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This study develops a spatially varying coefficient model by extending the random effects eigenvector spatial filtering model. The developed model has the following properties: its coefficients are interpretable in terms of the Moran…

We present hierarchical Bayesian methodology to perform spatio-temporal change of support (COS) for survey data with Gaussian sampling errors. This methodology is motivated by the American Community Survey (ACS), which is an ongoing survey…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-25 Jonathan R. Bradley , Christopher K. Wikle , Scott H. Holan

Dynamical phenomena such as infectious diseases are often investigated by following up subjects longitudinally, thus generating time to event data. The spatial aspect of such data is also of primordial importance, as many infectious…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Ajmal Oodally , Estelle Kuhn , Klara Goethals , Luc Duchateau

To better understand effects of exposure to food allergens, food challenge studies are designed to slowly increase the dose of an allergen delivered to allergic individuals until an objective reaction occurs. These dose-to-failure studies…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-30 Matthew W. Wheeler , Joost Westerhout , Joe L. Baumert , Benjamin C. Remington

In longitudinal study, it is common that response and covariate are not measured at the same time, which complicates the analysis to a large extent. In this paper, we take into account the estimation of generalized varying coefficient model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-10 Rou Zhong , Chunming Zhang , Jingxiao Zhang

This paper presents a fast algorithm for estimating hidden states of Bayesian state space models. The algorithm is a variation of amortized simulation-based inference algorithms, where a large number of artificial datasets are generated at…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-14 Ramis Khabibullin , Sergei Seleznev

We consider a class of Cox models with time-dependent effects that may be zero over certain unknown time regions or, in short, sparse time-varying effects. The model is particularly useful for biomedical studies as it conveniently depicts…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-02 Yuan Yang , Jian Kang , Yi Li

We investigate spatial confounding in the presence of multivariate disease dependence. In the "analysis model perspective" of spatial confounding, adding a spatially dependent random effect can lead to significant variance inflation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-13 Kyle Lin Wu , Sudipto Banerjee

The population-attributable fraction (PAF) expresses the proportion of events that can be ascribed to a certain exposure in a certain population. It can be strongly time-dependent because either exposure incidence or excess risk may change…

This study proposes a method for aggregating/synthesizing global and local sub-models for fast and flexible spatial regression modeling. Eigenvector spatial filtering (ESF) was used to model spatially varying coefficients and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 Daisuke Murakami , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hajime Seya , Daniel A. Griffith

Multivariate spatially-oriented data sets are prevalent in the environmental and physical sciences. Scientists seek to jointly model multiple variables, each indexed by a spatial location, to capture any underlying spatial association for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-19 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee

We develop a Bayesian approach to estimate weight matrices in spatial autoregressive (or spatial lag) models. Datasets in regional economic literature are typically characterized by a limited number of time periods T relative to spatial…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-03 Tamás Krisztin , Philipp Piribauer

In the following short article we adapt a new and popular machine learning model for inference on medical data sets. Our method is based on the Variational AutoEncoder (VAE) framework that we adapt to survival analysis on small data sets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-06 Cédric Beaulac , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal , David Hodgson

Understanding the relationship between change in crime over time and the geography of urban areas is an important problem for urban planning. Accurate estimation of changing crime rates throughout a city would aid law enforcement as well as…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-21 Cecilia Balocchi , Shane T. Jensen

We present a new backfitting algorithm estimating the complex structured non-parametric survival model of Scheike (2001) without having to use smoothing. The considered model is a non-parametric survival model with two time-scales that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-03 Munir Hiabu , Jens P. Nielsen , Thomas H. Scheike

Estimation of individualized treatment effects (ITE), also known as conditional average treatment effects (CATE), is an active area of methodology development. However, much less attention has been paid to the quantification of uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Daijiro Kabata , Nicholas C. Henderson , Ravi Varadhan

Spatiotemporal data analysis with massive zeros is widely used in many areas such as epidemiology and public health. We use a Bayesian framework to fit zero-inflated negative binomial models and employ a set of latent variables from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-08 Qing He , Hsin-Hsiung Huang

Spatial count data models are used to explain and predict the frequency of phenomena such as traffic accidents in geographically distinct entities such as census tracts or road segments. These models are typically estimated using Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Prateek Bansal , Rico Krueger , Daniel J. Graham

Machine learning based traffic forecasting models leverage sophisticated spatiotemporal auto-correlations to provide accurate predictions of city-wide traffic states. However, existing methods assume a reliable and unbiased forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Fan Liu , Hao Liu , Wenzhao Jiang

Multivariate spatial disease mapping has become a pivotal part of everyday practice in social epidemiology. Despite the existence of several specifications for the relation between different outcomes, there is still a need for a new…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-30 P. Escobar-Hernández , A. López-Quílez , F. Palmí-Perales , M. Marco