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In this article, we show how the theory of rough paths can be used to provide a notion of solution to a class of nonlinear stochastic PDEs of Burgers type that exhibit too high spatial roughness for classical analytical methods to apply. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-11 Martin Hairer

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely employed in control and learning because of their principled treatment of uncertainty. However, tracking uncertainty for iterative, multi-step predictions in general leads to an analytically intractable…

One of the main concepts in quantum physics is a density matrix, which is a symmetric positive definite matrix of trace one. Finite probability distributions can be seen as a special case when the density matrix is restricted to be…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-01-12 Manfred K Warmuth , Dima Kuzmin

We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric or semiparametric models based on Gaussian processes. The rate of contraction is shown to depend on the position of the true parameter relative to the reproducing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

We obtain several extensions of Talagrand's lower bound for the small deviation probability using metric entropy. For Gaussian processes, our investigations are focused on processes with sub-polynomial and, respectively, exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-14 Frank Aurzada , Mikhail Lifshits

This article is a survey of the results on asymptotic behavior of small ball probabilities in $L_2$-norm. Recent progress in this field is mainly based on the methods of spectral theory of differential and integral operators.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-26 Alexander Nazarov , Yulia Petrova

We introduce a stochastic variational inference procedure for training scalable Gaussian process (GP) models whose per-iteration complexity is independent of both the number of training points, $n$, and the number basis functions used in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-05 Trefor W. Evans , Prasanth B. Nair

We address the question of convergence in the loopy belief propagation (LBP) algorithm. Specifically, we relate convergence of LBP to the existence of a weak limit for a sequence of Gibbs measures defined on the LBP s associated computation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Sekhar Tatikonda , Michael I. Jordan

We analyze the Gaussian approximation as a method to obtain the first and second moments of a stochastic process described by a master equation. We justify the use of this approximation with ideas coming from van Kampen's expansion approach…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Luis F. Lafuerza , Raul Toral

We investigate the low-dimensional structure of deterministic transformations between random variables, i.e., transport maps between probability measures. In the context of statistics and machine learning, these transformations can be used…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-18 Alessio Spantini , Daniele Bigoni , Youssef Marzouk

This paper presents a new multi-query motion planning algorithm for linear Gaussian systems with the goal of reaching a Euclidean ball with high probability. We develop a new formulation for ball-shaped ambiguity sets of Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Alex Rose , Naman Aggarwal , Christopher Jewison , Jonathan P. How

We study Spatial Logistic Gaussian Process (SLGP) models for non-parametric estimation of probability density fields using scattered samples of heterogeneous sizes. SLGPs are examined from the perspective of random measures and their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-20 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger

The construction of high order entropy stable collocation schemes on quadrilateral and hexahedral elements has relied on the use of Gauss-Legendre-Lobatto collocation points and their equivalence with summation-by-parts (SBP) finite…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Jesse Chan , David C. Del Rey Fernandez , Mark H. Carpenter

We describe a method to computationally estimate the probability density function of a univariate random variable by applying the maximum entropy principle with some local conditions given by Gaussian functions. The estimation errors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-21 Mihail-Ioan Pop

A typical computational geometry problem begins: Consider a set P of n points in R^d. However, many applications today work with input that is not precisely known, for example when the data is sensed and has some known error model. What if…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2008-12-17 Maarten Loffler , Jeff M. Phillips

We present a new pathwise approximation scheme for stochastic differential equations driven by multidimensional Brownian motion which does not require the simulation of L\'{e}vy area and has a Wasserstein convergence rate better than the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-02 Guy Flint , Terry Lyons

Problems of probabilistic inference and decision making under uncertainty commonly involve continuous random variables. Often these are discretized to a few points, to simplify assessments and computations. An alternative approximation is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 William B. Poland , Ross D. Shachter

Gaussian distributions are plentiful in applications dealing in uncertainty quantification and diffusivity. They furthermore stand as important special cases for frameworks providing geometries for probability measures, as the resulting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-08 Anton Mallasto , Augusto Gerolin , Hà Quang Minh

Gaussian processes (GPs) defined through intrinsic random fields provide a flexible framework for modeling spatial phenomena, and have been advocated in a variety of applications over the past several decades. Nevertheless, their adoption…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Christopher Beattie , David Higdon , Leanna House , Colby Stakun-Pickering , Jared Clark

Reliable uncertainty estimates are crucial in modern machine learning. Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) and Deep Sigma Point Processes (DSPPs) extend GPs hierarchically, offering promising methods for uncertainty quantification grounded in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-25 Matthijs van der Lende , Jeremias Lino Ferrao , Niclas Müller-Hof
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