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In this paper, we consider a general partially observed diffusion model with periodic coefficients and with non-degenerate diffusion component. The coefficients of such a model depend on an unknown (static and deterministic) parameter which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-27 Ibrahim Ekren , Sergey Nadtochiy

This paper presents a new parameter estimation method for It\^{o} diffusions such that the resulting model predicts the equilibrium statistics as well as the sensitivities of the underlying system to external disturbances. Our formulation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-24 John Harlim , Xiantao Li , He Zhang

Cosmic ray nuclei fluxes are expected to be measured with high precision in the near future. For instance, high quality data on the antiproton component could give important clues about the nature of the astronomical dark matter. A very…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 D. Maurin , F. Donato , R. Taillet , P. Salati

Within the calibration of material models, often the numerical results of a simulation model $y$ are compared with the experimental measurements $y^*$. Usually, the differences between measurements and simulation are minimized using least…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-08-14 Thomas Most

Many real-world systems modeled using partial differential equations (PDEs) involve unknown parameters that must be estimated from limited, noisy system observations. While typically assumed to be constants, some of these unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Andrea Arnold

The radiological characterization of contaminated elements (walls, grounds, objects) from nuclear facilities often suffers from a too small number of measurements. In order to determine risk prediction bounds on the level of contamination,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-30 Géraud Blatman , Thibault Delage , Bertrand Iooss , Nadia Pérot

Radio map estimation (RME) is the problem of inferring the value of a certain metric (e.g. signal power) across an area of interest given a collection of measurements. While most works tackle this problem from a purely non-Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-11 Tien Ngoc Ha , Daniel Romero

In this article we consider likelihood-based estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov (POMV) diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

We consider a system of particles undergoing correlated diffusion with elastic boundary conditions on the half-line. By taking the large particle limit we establish existence and uniqueness for the limiting empirical measure valued process…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Ben Hambly , Julian Meier , Andreas Sojmark

We propose a new semiparametric approach for modelling nonlinear univariate diffusions, where the observed process is a nonparametric transformation of an underlying parametric diffusion (UPD). This modelling strategy yields a general class…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-08 Ruijun Bu , Kaddour Hadri , Dennis Kristensen

Exposure assessment models are deterministic models derived from physical-chemical laws. In real workplace settings, chemical concentration measurements can be noisy and indirectly measured. In addition, inference on important parameters…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-09 Nada Abdalla , Sudipto Banerjee , Gurumurthy Ramachandran , Susan Arnold

The characteristic impedance and the propagation coefficient are among the most important parameters for evaluating the acoustic performance of porous materials. This work investigates the influence of cylindrical modes in an impermeable…

Classical Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Ziqi Chen , Ning Xiang

We develop a semiparametric Bayesian approach for estimating the mean response in a missing data model with binary outcomes and a nonparametrically modelled propensity score. Equivalently we estimate the causal effect of a treatment,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Kolyan Ray , Aad van der Vaart

We study the performance of nonparametric Bayes procedures for one-dimensional diffusions with periodic drift. We improve existing convergence rate results for Gaussian process (GP) priors with fixed hyper parameters. Moreover, we exhibit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-15 Jan van Waaij , Harry van Zanten

This paper explores the reconstruction of a space-dependent parameter in inverse diffusion problems, proposing a shape-optimization-based approach. We consider a Robin boundary condition, physically motivated in diffuse optical tomography…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Manabu Machida , Hirofumi Notsu , Julius Fergy Tiongson Rabago

The rapidly increasing complexity of (mainly wireless) ad-hoc networks stresses the need of reliable distributed estimation of several variables of interest. The widely used centralized approach, in which the network nodes communicate their…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-20 K. Dedecius , V. Sečkárová

We consider inference of the parameters of the diffusion term for Cox-Ingersoll-Ross and similar processes with a power type dependence of the diffusion coefficient from the underlying process. We suggest some original pathwise estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Nikolai Dokuchaev

The article addresses a long-standing open problem on the justification of using variational Bayes methods for parameter estimation. We provide general conditions for obtaining optimal risk bounds for point estimates acquired from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Yun Yang

We consider the problem of the Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion coefficient functions in a stochastic differential equation given discrete observations of a realisation of its solution. We give conditions for the well-posedness and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Jean-Charles Croix , Masoumeh Dashti , Istvàn Zoltàn Kiss

Particle filtering is a Bayesian inference method and a fundamental tool in state estimation for dynamic systems, but its effectiveness is often limited by the constraints of the initial prior distribution, a phenomenon we define as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-31 Yiwei Shi , Jingyu Hu , Yu Zhang , Mengyue Yang , Weinan Zhang , Cunjia Liu , Weiru Liu