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The cutoff phenomenon was recently shown to systematically follow from non-negative curvature and the product condition, for all Markov diffusions. The proof crucially relied on a classical \emph{chain rule} satisfied by the carr\'e du…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-23 Francesco Pedrotti , Justin Salez

We obtain in this work a sharp estimate on the left tail of the distribution of the so-called derivative martingale in the $L^4$ phase, answering a conjecture by H. Lacoin, R. Rhodes & V. Vargas in the framework of the Gaussian branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-22 Benjamin Bonnefont , Vincent Vargas

We develop a martingale approximation approach to studying the limiting behavior of quadratic forms of Markov chains. We use the technique to examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series and we apply the results…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade , Matias D. Cattaneo

We consider a Markov jump process on a general state space to which we apply a time-dependent weak perturbation over a finite time interval. By martingale-based stochastic calculus, under a suitable exponential moment bound for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Alessandra Faggionato , Vittoria Silvestri

Let $(X_n)_{n\geq 0}$ be a Markov chain with values in a finite state space $\mathbb X$ starting at $X_0=x \in \mathbb X$ and let $f$ be a real function defined on $\mathbb X$. Set $S_n=\sum_{k=1}^{n} f(X_k)$, $n\geqslant 1$. For any $y \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Ion Grama , Ronan Lauvergnat , Emile Le Page

We focus on the existence and characterization of the limit for a certain critical branching random walks in time-space random environment in one dimension which was introduced by M. Birnkenr et.al. Each particle performs simple random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-28 Makoto Nakashima

We consider a continuous-time branching random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$ in a random non homogeneous environment. Particles can walk on the lattice points or disappear with random intensities. The process starts with one particle at initial time…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Vladimir Kutsenko , Stanislav Molchanov , Elena Yarovaya

The asymptotic normality of conditional least squares estimators for the offspring variance in critical branching processes with non-homogeneous immigration is established, under moment assumptions on both reproduction and immigration. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-07 Ibrahim Rahimov , George P. Yanev

We consider a subcritical branching process in an i.i.d. random environment, in which one immigrant arrives at each generation. We consider the event $% \mathcal{A}_{i}(n)$ that all individuals alive at time $n$ are offspring of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 E. E. Dyakonova , V. A. Vatutin

We consider a one dimensional sub-ballistic random walk evolving in a parametric i.i.d. random environment. We study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter based on a single observation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-13 Mikael Falconnet , Dasha Loukianova , Arnaud Gloter

The aim of this paper is to represent any continuous local martingale as an almost sure limit of a nested sequence of simple, symmetric random walks, time changed by a discrete quadratic variation process. One basis of this is a similar…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-10 Balazs Szekely , Tamas Szabados

Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in an independent and identically distributed random environment $\xi$. We study the asymptotic of the harmonic moments $\mathbb{E}\left[Z_n^{-r} | Z_0=k \right]$ of order $r>0$ as $n \to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu , Eric Miqueu

We consider a branching random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$ started by $n$ particles at the origin, where each particle disperses according to a mean-zero random walk with bounded support and reproduces with mean number of offspring $1+\theta/n$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Eyal Neuman , Xinghua Zheng

Consider a family of $\Delta$-latticed aperiodic random walks $\{S^{(a)},0\le a\le a_0\}$ with increments $X_i^{(a)}$ and non-positive drift $-a$. Suppose that $\sup_{a\le a_0}\mathbf{E}[(X^{(a)})^2]<\infty$ and $\sup_{a\le…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-01 Johannes Kugler

In this paper, we study critical and subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes, $\alpha \in (0, 2)$. We obtain the exact asymptotic behaviors of the tails of the maximal positions of all subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Haojie Hou , Yiyang Jiang , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

Consider a nearest-neighbor random walk with certain asymptotically zero drift on the positive half line. Let $M$ be the maximum of an excursion starting from $1$ and ending at $0.$ We study the distribution of $M$ and characterize its…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Hongyan Sun , Hua-Ming Wang

We consider branching processes for structured populations: each individual is characterized by a type or trait which belongs to a general measurable state space. We focus on the supercritical recurrent case, where the population may…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Vincent Bansaye , Tresnia Berah , Bertrand Cloez

Let (Zn) be a branching process with immigration in an independent and identically distributed random environment. Under necessary moment conditions, we show the exact convergence rate in the central limit theorem on logZn by using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-30 C. Huang , R. Zhang , Z. Gao

Consider a branching random walk, where the branching mechanism is governed by a Galton-Watson process, and the migration by a finite range symmetric irreducible random walk on the integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$. Let $Z_n(z)$ be the number…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Zhi-qiang Gao

Let $(X_n)_{n\ge 1}$ be a Markov chain on a measurable state space $X$, and let $S_n = \sum_{k=1}^n f(X_k)$ be the associated Markov walk. For $y>0$, denote by $\tau_y$ the first time at which $y+S_n$ becomes non-positive. Assuming that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Yunfan Zhao , Xiaojing Chen
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