einmahl, de Haan and Zhou (2016, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 78(1), 31-51) recently introduced a stochastic model that allows for heteroscedasticity of extremes. The model is extended to the situation where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-21 Axel Bücher , Tobias Jennessen

Some problems of statistics can be reduced to extremal problems of minimizing functionals of smooth functions defined on the cube $[0,1]^m$, $m\geq 2$. In this paper, we study a class of extremal problems that is closely connected to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-06 Alexander Nazarov , Natalia Stepanova

Multivariate extreme value theory is concerned with modeling the joint tail behavior of several random variables. Existing work mostly focuses on asymptotic dependence, where the probability of observing a large value in one of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Michaël Lalancette , Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

The probabilistic characterization of the relationship between two or more random variables calls for a notion of dependence. Dependence modeling leads to mathematical and statistical challenges, and recent developments in extremal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Giovanni Puccetti , Ruodu Wang

Statistical independence is a notion ubiquitous in various fields such as in statistics, probability, number theory and physics. We establish the stability of independence for any pair of random variables by their corresponding Brockwell…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-12 Xingzhi Wang

This note is a collection of several discussions of the paper "Beyond subjective and objective in statistics", read by A. Gelman and C. Hennig to the Royal Statistical Society on April 12, 2017, and to appear in the Journal of the Royal…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-11 Gilles Celeux , Jack Jewson , Julie Josse , Jean-Michel Marin , Christian P. Robert

Both marginal and dependence features must be described when modelling the extremes of a stationary time series. There are standard approaches to marginal modelling, but long- and short-range dependence of extremes may both appear. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-17 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

Extreme values of real phenomena are events that occur with low frequency, but can have a large impact on real life. These are, in many practical problems, high-dimensional by nature (e.g. Tawn, 1990; Coles and Tawn, 1991). To study these…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-25 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan

Extreme value theory provides an asymptotically justified framework for estimation of exceedance probabilities in regions where few or no observations are available. For multivariate tail estimation, the strength of extremal dependence is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

The extremal index is an important parameter in the characterization of extreme values of a stationary sequence. Our new estimation approach for this parameter is based on the extremal behavior under the local dependence condition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-11 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

A new class of graphical models capturing the dependence structure of events that occur in time is proposed. The graphs represent so-called local independences, meaning that the intensities of certain types of events are independent of some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-11 Vanessa Didelez

This paper is a survey on Extremal Graph Theory, primarily focusing on the case when one of the excluded graphs is bipartite. On one hand we give an introduction to this field and also describe many important results, methods, problems, and…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-07-02 Zoltán Füredi , Miklós Simonovits

We consider situations where data have been collected such that the sampling depends on the outcome of interest and possibly further covariates, as for instance in case-control studies. Graphical models represent assumptions about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-06 Vanessa Didelez , Svend Kreiner , Niels Keiding

Extremal Graph Theory aims to determine bounds for graph invariants as well as the graphs attaining those bounds. We are currently developping PHOEG, an ecosystem of tools designed to help researchers in Extremal Graph Theory. It uses a big…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-12-22 Gauvain Devillez , Pierre Hauweele , Hadrien Mélot

A geometric representation for multivariate extremes, based on the shapes of scaled sample clouds in light-tailed margins and their so-called limit sets, has recently been shown to connect several existing extremal dependence concepts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Jennifer Wadsworth , Ryan Campbell

Non-stationary extremal dependence, whereby the relationship between the extremes of multiple variables evolves over time, is commonly observed in many environmental and financial data sets. However, most multivariate extreme value models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-29 C. J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , J. L. Wadsworth , M. de Carvalho , B. D. Youngman

We survey recent advances in the theory of graph and hypergraph decompositions, with a focus on extremal results involving minimum degree conditions. We also collect a number of intriguing open problems, and formulate new ones.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-06-28 Stefan Glock , Daniela Kühn , Deryk Osthus

We introduce the concept of an extremely negatively dependent (END) sequence of random variables with a given common marginal distribution. The END structure, as a new benchmark for negative dependence, is comparable to comonotonicity and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Bin Wang , Ruodu Wang