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Concentration inequalities are indispensable tools for studying the generalization capacity of learning models. Hoeffding's and McDiarmid's inequalities are commonly used, giving bounds independent of the data distribution. Although this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-21 Xinxing Wu , Junping Zhang

In this note we derive a sharp concentration inequality for the supremum of a smooth random field over a finite dimensional set. It is shown that this supremum can be bounded with high probability by the value of the field at some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-08 Denis Belomestny , Vladimir Spokoiny

We develop novel empirical Bernstein inequalities for the variance of bounded random variables. Our inequalities hold under constant conditional variance and mean, without further assumptions like independence or identical distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Aaditya Ramdas

We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Christoph H. Lampert , Liva Ralaivola , Alexander Zimin

A rank-invariant clustering of variables is introduced that is based on the predictive strength between groups of variables, i.e., two groups are assigned a high similarity if the variables in the first group contain high predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Sebastian Fuchs , Yuping Wang

We present a set of high-probability inequalities that control the concentration of weighted averages of multiple (possibly uncountably many) simultaneously evolving and interdependent martingales. Our results extend the PAC-Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-31 Yevgeny Seldin , François Laviolette , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , John Shawe-Taylor , Peter Auer

Variational inequalities have gained significant attention in machine learning and optimization research. While stochastic methods for solving these problems typically assume independent data sampling, we investigate an alternative approach…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Daniil Medyakov , Gleb Molodtsov , Grigoriy Evseev , Egor Petrov , Aleksandr Beznosikov

We extend Fano's inequality, which controls the average probability of events in terms of the average of some $f$--divergences, to work with arbitrary events (not necessarily forming a partition) and even with arbitrary $[0,1]$--valued…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Sebastien Gerchinovitz , Pierre Ménard , Gilles Stoltz

We introduce behavioral inequalities as a way to model dynamical systems defined by inequalities among their variables of interest. We claim that such a formulation enables the representation of safety-aware dynamical systems, systems with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-03 Soutrik Bandyopadhyay , Debasattam Pal , Shubhendu Bhasin

In this article, we review selective inference, a set of techniques for inference when the statistical question asked is a function of the data. This setting often arises in contemporary scientific workflows, where hypotheses and parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Anna Neufeld , Ronan Perry , Daniela Witten

We propose new concentration inequalities for self-normalized martingales. The main idea is to introduce a suitable weighted sum of the predictable quadratic variation and the total quadratic variation of the martingale. It offers much more…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Bernard Bercu , Taieb Touati

The goal of this article is two-fold: in a first part, we prove Azuma-Hoeffding type concentration inequalities around the drift for the displacement of non-elementary random walks on hyperbolic spaces. For a proper hyperbolic space $M$, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-07 Richard Aoun , Cagri Sert

The sample correlation coefficient $R$ plays an important role in many statistical analyses. We study the moments of $R$ under the bivariate Gaussian model assumption, provide a novel approximation for its finite sample mean and connect it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Daniel Salnikov

We derive concentration inequalities for sums of independent and identically distributed random variables that yield non-asymptotic generalizations of several strong laws of large numbers including some of those due to Kolmogorov [1930],…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Johannes Ruf , Ian Waudby-Smith

This paper establishes sharp dimension-free concentration and expectation bounds for the deviation of a sample cross-covariance matrix from its mean. For sub-Gaussian random vectors, we prove a high-probability operator-norm bound governed…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Jiaheng Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

Let $\mathbf{W}=(W_1,W_2,...,W_k)$ be a random vector with nonnegative coordinates having nonzero and finite variances. We prove concentration inequalities for $\mathbf{W}$ using size biased couplings that generalize the previous univariate…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Subhankar Ghosh , Umit Islak

Causal inference from observational data provides strong evidence for the best action in decision-making without performing expensive randomized trials. The effect of an action is usually not identifiable under unobserved confounding, even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Md Musfiqur Rahman , Ziwei Jiang , Hilaf Hasson , Murat Kocaoglu

The phenomenon of entropy concentration provides strong support for the maximum entropy method, MaxEnt, for inferring a probability vector from information in the form of constraints. Here we extend this phenomenon, in a discrete setting,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-11 Kostas N. Oikonomou

For a sequence of nonnegative random variables, we provide simple necessary and sufficient conditions to ensure that each sequence of its forward convex combinations converges in probability to the same limit. These conditions correspond to…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2011-02-04 Constantinos Kardaras , Gordan Zitkovic

One way to define the concentration of measure phenomenon is via Talagrand inequalities, also called transportation-information inequalities. That is, a comparison of the Wasserstein distance from the given measure to any other absolutely…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-28 Davar Khoshnevisan , Andrey Sarantsev