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Data assimilation (DA) improves prediction of chaotic systems by combining model forecasts with sparse, noisy observations. Many DA methods are inherently probabilistic, but accurate probabilistic DA is often computationally expensive…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-24 Aditya Sai Pranith Ayapilla , Kazuya Miyashita , Yuki Yasuda , Ryo Onishi

The increasing application of cardiorespiratory simulations for diagnosis and surgical planning necessitates the development of computational methods significantly faster than the current technology. To achieve this objective, we leverage…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Mahdi Esmaily , Dongjie Jia

The detrending moving average (DMA) algorithm is a widely used technique to quantify the long-term correlations of non-stationary time series and the long-range correlations of fractal surfaces, which contains a parameter $\theta$…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-03 Gao-Feng Gu , Wei-Xing Zhou

In stationary subspace analysis (SSA) one assumes that the observable p-variate time series is a linear mixture of a k-variate nonstationary time series and a (p-k)-variate stationary time series. The aim is then to estimate the unmixing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-15 Lea Flumian , Markus Matilainen , Klaus Nordhausen , Sara Taskinen

Patient similarity computation (PSC) is a fundamental problem in healthcare informatics. The aim of the patient similarity computation is to measure the similarity among patients according to their historical clinical records, which helps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Joydeb Kumar Sana , Mohammad M. Masud , M Sohel Rahman , M Saifur Rahman

Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) has been proposed as a robust technique to determine possible long-range correlations in power-law processes [1]. However, recent studies have reported the susceptibility of DFA to trends [2] which give…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Radhakrishnan Nagarajan , Rajesh G. Kavasseri

Fluctuations of the human heart beat constitute a complex system that has been studied mostly under resting conditions using conventional time series analysis methods. During physical exercise, the variability of the fluctuations is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-08-13 Matti Molkkari , Giorgio Angelotti , Thorsten Emig , Esa Räsänen

The paper presents a new method of trend extraction in the framework of the Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) approach. This method is easy to use, does not need specification of models of time series and trend, allows to extract trend in…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-06 Theodore Alexandrov

We report a general technique to study a given experimental time series with superstatistics. Crucial for the applicability of the superstatistics concept is the existence of a parameter $\beta$ that fluctuates on a large time scale as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Erik Van der Straeten , Christian Beck

In order to further overcome the difficulties of the existing models in dealing with the non-stationary and nonlinear characteristics of high-frequency financial time series data, especially its weak generalization ability, this paper…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-08 Qi Tang , Tongmei Fan , Ruchen Shi , Jingyan Huang , Yidan Ma

We present a Bayesian dynamical inference method for characterizing cardiorespiratory (CR) dynamics in humans by inverse modelling from blood pressure time-series data. This new method is applicable to a broad range of stochastic dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 D. G. Luchinsky , V. N. Smelyanskiy , M. M. Millonas , A. Stefanovska , P. V. E. McClintock

The detrended cross-correlation coefficient $\rho_{\rm DCCA}$ has recently been proposed to quantify the strength of cross-correlations on different temporal scales in bivariate, non-stationary time series. It is based on the detrended…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-12-09 Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Stanislaw Drozdz

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

The spatio-temporal autoregressive moving average (STARMA) model is frequently used in several studies of multivariate time series data, where the assumption of stationarity is important, but it is not always guaranteed in practice. One way…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-14 Yangyang Chen , Pedro Alberto Morettin , Chang Chiann

The decomposition of a time series is an essential task that helps to understand its very nature. It facilitates the analysis and forecasting of complex time series expressing various hidden components such as the trend, seasonal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-25 Grzegorz Dudek

We examine several recently suggested methods for the detection of long-range correlations in data series based on similar ideas as the well-established Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA). In particular, we present a detailed comparison…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Amir Bashan , Ronny Bartsch , Jan W. Kantelhardt , Shlomo Havlin

We study the Heart Rate Variability (HRV) using scale specific variance and scaling exponents as measures of healthy and cardiac impaired individuals. Our results show that the variance and the scaling exponent are uncorrelated. We find…

An inversion method for time-resolved data from ultrafast experiments is introduced, based on forward-optimisation in a trajectory basis. The method is applied to experimental data from x-ray scattering of the photochemical ring-opening…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-10-28 Kyle Acheson , Adam Kirrander

Statistically simulated time series of wave parameters are required for many coastal and offshore engineering applications, often at the resolution of approximately one hour. Various studies have relied on autoregressive moving-average…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-31 Wiebke S. Jäger , Thomas Nagler , Claudia Czado , Robert T. McCall

Shapelet-based algorithms are widely used for time series classification because of their ease of interpretation, but they are currently outperformed by recent state-of-the-art approaches. We present a new formulation of time series…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Antoine Guillaume , Christel Vrain , Elloumi Wael
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