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Accurate load forecasting is crucial for maintaining the power balance between generators and consumers,particularly with the increasing integration of renewable energy sources, which introduce significant intermittent volatility. With the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Mingyang Gao , Suyang Zhou , Wei Gu , Zhi Wu , Haiquan Liu , Aihua Zhou

We propose a neural network approach to produce probabilistic weather forecasts from a deterministic numerical weather prediction. Our approach is applied to operational surface temperature outputs from the Global Deterministic Prediction…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-07 David Landry , Anastase Charantonis , Claire Monteleoni

New residential neighborhoods are often supplied with heat via district heating systems (DHS). Improving the energy efficiency of a DHS is critical for increasing sustainability and satisfying user requirements. In this paper, we present…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-22 Francisco Souza , Thom Badings , Geert Postma , Jeroen Jansen

Estimating the temperature field of a building envelope could be a time-consuming task. The use of a reduced-order method is then proposed: the Proper Generalized Decomposition method. The solution of the transient heat equation is then…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Marie-Hélène Azam , Julien Berger , Sihem Guernouti , Philippe Poullain , Marjorie Musy

Although spatial prediction is widely used for urban and environmental monitoring, its accuracy is often unsatisfactory if only a small number of samples are available in the study area. The objective of this study was to improve the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-22 Daisuke Murakami , Mami Kajita , Seiji Kajita

In context of laser powder bed fusion (L-PBF), it is known that the properties of the final fabricated product highly depend on the temperature distribution and its gradient over the manufacturing plate. In this paper, we propose a novel…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Ashkan Mansouri Yarahmadi , Michael Breuß , Carsten Hartmann

Low voltage (LV) distribution transformers face accelerating demand growth while replacement lead times and costs continue to rise, making improved utilisation of existing assets essential. Static and conservative protection devices (PDs)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-13 Scott Angus , Jethro Browell , David Greenwood , Matthew Deakin

The building thermodynamics model, which predicts real-time indoor temperature changes under potential HVAC (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning) control operations, is crucial for optimizing HVAC control in buildings. While…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Yang Deng , Yaohui Liu , Rui Liang , Dafang Zhao , Donghua Xie , Ittetsu Taniguchi , Dan Wang

Modeling buildings' heat dynamics is a complex process which depends on various factors including weather, building thermal capacity, insulation preservation, and residents' behavior. Gray-box models offer a causal inference of those…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Nilavra Pathak , James Foulds , Nirmalya Roy , Nilanjan Banerjee , Ryan Robucci

Latent space models are popular for analyzing dynamic network data. We propose a variational approach to estimate the model parameters as well as the latent positions of the nodes in the network. The variational approach is much faster than…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-01 Yan Liu , Yuguo Chen

This study introduces a framework for quality control of measured weather data, including anomaly detection, and infilling missing values. Weather data is a fundamental input to building performance simulations, in which anomalous values…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-20 Maryam MeshkinKiya , Riccardo Paolini

Heatwaves are an important problem in cities, and climate change makes this problem more difficult. In this paper, we present a GPU-based deep learning framework for next-day prediction of urban thermal conditions and for heat risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Adis Alihodžić

Model predictive control of residential air conditioning could reduce energy costs and greenhouse gas emissions while maintaining or improving occupants' thermal comfort. However, most approaches to predictive air conditioning control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Elias N. Pergantis , Parveen Dhillon , Levi D. Reyes Premer , Alex H. Lee , Davide Ziviani , Kevin J. Kircher

Latent force models (LFM) are principled approaches to incorporating solutions to differential equations within non-parametric inference methods. Unfortunately, the development and application of LFMs can be inhibited by their computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-30 Steven Reece , Stephen Roberts , Siddhartha Ghosh , Alex Rogers , Nicholas Jennings

This paper presents a data-driven modeling approach for developing control-oriented thermal models of buildings. These models are developed with the objective of reducing energy consumption costs while controlling the indoor temperature of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-30 Gargya Gokhale , Bert Claessens , Chris Develder

In this paper, we assess and develop a climate service focused on the production of seasonal predictions for summer wildfires in a Mediterranean region through a participatory approach with end-users. We start by building a data-driven…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-05-06 Marco Turco , Raul Marcos-Matamoros , Xavier Castro , Esteve Canyameras , Maria Carmen Llasat

Thermal comfort is essential for well-being in urban spaces, especially as cities face increasing heat from urbanization and climate change. Existing thermal comfort models usually overlook temporal dynamics alongside spatial dependencies.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-19 Federico P. Cortese , Antonio Pievatolo

Effective utilization of flexible loads for grid services, while satisfying end-user preferences and constraints, requires an accurate estimation of the aggregated predictive flexibility offered by the electrical loads. Virtual battery (VB)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-20 Indrasis Chakraborty , Sai Pushpak Nandanoori , Soumya Kundu , Karanjit Kalsi

Demand-side response from space heating in residential buildings can potentially provide a huge amount of flexibility for the power system, particularly with deep electrification of the heat sector. In this context, this paper presents a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-22 Zihang Dong , Xi Zhang , Goran Strbac

Advanced control strategies for delivering heat to users in a district heating network have the potential to improve performance and reduce wasted energy. To enable the design of such controllers, this paper proposes an automated plant…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-15 Audrey Blizard , Stephanie Stockar
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