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When the initial and transition probabilities of a finite Markov chain in discrete time are not well known, we should perform a sensitivity analysis. This can be done by considering as basic uncertainty models the so-called credal sets that…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-24 Gert de Cooman , Filip Hermans , Erik Quaeghebeur

In this paper, the development of a mathematical method is presented to explore spatially non-uniform phases with no long-range order in mathematical models of first order phase transitions. We use essential results regarding the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-08 Gyula I. Toth

Time irreversibility, which characterizes nonequilibrium processes, can be measured based on the probabilistic differences between symmetric vectors. To simplify the quantification of time irreversibility, symmetric permutations instead of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-20 Wenpo Yao , Jun Wang , Matjaz Perc , Wenli Yao , Jiafei Dai , Daqing Guo , Dezhong Yao

In this paper we consider the field of local times of a discrete-time Markov chain on a general state space, and obtain uniform (in time) upper bounds on the total variation distance between this field and the one of a sequence of $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Diego F. de Bernardini , Christophe Gallesco , Serguei Popov

We prove existence of (at most denumerable many) absolutely continuous invariant probability measures for random one-dimensional dynamical systems with asymptotic expansion. If the rate of expansion (Lyapunov exponents) is bounded away from…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-18 Vitor Araujo , Javier Solano

In this paper, we present new results on finite- and fixed-time convergence for dynamical systems using LaSalle-like invariance principles. In particular, we provide first and second-order non-smooth Lyapunov-like results for finite- and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Kunal Garg

A piecewise-deterministic Markov process, specified by random jumps and switching semi-flows, as well as the associated Markov chain given by its post-jump locations, are investigated in this paper. The existence of an exponentially…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic volatility (SV) modeling by utilizing nonparametric techniques that enhance our ability to capture the volatility of financial time series data, with a particular emphasis on the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yudong Feng , Ashis Gangopadhyay

We formalize and analyze the notions of stochastic monotonicity and realizable mono-tonicity for Markov Chains in continuous-time, taking values in a finite partially ordered set. Similarly to what happens in discrete-time, the two notions…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Paolo Dai Pra , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida Minelli

Focusing on stochastic systems arising in mean-field models, the systems under consideration belong to the class of switching diffusions, in which continuous dynamics and discrete events coexist and interact. The discrete events are modeled…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-18 Son L. Nguyen , George Yin , Tuan A. Hoang

We consider the invariant measure of a homogeneous continuous- time Markov process in the quarter-plane. The basic solutions of the global balance equation are the geometric distributions. We first show that the invariant measure can not be…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-25 Yanting Chen , Richard J. Boucherie , Jasper Goseling

We study the long-time behavior of almost periodic solutions to stochastic scalar conservation laws in any space dimension, under the assumption of Lipschitz continuity of the flux functions and a non-degeneracy condition. We show the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Claudia Espitia , Hermano Frid , Daniel Marroquin

In this paper we propose a new model for volatility fluctuations in financial time series. This model relies on a non-stationary gaussian process that exhibits aging behavior. It turns out that its properties, over any finite time interval,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-12 J. F. Muzy , R. Baile , E. Bacry

We show that the convergence of finite state space Markov chains to stationarity can often be considerably speeded up by alternating every step of the chain with a deterministic move. Under fairly general conditions, we show that not only…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-27 Sourav Chatterjee , Persi Diaconis

We propose a random adaptation variant of time-varying distributed averaging dynamics in discrete time. We show that this leads to novel interpretations of fundamental concepts in distributed averaging, opinion dynamics, and distributed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Rohit Parasnis , Ashwin Verma , Massimo Franceschetti , Behrouz Touri

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

We consider piecewise deterministic Markov processes with degenerate transition kernels of the "house-of-cards"-type. We use a splitting scheme based on jump times to prove the absolute continuity, as well as some regularity, of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-27 Eva Löcherbach

Markov chains arising from random iteration of functions $S_{\theta}:X\to X$, $\theta \in \Theta$, where $X$ is a Polish space and $\Theta$ is arbitrary set of indices are considerd. At $x\in X$, $\theta$ is sampled from distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-14 R. Kapica , M. Ślęczka

We identify the linear space spanned by the real-valued excessive functions of a Markov process with the set of those functions which are quasimartingales when we compose them with the process. Applications to semi-Dirichlet forms are…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-07 Iulian Cîmpean , Lucian Beznea

Building on recent results regarding symmetric probabilistic constructions of countable structures, we provide a method for constructing probability measures, concentrated on certain classes of countably infinite structures, that are…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Nathanael Ackerman , Cameron Freer , Jaroslav Nesetril , Rehana Patel