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Predefined-time stability enables convergence within a user-specified time independent of initial conditions. Existing results are predominantly based on autonomous Lyapunov inequalities, where the predefined-time is realized through…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-30 Özhan Bingöl

A discrete-time Markov chain can be transformed into a new Markov chain by looking at its states along iterations of an almost surely finite stopping time. By the optional stopping theorem, any bounded harmonic function with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Iddo Ben-Ari , Behrang Forghani

In the paper, we study a new rate of convergence estimate for homogeneous discrete-time nonlinear Markov chains based on the Markov-Dobrushin condition. This result generalizes the convergence estimates for any positive number of transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Aleksandr A. Shchegolev

We study a new technique for the asymptotic analysis of heavy-tailed systems conditioned on large deviations events. We illustrate our approach in the context of ruin events of multidimensional regularly varying random walks. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Jose Blanchet , Jingchen Liu

This paper presents a new condition for the existence of optimal stationary policies in average-cost continuous-time Markov decision processes with unbounded cost and transition rates, arising from controlled queueing systems. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-23 Cao Ping , Xie Jingui

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

This paper presents a synthesis approach aiming to guarantee a minimum upper-bound for the time taken to reach a target set of non-zero measure that encompasses the origin, while taking into account uncertainties and input and state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Víctor Costa da Silva Campos , Mariella Maia Quadros , Luciano Frezzato , Leonardo Mozelli , Anh-Tu Nguyen

The convergence rate of a Markov chain to its stationary distribution is typically assessed using the concept of total variation mixing time. However, this worst-case measure often yields pessimistic estimates and is challenging to infer…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Geoffrey Wolfer , Pierre Alquier

We introduce a unified operator-theoretic framework for analyzing mixing times of finite-state ergodic Markov chains that applies to both reversible and non-reversible dynamics. The central object in our analysis is the projected transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Muhammad Abdullah Naeem

In this paper, we study a continuous-time discounted jump Markov decision process with both controlled actions and observations. The observation is only available for a discrete set of time instances. At each time of observation, one has to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Yunhan Huang , Veeraruna Kavitha , Quanyan Zhu

Time bounded reachability is a fundamental problem in model checking continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) and Markov decision processes (CTMDPs) for specifications in continuous stochastic logics. It can be computed by numerically solving…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-07 Mahmoud Salamati , Sadegh Soudjani , Rupak Majumdar

Oftentimes in practice, the observed process changes statistical properties at an unknown point in time and the duration of a change is substantially finite, in which case one says that the change is intermittent or transient. We provide an…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-11 Grigory Sokolov , Valentin S. Spivak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

The paper presents two results. The first one provides separate conditions for the upper and lower estimate of the distribution of the exit time from balls of a random walk on a weighted graph. The main result of the paper is that the lower…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-29 Andras Telcs

Motivated by applications to COVID dynamics, we describe a branching process in random environments model $\{Z_n\}$ whose characteristics change when crossing upper and lower thresholds. This introduces a cyclical path behavior involving…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Giacomo Francisci , Anand N. Vidyashankar

We show that under local detailed balance the expected entropy production rate is always bounded in terms of the dynamical activity. The activity refers to the time-symmetric contribution in the action functional for path-space…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-25 Christian Maes

This work is devoted to the almost sure stabilization of adaptive control systems that involve an unknown Markov chain. The control system displays continuous dynamics represented by differential equations and discrete events given by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-10 Bernard Bercu , Francois Dufour , G. George Yin

We consider triangular arrays of Markov chains that converge weakly to a diffusion process. Local limit theorems for transition densities are proved. The observation time [0,T] may be fixed or lim n T = 0, where nh = T and h is a mesh…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Valentin Konakov

Analyzing Event-Triggered Control's (ETC) sampling behaviour is of paramount importance, as it enables formal assessment of its sampling performance and prediction of its sampling patterns. In this work, we formally analyze the sampling…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-18 Giannis Delimpaltadakis , Luca Laurenti , Manuel Mazo

Understanding how local perturbations induce the transient dynamics of a network of coupled units is essential to control and operate such systems. Often a perturbation initiated in one unit spreads to other units whose dynamical state they…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-02 Malte Schröder , Xiaozhu Zhang , Justine Wolter , Marc Timme

Consider a Markov chain $\{X_n\}_{n\ge 0}$ with an ergodic probability measure $\pi$. Let $\Psi$ a function on the state space of the chain, with $\alpha$-tails with respect to $\pi$, $\alpha\in (0,2)$. We find sufficient conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-15 Milton Jara , Tomasz Komorowski , Stefano Olla