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The St. Petersburg paradox is the oldest paradox in decision theory and has played a pivotal role in the introduction of increasing concave utility functions embodying risk aversion and decreasing marginal utility of gains. All attempts to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 V. I. Yukalov

A sentence from Carl Boyer's A History of Mathematics can be interpreted so that the full brothers Nicolaus II (02/06/1695 - 07/31/1726) and Daniel Bernoulli (02/08/1700 - 03/17/1782) are the authors of the St. Petersburg paradox. The…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Valerii Salov

The famous Saint Petersburg Paradox (St. Petersburg Paradox) shows that the theory of expected value does not capture the real-world economics of decision-making problems. Over the years, many economic theories were developed to resolve the…

General Economics · Economics 2020-05-19 Daniel Muller , Tshilidzi Marwala

This paper proposes a theory of pricing premised upon the assumptions that customers dislike unfair prices---those marked up steeply over cost---and that firms take these concerns into account when setting prices. Since they do not observe…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-06-15 Erik Eyster , Kristof Madarasz , Pascal Michaillat

A resolution of the St. Petersburg paradox is presented. In contrast to the standard resolution, utility is not required. Instead, the time-average performance of the lottery is computed. The final result can be phrased mathematically…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-01 Ole Peters

It is common in inventory theory to consider policies that minimize the expected cost of ordering and holding goods or materials. Nevertheless, the realized cost is a random variable, and, as the Saint Petersburg Paradox reminds us, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Alessandro Arlotto , J. Michael Steele

The St. Petersburg paradox provides a simple paradigm for systems that show sensitivity to rare events. Here, we demonstrate a physical realization of this paradox using tensile fracture, experimentally verifying for six decades of spatial…

Applied Physics · Physics 2020-07-01 Jake Fontana , Peter Palffy-Muhoray

In this article we will propose a completely new point of view for solving one of the most important paradoxes concerning game theory. The solution develop shifts the focus from the result to the strategy s ability to operate in a cognitive…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-26 Andrea Berdondini

We use three kinds of computations: simulation, numeric, and symbolic, to guide risk-averse gamblers in general, and offer particular advice on how to resolve the famous St. Petersburg paradox.

History and Overview · Mathematics 2023-10-12 Lucy Martinez , Doron Zeilberger

We study the discrete Bertrand pricing game with a non-increasing demand function. The game has $n \ge 2$ players who simultaneously choose prices from the set $\{1/k, 2/k, \ldots, 1\}$, where $k\in\mathbb{N}$. The player who sets the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Arnab Maiti , Junyan Liu , Kevin Jamieson , Lillian J. Ratliff

The paper studies pricing of insurance products focusing on the pricing of annuities under uncertainty. This pricing problem is crucial for financial decision making and was studied intensively, however, many open questions still remain. In…

General Economics · Economics 2022-07-20 Nikolai Dokuchaev

If you recommend a product to me and I buy it, how much should you be paid by the seller? And if your sole interest is to maximize the amount paid to you by the seller for a sequence of recommendations, how should you recommend optimally if…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-10 Paul Dütting , Monika Henzinger , Ingmar Weber

We study the problem of online dynamic pricing with two types of fairness constraints: a "procedural fairness" which requires the proposed prices to be equal in expectation among different groups, and a "substantive fairness" which requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Jianyu Xu , Dan Qiao , Yu-Xiang Wang

Simultaneous ascending auctions present agents with the exposure problem: bidding to acquire a bundle risks the possibility of obtaining an undesired subset of the goods. Auction theory provides little guidance for dealing with this…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Anna Osepayshvili , Michael P. Wellman , Daniel Reeves , Jeffrey K. MacKie-Mason

There has been a flurry of research in recent years on notions of fairness in ranking and recommender systems, particularly on how to evaluate if a recommender allocates exposure equally across groups of relevant items (also known as…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Flavien Prost , Ben Packer , Jilin Chen , Li Wei , Pierre Kremp , Nicholas Blumm , Susan Wang , Tulsee Doshi , Tonia Osadebe , Lukasz Heldt , Ed H. Chi , Alex Beutel

A pricing principle is introduced for non-attainable $q$-exponential bounded contingent claims in an incomplete Brownian motion market setting. The buyer evaluates the contingent claim under the ``distorted Radon-Nikodym derivative'' and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-11 Dejian Tian

We propose a probabilistic framework for pricing derivatives, which acknowledges that information and beliefs are subjective. Market prices can be translated into implied probabilities. In particular, futures imply returns for these implied…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-12 Ulrich Kirchner

The relevance of Adam Smith for understanding human morality and sociality is recognized in the growing interest in his work on moral sentiments among scholars of various academic backgrounds. But, paradoxically, Adam Smith's theory of…

General Economics · Economics 2023-07-04 Sabiou Inoua , Vernon Smith

Karl Menger's 1934 paper on the St. Petersburg paradox contains mathematical errors that invalidate his conclusion that unbounded utility functions, specifically Bernoulli's logarithmic utility, fail to resolve modified versions of the St.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-10 Ole Peters

Economic theory has provided an estimable intuition in understanding the perplexing ideologies in law, in the areas of economic law, tort law, contract law, procedural law and many others. Most legal systems require the parties involved in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-04-02 Kwadwo Osei Bonsu , Shoucan Chen
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