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COVID-19 pandemic has an unprecedented impact all over the world since early 2020. During this public health crisis, reliable forecasting of the disease becomes critical for resource allocation and administrative planning. The results from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Xiaoyong Jin , Yu-Xiang Wang , Xifeng Yan

The new coronavirus known as COVID-19 is spread world-wide since December 2019. Without any vaccination or medicine, the means of controlling it are limited to quarantine and social distancing. Here we study the spatio-temporal propagation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-02 Bnaya Gross , Zhiguo Zheng , Shiyan Liu , Xiaoqi Chen , Alon Sela , Jianxin Li , Daqing Li , Shlomo Havlin

The rapidly spreading Covid-19 that affected almost all countries, was first reported at the end of 2019. As a consequence of its highly infectious nature, countries all over the world have imposed extremely strict measures to control its…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-13 Semra Ahmetolan , Ayse Humeyra Bilge , Ali Demirci , Ayse Peker-Dobie , Onder Ergonul

In order to investigate the effectiveness of lockdown and social distancing restrictions, which have been widely carried out as policy choice to curb the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic around the world, we formulate and discuss a staged and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-20 Jing Ge , Daihai He , Zhigui Lin , Huaiping Zhu , Zian Zhuang

Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, many dashboards have emerged as useful tools to monitor the evolution of the pandemic, inform the public, and assist governments in decision making. Our goal is to develop a globally applicable…

The COVID-19 pandemic represents the most significant public health disaster since the 1918 influenza pandemic. During pandemics such as COVID-19, timely and reliable spatio-temporal forecasting of epidemic dynamics is crucial. Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Lijing Wang , Aniruddha Adiga , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Jiangzhuo Chen , Bryan Lewis , Madhav Marathe

At the end of April 20, 2020, there were only a few new COVID-19 cases remaining in China, whereas the rest of the world had shown increases in the number of new cases. It is of extreme importance to develop an efficient statistical model…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-01 Xiaoping Shi , Meiqian Chen , Yucheng Dong

This paper conducts a systematic statistical analysis of the characteristics of the geographical empirical distributions for the numbers of both cumulative and daily confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths at county, city, and state levels over…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-27 Peng Liu , Yanyan Zheng

After COVID-19 was first reported in China at the end of 2019, it took only a few months for this local crisis to turn into a global pandemic with unprecedented disruptions of everyday life. However, at any moment in time the situation in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-03-16 Thomas Kreuz

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a public health emergency of international concern affecting more than 200 countries and territories worldwide. As of September 30, 2020, it has caused a pandemic outbreak with more than 33…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-13 Tanujit Chakraborty , Indrajit Ghosh , Tirna Mahajan , Tejasvi Arora

Background: To assist policy makers in taking adequate decisions to stop the spread of COVID-19 pandemic, accurate forecasting of the disease propagation is of paramount importance. Materials and Methods: This paper presents a deep learning…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Ahmed Ben Said , Abdelkarim Erradi , Hussein Aly , Abdelmonem Mohamed

Classical epidemiological models assume homogeneous populations. There have been important extensions to model heterogeneous populations, when the identity of the sub-populations is known, such as age group or geographical location. Here,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Roberto Vega , Zehra Shah , Pouria Ramazi , Russell Greiner

Between the years 2020 to 2022, the world was hit by the pandemic of COVID-19 giving rise to an extremely grave situation. The global economy was badly hurt due to the consequences of various intervention strategies (like social distancing,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-28 Sourav Chowdhury , Suparna Roychowdhury , Indranath Chaudhuri

The recent epidemic of Coronavirus (COVID-19) that started in China has already been "exported" to more than 140 countries in all the continents, evolving in most of them by local spreading. In this contribution we analyze the trends of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-23 Albertine Weber , Flavio Ianelli , Sebastian Goncalves

The ongoing novel coronavirus epidemic has been announced a pandemic by the World Health Organization on March 11, 2020, and the Govt. of India has declared a nationwide lockdown from March 25, 2020, to prevent community transmission of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-26 Subhas Khajanchi , Kankan Sarkar

We propose a deterministic SAIVRD model and a stochastic SARV model of the epidemic COVID-19 involving asymptomatic infections and vaccinations to conduct data forecasts using time-dependent parameters. The forecast by our deterministic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-28 Bo-Sheng Chen , Zong-Ying Wu , Yen-Jia Chen , Jann-Long Chern

In December 2019, a novel coronavirus was found in a seafood wholesale market in Wuhan, China. WHO officially named this coronavirus as COVID-19. Since the first patient was hospitalized on December 12, 2019, China has reported a total of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-18 Lin Jia , Kewen Li , Yu Jiang , Xin Guo , Ting zhao

Artificial intelligence (AI) provides a promising substitution for streamlining COVID-19 diagnoses. However, concerns surrounding security and trustworthiness impede the collection of large-scale representative medical data, posing a…

The initial cluster of severe pneumonia cases that triggered the 2019-nCoV epidemic was identified in Wuhan, China in December 2019. While early cases of the disease were linked to a wet market, human-to-human transmission has driven the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-13 K. Roosa , Y. Lee , R. Luo , A. Kirpich , R. Rothenberg , J. M. Hyman , P. Yan , G. Chowell

A reasonable prediction of infectious diseases transmission process under different disease control strategies is an important reference point for policy makers. Here we established a dynamic transmission model via Python and realized…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-23 Yuxuan Zhang , Chen Gong , Dawei Li , Zhi-Wei Wang , Shengda D Pu , Alex W Robertson , Hong Yu , John Parrington