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This paper introduces a formulation of the optimal network compression problem for financial systems. This general formulation is presented for different levels of network compression or rerouting allowed from the initial interbank network.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-14 Hamed Amini , Zachary Feinstein

The aim of this paper is to quantify and manage systemic risk caused by default contagion in the interbank market. We model the market as a random directed network, where the vertices represent financial institutions and the weighted edges…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Daniel Ritter

The current global financial system forms a highly interconnected network where a default in one of its nodes can propagate to many other nodes, causing a catastrophic avalanche effect. In this paper we consider the problem of reducing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Giuseppe Calafiore , Giulia Fracastoro , Anton V. Proskurnikov

In this paper we analyze the resilience of a network of banks to joint price fluctuations of the external assets in which they have shared exposures, and evaluate the worst-case effects of the possible default contagion. Indeed, when the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Giuseppe Calafiore , Giulia Fracastoro , Anton Proskurnikov

Interbank contagion can theoretically exacerbate losses in a financial system and lead to additional cascade defaults during downturn. In this paper we produce default analysis using both regression and neural network models to verify…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-29 Riccardo Doyle

In this paper, we study optimal switching problems under ambiguity. To characterize the optimal switching under ambiguity in the finite horizon, we use multidimensional reflected backward stochastic differential equations (multidimensional…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-23 Yuki Shigeta

In this paper we introduce a generalized extension of the Eisenberg-Noe model of financial contagion to allow for time dynamics of the interbank liabilities, including a dynamic examination of default risk. This framework separates the cash…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-28 Tathagata Banerjee , Alex Bernstein , Zachary Feinstein

A new procedure is presented for the objective comparison and evaluation of default definitions. This allows the lender to find a default threshold at which the financial loss of a loan portfolio is minimised, in accordance with Basel II.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-01 Arno Botha , Conrad Beyers , Pieter de Villiers

Financial network games model payment incentives in the context of networked liabilities. In this paper, we advance the understanding of incentives in financial networks in two important directions: minimal clearing (arising, e.g., as a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Martin Hoefer , Lisa Wilhelmi

We study financial systems from a game-theoretic standpoint. A financial system is represented by a network, where nodes correspond to firms, and directed labeled edges correspond to debt contracts between them. The existence of cycles in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Panagiotis Kanellopoulos , Maria Kyropoulou , Hao Zhou

As impressively shown by the financial crisis in 2007/08, contagion effects in financial networks harbor a great threat for the stability of the entire system. Without sufficient capital requirements for banks and other financial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Daniel Ritter

We study a model of clearing in an interbank network with crossholdings and default charges. Following the Eisenberg--Noe approach, we define the model via a set of natural financial regulations including those related with eventual default…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Yuri Kabanov , Arthur Sidorenko

In a dynamic economy, we characterize the fiscal policy of the government when it levies distortionary taxes and issues defaultable bonds to finance its stochastic expenditure. Default may occur in equilibrium as it prevents the government…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-10 Demian Pouzo , Ignacio Presno

The seniority of debt, which determines the order in which a bankrupt institution repays its debts, is an important and sometimes contentious feature of financial crises, yet its impact on system-wide stability is not well understood. We…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-25 Charles D. Brummitt , Teruyoshi Kobayashi

We consider the problem of determining a sequence of payments among a set of entities that clear (if possible) the liabilities among them. We formulate this as an optimal control problem, which is convex when the objective function is, and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-20 Shane Barratt , Stephen Boyd

We consider a large random network, in which the performance of a node depends upon that of its neighbours and some external random influence factors. This results in random vector valued fixed-point (FP) equations in large dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-14 Indrajit Saha , Veeraruna Kavitha

The question of how to stabilize financial systems has attracted considerable attention since the global financial crisis of 2007-2009. Recently, Beale et al. ("Individual versus systemic risk and the regulator's dilemma", Proc Natl Acad…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-30 Teruyoshi Kobayashi

We study the problem of designing dynamic intervention policies for minimizing networked defaults in financial networks. Formally, we consider a dynamic version of the celebrated Eisenberg-Noe model of financial network liabilities and use…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Marios Papachristou , Siddhartha Banerjee , Jon Kleinberg

Given a function based on the computation of an NP machine, can one in general eliminate some solutions? That is, can one in general decrease the ambiguity? This simple question remains, even after extensive study by many researchers over…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Piotr Faliszewski , Lane A. Hemaspaandra

The concept of clearing or netting, as defined in the glossaries of European Central Bank, has a great impact on the economy of a country influencing the exchanges and the interactions between companies. On short, netting refers to an…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Lucian-Ionut Gavrila , Alexandru Popa