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In this work, we develop an importance sampling estimator by coupling the reduced-order model and the generative model in a problem setting of uncertainty quantification. The target is to estimate the probability that the quantity of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-20 Xiaoliang Wan , Shuangqing Wei

Despite achieving excellent performance on benchmarks, deep neural networks often underperform in real-world deployment due to sensitivity to minor, often imperceptible shifts in input data, known as distributional shifts. These shifts are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Birk Torpmann-Hagen , Pål Halvorsen , Michael A. Riegler , Dag Johansen

Following the wide-spread adoption of machine learning models in real-world applications, the phenomenon of performativity, i.e. model-dependent shifts in the test distribution, becomes increasingly prevalent. Unfortunately, since models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Ivan Kirev , Lyuben Baltadzhiev , Nikola Konstantinov

We consider learning methods based on the regularization of a convex empirical risk by a squared Hilbertian norm, a setting that includes linear predictors and non-linear predictors through positive-definite kernels. In order to go beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Ulysse Marteau-Ferey , Dmitrii Ostrovskii , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

Bias in datasets can be very detrimental for appropriate statistical estimation. In response to this problem, importance weighting methods have been developed to match any biased distribution to its corresponding target unbiased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-12 Antoine de Mathelin , Francois Deheeger , Mathilde Mougeot , Nicolas Vayatis

Training models that perform well under distribution shifts is a central challenge in machine learning. In this paper, we introduce a modeling framework where, in addition to training data, we have partial structural knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Tobias Sutter , Andreas Krause , Daniel Kuhn

In this paper we consider the problem of Learning from Satisfying Assignments introduced by \cite{1} of finding a distribution that is a close approximation to the uniform distribution over the satisfying assignments of a low complexity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Manjish Pal. Subham Pokhriyal

Despite strong performance in many sequence-to-sequence tasks, autoregressive models trained with maximum likelihood estimation suffer from exposure bias, i.e. the discrepancy between the ground-truth prefixes used during training and the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Michalis Korakakis , Andreas Vlachos

Reweighting a distribution to minimize a distance to a target distribution is a powerful and flexible strategy for estimating a wide range of causal effects, but can be challenging in practice because optimal weights typically depend on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-16 Oscar Clivio , Avi Feller , Chris Holmes

Importance-weighted risk minimization is a key ingredient in many machine learning algorithms for causal inference, domain adaptation, class imbalance, and off-policy reinforcement learning. While the effect of importance weighting is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-17 Jonathon Byrd , Zachary C. Lipton

Importance sampling is widely used to improve the efficiency of deep neural network (DNN) training by reducing the variance of gradient estimators. However, efficiently assessing the variance reduction relative to uniform sampling remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Takuro Kutsuna

Several techniques exist to assess and reduce nonresponse bias, including propensity models, calibration methods, or post-stratification. These approaches can only be applied after the data collection, and assume reliable information…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-26 Blanka Szeitl , Tamás Rudas

Under distribution shift (DS) where the training data distribution differs from the test one, a powerful technique is importance weighting (IW) which handles DS in two separate steps: weight estimation (WE) estimates the test-over-training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Tongtong Fang , Nan Lu , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama

In this paper, we study the Empirical Risk Minimization problem in the non-interactive local model of differential privacy. In the case of constant or low dimensionality ($p\ll n$), we first show that if the ERM loss function is $(\infty,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-18 Di Wang , Marco Gaboardi , Jinhui Xu

Gibbs-ERM learning is a natural idealized model of learning with stochastic optimization algorithms (such as Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics and ---to some extent--- Stochastic Gradient Descent), while it also arises in other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-06 Ilja Kuzborskij , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , Csaba Szepesvári

In real-world applications, the distribution of the data, and our goals, evolve over time. The prevailing theoretical framework for studying machine learning, namely probably approximately correct (PAC) learning, largely ignores time. As a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-31 Ashwin De Silva , Rahul Ramesh , Rubing Yang , Siyu Yu , Joshua T Vogelstein , Pratik Chaudhari

Motivated by real-world situations found in high energy particle physics, we consider a generalisation of the likelihood-ratio estimation task to a quasiprobabilistic setting where probability densities can be negative. By extension, this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-15 Matthew Drnevich , Stephen Jiggins , Judith Katzy , Kyle Cranmer

Expected risk minimization (ERM) is at the core of many machine learning systems. This means that the risk inherent in a loss distribution is summarized using a single number - its average. In this paper, we propose a general approach to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Christian Fröhlich , Robert C. Williamson

We study Regularized Empirical Risk Minimizers (RERM) and minmax Median-Of-Means (MOM) estimators where the regularization function $\phi(\cdot)$ is an even convex function. We obtain bounds on the $L_2$-estimation error and the excess risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-16 Geoffrey Chinot

We derive a family of loss functions to train models in the presence of sampling bias. Examples are when the prevalence of a pathology differs from its sampling rate in the training dataset, or when a machine learning practioner rebalances…

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