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We consider the problem of fitting a parametric model to time-series data that are afflicted by correlated noise. The noise is represented by a sum of two stationary Gaussian processes: one that is uncorrelated in time, and another that has…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 Joshua A. Carter , Joshua N. Winn

This paper introduces a data-adaptive non-parametric approach for the estimation of time-varying spectral densities from nonstationary time series. Time-varying spectral densities are commonly estimated by local kernel smoothing. The…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-21 Anne van Delft , Michael Eichler

Wavelets provide the flexibility to analyse stochastic processes at different scales. Here, we apply them to multivariate point processes as a means of detecting and analysing unknown non-stationarity, both within and across data streams.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Edward A. K. Cohen , Alexander J. Gibberd

Graphs are a central tool in machine learning and information processing as they allow to conveniently capture the structure of complex datasets. In this context, it is of high importance to develop flexible models of signals defined over…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-05-24 Nathanaël Perraudin , Pierre Vandergheynst

Within the neurosciences, to observe variability across time in the dynamics of an underlying brain process is neither new nor unexpected. Wavelets are essential in analyzing brain signals because, even within a single trial, brain signals…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Jonathan Embleton , Marina I. Knight , Hernando Ombao

This paper introduces a novel model-free approach to synthesize virtual sensors for the estimation of dynamical quantities that are unmeasurable at runtime but are available for design purposes on test benches. After collecting a dataset of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-24 Daniele Masti , Daniele Bernardini , Alberto Bemporad

We present an extension of local sensitivity analysis, also referred to as the perturbation approach for uncertainty quantification, to Bayesian inverse problems. More precisely, we show how moments of random variables with respect to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Jürgen Dölz , David Ebert

In audio signal processing, probabilistic time-frequency models have many benefits over their non-probabilistic counterparts. They adapt to the incoming signal, quantify uncertainty, and measure correlation between the signal's amplitude…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-13 William J. Wilkinson , Michael Riis Andersen , Joshua D. Reiss , Dan Stowell , Arno Solin

Longitudinal data are important in numerous fields, such as healthcare, sociology and seismology, but real-world datasets present notable challenges for practitioners because they can be high-dimensional, contain structured missingness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Maksim Sinelnikov , Manuel Haussmann , Harri Lähdesmäki

We consider an approach to the analysis of nonstationary processes based on the application of wavelet basis sets constructed using segments of the analyzed time series. The proposed method is applied to the analysis of time series…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-26 V. A. Gusev , A. E. Hramov , A. A. Koronovskii

An emerging way of tackling the dimensionality issues arising in the modeling of a multivariate process is to assume that the inherent data structure can be captured by a graph. Nevertheless, though state-of-the-art graph-based methods have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-13 Andreas Loukas , Nathanael Perraudin

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the modes of an observed non-stationary mixture signal in the presence of an arbitrary distributed noise. A novel Bayesian model is introduced to estimate the model parameters from the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-31 Quentin Legros , Dominique Fourer , Sylvain Meignen , Marcelo A. Colominas

Stationary time series models built from parametric distributions are, in general, limited in scope due to the assumptions imposed on the residual distribution and autoregression relationship. We present a modeling approach for univariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-04 Maria DeYoreo , Athanasios Kottas

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

This work develops a Bayesian non-parametric approach to signal separation where the signals may vary according to latent variables. Our key contribution is to augment Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models (GPLVMs) for the case where each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-20 James Odgers , Ruby Sedgwick , Chrysoula Kappatou , Ruth Misener , Sarah Filippi

For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time series model can be difficult with sample-based approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-08 Taylor R. Brown

The estimation of parameters in the frequency spectrum of a seasonally persistent stationary stochastic process is addressed. For seasonal persistence associated with a pole in the spectrum located away from frequency zero, a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-09-04 Emma J. McCoy , Sofia C. Olhede , David A. Stephens

In time series classification and regression, signals are typically mapped into some intermediate representation used for constructing models. Since the underlying task is often insensitive to time shifts, these representations are required…

Sound · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Joakim Andén , Vincent Lostanlen , Stéphane Mallat

The continuous wavelet transform (CWT) is a linear time-frequency representation and a powerful tool for analyzing non-stationary signals. The synchrosqueezing transform (SST) is a special type of the reassignment method which not only…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-27 Lin Li , Haiyan Cai , Qingtang Jiang

Many studies of biomedical time series signals aim to measure the association between frequency-domain properties of time series and clinical and behavioral covariates. However, the time-varying dynamics of these associations are largely…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-05 Scott A. Bruce , Martica H. Hall , Daniel J. Buysse , Robert T. Krafty