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We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

In this review, we discuss the applications of the theory of birth-and-death processes to problems in biology, primarily, those of evolutionary genomics. The mathematical principles of the theory of these processes are briefly described.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Artem S. Novozhilov , Georgy P. Karev , Eugene V. Koonin

Self-organisation of individuals within large collectives occurs throughout biology. Mathematical models can help elucidate the individual-level mechanisms behind these dynamics, but analytical tractability often comes at the cost of…

We investigate parameter estimation in subcritical continuous-time birth-and-death processes with multiple births. We show that the classical maximum likelihood estimators for the model parameters, based on the continuous observation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Sophie Hautphenne , Emma Horton

We consider a stochastic individual-based population model with competition, trait-structure affecting reproduction and survival, and changing environment. The changes of traits are described by jump processes, and the dynamics can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-17 Benoît Henry , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

Many population genetic models have been developed for the purpose of inferring population size and growth rates from random samples of genetic data. We examine two popular approaches to this problem, the coalescent and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-29 Erik M. Volz , Simon DW Frost

The paper studies the counting process arising as a subset of births and deaths in a birth--death process on a finite state space. Whenever a birth or death occurs, the process is incremented or not depending on the outcome of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Daryl. J. Daley , Yoni Nazarathy , Jiesen Wang

Random walks and related spatial stochastic models have been used in a range of application areas including animal and plant ecology, infectious disease epidemiology, developmental biology, wound healing, and oncology. Classical random walk…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-22 Michael J. Plank , Matthew J. Simpson , Ruth E. Baker

The interplay between space and evolution is an important issue in population dynamics, that is in particular crucial in the emergence of polymorphism and spatial patterns. Recently, biological studies suggest that invasion and evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Méléard

The asymptotic behavior of a stochastic network represented by a birth and death processes of particles on a compact state space is analyzed. Births: Particles are created at rate $\lambda_+$ and their location is independent of the current…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-12 Philippe Robert

This paper considers population processes in which general, not necessarily Markovian, multivariate Hawkes processes dictate the stochastic arrivals. We establish results to determine the corresponding time-dependent joint probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Raviar Karim , Roger J. A. Laeven , Michel Mandjes

We model two time and space scales discrete observations by using a unique continuous diffusion process with time dependent coefficient. We define new parameters for the large scale model as functions of the small scale distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-09 V. Calian , G. Stefansson , L. P. Folkow , A. S. Blix

We are interested in describing the infected size of the SIS Epidemic model using Birth-Death Markov process. The Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is defined within a population of constant size $M$; the size is kept constant by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-01 A. H. Nzokem

Classical age-structured mass-action models such as the McKendrick-von Foerster equation have been extensively studied but they are structurally unable to describe stochastic fluctuations or population-size-dependent birth and death rates.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-12 Chris D. Greenman , Tom Chou

We design a stochastic individual-based model structured in energy, for single species consuming an external resource, where populations are characterized by a typical energy at birth in $\mathbb{R}^{*}_{+}$. The resource is maintained at a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Sylvain Billiard , Virgile Brodu , Nicolas Champagnat , Coralie Fritsch

Human mobility is a key factor in spatial disease dynamics and related phenomena. In computational models host mobility is typically modelled by diffusion in space or on metapolulation networks. Alternatively, an effective force of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

Epidemic modelling on complex networks has been studied intensively all the time. The majority of relative research assumes that the time scale of the underlying network evolution is much larger compared to the propagation dynamics on it,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-14 Minyu Feng , Yuhan Li , Jürgen Kurths

In this paper the spatial-temporal dynamics of the members of interacting populations is described by nonlinear partial differential equations. We consider the migration as a diffusion process influenced by the changing values of the birth…

Exactly Solvable and Integrable Systems · Physics 2012-08-28 Ivan jordanov , Nikolay K. Vitanov , Elena Nikolova

We study the interplay of population growth and evolutionary dynamics using a stochastic model based on birth and death events. In contrast to the common assumption of an independent population size, evolution can be strongly affected by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-05 Jonas Cremer , Anna Melbinger , Erwin Frey

A feature of human creativity is the ability to take a subset of existing items (e.g. objects, ideas, or techniques) and combine them in various ways to give rise to new items, which, in turn, fuel further growth. Occasionally, some of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-21 Mike Steel , Wim Hordijk , Stuart A. Kauffman