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Related papers: Artificial Intelligence Forecasting of Covid-19 in…

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We present a timely and novel methodology that combines disease estimates from mechanistic models with digital traces, via interpretable machine-learning methodologies, to reliably forecast COVID-19 activity in Chinese provinces in…

While COVID-19 is rapidly propagating around the globe, the need for providing real-time forecasts of the epidemics pushes fits of dynamical and statistical models to available data beyond their capabilities. Here we focus on statistical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-08 Tommaso Alberti , Davide Faranda

When the Covid-19 pandemic enters dangerous new phase, whether and when to take aggressive public health interventions to slow down the spread of COVID-19. To develop the artificial intelligence (AI) inspired methods for real-time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-24 Zixin Hu , Qiyang Ge , Shudi Li , Eric Boerwincle , Li Jin , Momiao Xiong

The very first infected novel coronavirus case (COVID-19) was found in Hubei, China in Dec. 2019. The COVID-19 pandemic has spread over 214 countries and areas in the world, and has significantly affected every aspect of our daily lives. At…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Quoc-Viet Pham , Dinh C. Nguyen , Thien Huynh-The , Won-Joo Hwang , Pubudu N Pathirana

By using the public data from Jan. 20 to Feb. 11, 2020, we perform data-driven analysis and forecasting on the COVID-19 epidemic in mainland China, especially Hubei province. Our results show that the turning points of the daily infections…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-30 Qiang Li , Wei Feng

Started in Wuhan, China, the COVID-19 has been spreading all over the world. We calibrate the logistic growth model, the generalized logistic growth model, the generalized Richards model and the generalized growth model to the reported…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-24 Ke Wu , Didier Darcet , Qian Wang , Didier Sornette

The objective of this work is to predict the spread of COVID-19 starting from observed data, using a forecast method inspired by probabilistic weather prediction systems operational today. Results show that this method works well for China:…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-31 Roberto Buizza

The declaration of COVID-19 as a pandemic has largely amplified the spread of related information on social media, such as Twitter, Facebook, and WeChat.Unlike the previous studies which focused on how to detect the misinformation or fake…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-09 Xiu-Xiu Zhan , Kaiyue Zhang , Lun Ge , Junming Huang , Zinan Zhang , Lu Wei , Gui-Quan Sun , Chuang Liu , Zi-Ke Zhang

In this paper, we propose a dynamical model to describe the transmission of COVID-19, which is spreading in China and many other countries. To avoid a larger outbreak in the worldwide, Chinese government carried out a series of strong…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-09 Jiwei Jia , Jian Ding , Siyu Liu , Guidong Liao , Jingzhi Li , Ben Duan , Guoqing Wang , Ran Zhang

Purpose: Artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have been extensively utilized for diagnosing and prognosis of several diseases in recent years. This study identifies, appraises and synthesizes published studies on the use of AI for the…

We model the COVID-19 coronavirus epidemic in China. We use early reported case data to predict the cumulative number of reported cases to a final size. The key features of our model are the timing of implementation of major public policies…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-28 Zhihua Liu , Pierre Magal , Ousmane Seydi , Glenn Webb

Since the first recording of what we now call Covid-19 infection in Wuhan, Hubei province, China on Dec 31, 2019, the disease has spread worldwide and met with a wide variety of social distancing and quarantine policies. The effectiveness…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-07 Raj Dandekar , George Barbastathis

In this paper, based on the Akaike information criterion, root mean square error and robustness coefficient, a rational evaluation of various epidemic models/methods, including seven empirical functions, four statistical inference methods…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-16 Wuyue Yang , Dongyan Zhang , Liangrong Peng , Changjing Zhuge , Liu Hong

Governments around the world have implemented preventive measures against the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19). In this study, we consider a multivariate discrete-time Markov model to analyze the propagation of COVID-19 across…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-18 Tatsushi Oka , Wei Wei , Dan Zhu

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all countries of the world producing a substantial number of fatalities accompanied by a major disruption in their social, financial, and educational organization. The strict disciplinary measures…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-28 G. D. Barmparis , G. P. Tsironis

The outbreak of novel coronavirus-caused pneumonia (COVID-19) in Wuhan has attracted worldwide attention. Here, we propose a generalized SEIR model to analyze this epidemic. Based on the public data of National Health Commission of China…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-26 Liangrong Peng , Wuyue Yang , Dongyan Zhang , Changjing Zhuge , Liu Hong

Can public social media data be harnessed to predict COVID-19 case counts? We analyzed approximately 15 million COVID-19 related posts on Weibo, a popular Twitter-like social media platform in China, from November 1, 2019 to March 31, 2020.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-08-06 Cuihua Shen , Anfan Chen , Chen Luo , Jingwen Zhang , Bo Feng , Wang Liao

In 2020, covid-19 virus had reached more than 200 countries. Till December 20th 2021, 221 nations in the world had collectively reported 275M confirmed cases of covid-19 & total death toll of 5.37M. Many countries which include United…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Mredulraj S. Pandianchery , Gopalakrishnan E. A , Sowmya V , Vinayakumar Ravi , Soman K. P

We present Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) statistics in China dataset: daily statistics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China at the city/county level. For each city/country, we include the six most important numbers for epidemic research:…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-08 Wenyuan Liu , Peter Tsung-Wen Yen , Siew Ann Cheong

COVID-19 is a novel coronavirus that was emerged in December 2019 within Wuhan, China. As the crisis of its serious increasing dynamic outbreak in all parts of the globe, the forecast maps and analysis of confirmed cases (CS) becomes a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-04-14 Rizk M. Rizk-Allah , Aboul Ella Hassanien
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