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A hierarchical ensemble pipeline is introduced to address anomaly detection in multivariate telemetry data provided by European Space Agency (ESA). The method integrates shapelet-based and statistical feature extraction, per-channel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Lorenzo Riccardo Allegrini , Geremia Pompei

We study Bayesian methods for large-scale linear inverse problems, focusing on the challenging task of hyperparameter estimation. Typical hierarchical Bayesian formulations that follow a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach are possible for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Khalil A Hall-Hooper , Arvind K Saibaba , Julianne Chung , Scot M Miller

We describe a general probabilistic framework to address a variety of Frechet-distance optimization problems. Specifically, we are interested in finding minimal bottleneck-paths in $d$-dimensional Euclidean space between given start and…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2016-07-12 Kiril Solovey , Dan Halperin

Stage IV cosmological surveys will map the universe with unprecedented precision, reducing statistical uncertainties to levels where unmodelled systematics can significantly bias inference. In particular, photometric redshift (photo-z)…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-11 Carolyn McDonald Mill , C. Danielle Leonard , Markus Michael Rau , Cora Uhlemann , Shahab Joudaki

Current methods for learning graphical models with latent variables and a fixed structure estimate optimal values for the model parameters. Whereas this approach usually produces overfitting and suboptimal generalization performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Hagai Attias

We discuss a Bayesian approach to the analysis of radial velocities in planet searches. We use a combination of exact and approximate analytic and numerical techniques to efficiently evaluate chi-squared for multiple values of orbital…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-14 Andrew Cumming , Diana Dragomir

We present a novel Explainable methodology for Condition Monitoring, relying on healthy data only. Since faults are rare events, we propose to focus on learning the probability distribution of healthy observations only, and detect Anomalies…

We describe an algorithm which directly determines the quintessence potential from observational data, without using an equation of state parametrisation. The strategy is to numerically determine observational quantities as a function of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Martin Sahlén , Andrew R. Liddle , David Parkinson

In many inverse problems, model parameters cannot be precisely determined from observational data. Bayesian inference provides a mechanism for capturing the resulting parameter uncertainty, but typically at a high computational cost. This…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-28 Matthew Parno , Tarek Moselhy , Youssef Marzouk

Deep learning has emerged as a transformative methodology in modern cosmology, providing powerful tools to extract meaningful physical information from complex astronomical datasets. This paper implements a novel Bayesian graph deep…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-28 Juan Alejandro Pinto Castro , Héctor J. Hortúa , Jorge Enrique García-Farieta , Roger Anderson Hurtado

Likelihood-free inference provides a rigorous approach to preform Bayesian analysis using forward simulations only. The main advantage of likelihood-free methods is its ability to account for complex physical processes and observational…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-02-09 Sut-Ieng Tam , Keiichi Umetsu , Adam Amara

One of the main unsolved problems of cosmology is how to maximize the extraction of information from nonlinear data. If the data are nonlinear the usual approach is to employ a sequence of statistics (N-point statistics, counting statistics…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-07 Uros Seljak , Grigor Aslanyan , Yu Feng , Chirag Modi

We present a Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) framework for cosmological parameter estimation via void lensing analysis. Despite the absence of an analytical model of void lensing, SBI can effectively learn posterior distributions through…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-09 Chen Su , Huanyuan Shan , Cheng Zhao , Wenshuo Xu , Jiajun Zhang

Estimation of parameters that obey specific constraints is crucial in statistics and machine learning; for example, when parameters are required to satisfy boundedness, monotonicity, or linear inequalities. Traditional approaches impose…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Lachlan Astfalck , Deborshee Sen , Sayan Patra , Edward Cripps , David Dunson

Powerful current and future cosmological constraints using high precision measurements of the large-scale structure of galaxies and its weak gravitational lensing effects rely on accurate characterization of the redshift distributions of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-05 Carles Sánchez , Gary M. Bernstein

Bayesian inference is often used in cosmology and astrophysics to derive constraints on model parameters from observations. This approach relies on the ability to compute the likelihood of the data given a choice of model parameters. In…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-16 Joel Akeret , Alexandre Refregier , Adam Amara , Sebastian Seehars , Caspar Hasner

We present Flinch, a fully differentiable and high-performance framework for field-level inference on angular maps, developed to improve the flexibility and scalability of current methodologies. Flinch is integrated with differentiable…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-31 Andrea Crespi , Marco Bonici , Arthur Loureiro , Jaime Ruiz-Zapatero , Ivan Sladoljev , Zack Li , Adrian Bayer , Marius Millea , Uroš Seljak

We present general, analytic methods for Cosmological likelihood analysis and solve the "many-parameters" problem in Cosmology. Maxima are found by Newton's Method, while marginalization over nuisance parameters, and parameter errors and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 A. N. Taylor , T. D. Kitching

We introduce a data assimilation method to estimate model parameters with observations of passive tracers by directly assimilating Lagrangian Coherent Structures. Our approach differs from the usual Lagrangian Data Assimilation approach,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-11-22 John Maclean , Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Christopher KRT Jones

We present a new transport-based approach to efficiently perform sequential Bayesian inference of static model parameters. The strategy is based on the extraction of conditional distribution from the joint distribution of parameters and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Paul-Baptiste Rubio , Youssef Marzouk , Matthew Parno
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