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In this paper, we propose a novel variable selection approach in the framework of sparse high-dimensional GLARMA models. It consists in combining the estimation of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) coefficients of these models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-14 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet

In this paper, we address the problem of adaptive learning for autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model in the quaternion domain. By transforming the original learning problem into a full information optimization task without explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-29 Xiaokun Pu , Chunguang Li

We propose a multiscale approach to time series autoregression, in which linear regressors for the process in question include features of its own path that live on multiple timescales. We take these multiscale features to be the recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Rafal Baranowski , Yining Chen , Piotr Fryzlewicz

The alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) has been widely adopted in low-rank approximation and low-order model identification tasks; however, the performance of nonconvex ADMM is highly reliant on the choice of penalty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-11 Qingyuan Liu , Zhengchao Huang , Hao Ye , Dexian Huang , Chao Shang

The optimal control input for linear systems can be solved from algebraic Riccati equation (ARE), from which it remains questionable to get the form of the exact solution. In engineering, the acceptable numerical solutions of ARE can be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-07 Shengbo Wang , Shiping Wen , Kaibo Shi , Song Zhu , Tingwen Huang

We propose convenient inferential methods for potentially nonstationary multivariate unobserved components models with fractional integration and cointegration. Based on finite-order ARMA approximations in the state space representation,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-10 Tobias Hartl , Roland Weigand

One of the important and widely used classes of models for non-Gaussian time series is the generalized autoregressive model average models (GARMA), which specifies an ARMA structure for the conditional mean process of the underlying time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Tingguo Zheng , Han Xiao , Rong Chen

Two-dimensional (2-D) autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are commonly applied to describe real-world image data, usually assuming Gaussian or symmetric noise. However, real-world data often present non-Gaussian signals, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 B. G. Palm , F. M. Bayer , R. J. Cintra

This work presents a Bayesian approach for the estimation of Beta Autoregressive Moving Average ($\beta$ARMA) models. We discuss standard choice for the prior distributions and employ a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-17 Aline Foerster Grande , Guilherme Pumi , Gabriela Bettella Cybis

This paper considers the problem of system identification for linear time varying systems. We propose a new system realization approach that uses an "information-state" as the state vector, where the "information-state" is composed of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-08 Mohamed Naveed Gul Mohamed , Raman Goyal , Suman Chakravorty , Ran Wang

Estimating hidden processes from non-linear noisy observations is particularly difficult when the parameters of these processes are not known. This paper adopts a machine learning approach to devise variational Bayesian inference for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Komlan Atitey , Pavel Loskot , Lyudmila Mihaylova

In practice, several time series exhibit long-range dependence or persistence in their observations, leading to the development of a number of estimation and prediction methodologies to account for the slowly decaying autocorrelations. The…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-09 Javier E. Contreras-Reyes , Wilfredo Palma

One of the cornerstones of the field of signal processing on graphs are graph filters, direct analogues of classical filters, but intended for signals defined on graphs. This work brings forth new insights on the distributed graph filtering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-18 Elvin Isufi , Andreas Loukas , Andrea Simonetto , Geert Leus

Estimation of autocorrelations and spectral densities is of fundamental importance in many fields of science, from identifying pulsar signals in astronomy to measuring heart beats in medicine. In circumstances where one is interested in…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-22 C. H. Fleming , J. M. Calabrese

The problem of estimating ARMA models is computationally interesting due to the nonconcavity of the log-likelihood function. Recent results were based on the convex minimization. Joint model selection using penalization by a convex norm,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Stéphane Chrétien , Tianwen Wei , Basad Ali Hussain Al-sarray

Existing models for high-dimensional time series are overwhelmingly developed within the finite-order vector autoregressive (VAR) framework. However, the more flexible vector autoregressive moving averages (VARMA) have been much less…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Feiqing Huang , Kexin Lu , Yao Zheng

This paper considers nonparametric estimation and inference in first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) models with deterministically time-varying parameters. A key feature of the proposed approach is to allow for time-varying stationarity in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-04 Donald W. K. Andrews , Ming Li

This paper derives a Minimum Message Length (MML) criterion for the model selection of the Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) time series model. The MML87 performances on the ARMA model compared with other well known model selection…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Zheng Fang , David L. Dowe , Shelton Peiris , Dedi Rosadi

A new likelihood based AR approximation is given for ARMA models. The usual algorithms for the computation of the likelihood of an ARMA model require $O(n)$ flops per function evaluation. Using our new approximation, an algorithm is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-04 A. Ian McLeod , Ying Zhang

A wide range of approaches for batch processes monitoring can be found in the literature. This kind of process generates a very peculiar data structure, in which successive measurements of many process variables in each batch run are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-03 Batista Nunes de Oliveira , Marcio Valk , Danilo Marcondes Filho