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Demand response is designed to motivate electricity customers to modify their loads at critical time periods. The accurate estimation of impact of demand response signals to customers' consumption is central to any successful program. In…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-03 Pan Li , Baosen Zhang

In face of the pressing need of decarbonization in the power sector, the re-design of electricity market is necessary as a Marco-level approach to accommodate the high penetration of renewable generations, and to achieve power system…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Ziqing Zhu , Siqi Bu , Ka Wing Chan , Bin Zhou , Shiwei Xia

We consider the optimal experimental design problem of allocating subjects to treatment or control when subjects participate in multiple, separate controlled experiments within a short time-frame and subject covariate information is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 William Fisher , Qiong Zhang , Lulu Kang , Xinwei Deng

Clustering and dependence are common in trials. For example, in some cluster randomized trials (CRTs), pre-existing clusters are enrolled, randomized, and serve as the basis of intervention delivery. Such CRTs are "fully clustered":…

Policy-relevant treatment effect estimation in a marketplace setting requires taking into account both the direct benefit of the treatment and any spillovers induced by changes to the market equilibrium. The standard way to address these…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-04 Evan Munro , Xu Kuang , Stefan Wager

It is increasingly common to augment randomized controlled trial with external controls from observational data, to evaluate the treatment effect of an intervention. Traditional approaches to treatment effect estimation involve ambiguous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Bo Liu , Laine Thomas , Rury R. Holman , Fan Li

Variance in predictions across different trained models is a significant, under-explored source of error in fair binary classification. In practice, the variance on some data examples is so large that decisions can be effectively arbitrary.…

The analysis of platform trials can be enhanced by utilizing non-concurrent controls. Since including this data might also introduce bias in the treatment effect estimators if time trends are present, methods for incorporating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Pavla Krotka , Martin Posch , Marta Bofill Roig

Consider a researcher estimating the parameters of a regression function based on data for all 50 states in the United States or on data for all visits to a website. What is the interpretation of the estimated parameters and the standard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Alberto Abadie , Susan Athey , Guido W. Imbens , Jeffrey M. Wooldridge

We develop a stochastic equilibrium model for an electricity market with asymmetric renewable energy forecasts. In our setting, market participants optimize their profits using public information about a conditional expectation of energy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Vladimir Dvorkin , Jalal Kazempour , Pierre Pinson

Platform trials evaluate multiple experimental treatments against a common control group (and/or against each other), which often reduces the trial duration and sample size. Bayesian platform designs offer several practical advantages,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-18 Luke Hagar , Lara Maleyeff , Shirin Golchi , Dick Menzies

We contemplate an experimental situation in a $2^k$-factorial experiment with acute resource crunch so that we need to conduct just a saturated design [SD] - with the understanding that precision of the estimates cannot be estimated from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-01 Francois Domagni , Samad Hedayat , Sinha Bikas

Modern collaborative filtering algorithms seek to provide personalized product recommendations by uncovering patterns in consumer-product interactions. However, these interactions can be biased by how the product is marketed, for example…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Mengting Wan , Jianmo Ni , Rishabh Misra , Julian McAuley

Randomized experiments are widely used to estimate causal effects across a variety of domains. However, classical causal inference approaches rely on critical independence assumptions that are violated by network interference, when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-18 Mayleen Cortez , Matthew Eichhorn , Christina Lee Yu

Decisions taken in our everyday lives are based on a wide variety of information so it is generally very difficult to assess what are the strategies that guide us. Stock market therefore provides a rich environment to study how people take…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-28 Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Carlota Segura , Jordi Duch , Josep Perelló

This paper proposes a two-step framework for techno-economic analysis of a demand-side flexibility service in distribution networks. Step one applies optimization-based modelling to propose a generic problem formulation which determines the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-10 Timur Sayfutdinov , Charalampos Patsios , David Greenwood , Meltem Peker , Ilias Sarantakos

We consider a learning problem for the stable marriage model under unknown preferences for the left side of the market. We focus on the centralized case, where at each time step, an online platform matches the agents, and obtains a noisy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Andreas Athanasopoulos , Anne-Marie George , Christos Dimitrakakis

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) is traditionally formulated as a nested optimization and reliability problem. Although surrogate models are generally employed to improve efficiency, the approach remains computationally…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-08 M. Moustapha , B. Sudret

Interference is a ubiquitous problem in experiments conducted on two-sided content marketplaces, such as Douyin (China's analog of TikTok). In many cases, creators are the natural unit of experimentation, but creators interfere with each…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-05 Vivek F. Farias , Hao Li , Tianyi Peng , Xinyuyang Ren , Huawei Zhang , Andrew Zheng

Advancements in digitization have enabled two sided manufacturing-as-a-service (MaaS) marketplaces which has significantly reduced product development time for designers. These platforms provide designers with access to manufacturing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Deepak Pahwa
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