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Outbreaks are complex multi-scale processes that are impacted not only by cellular dynamics and the ability of pathogens to effectively reproduce and spread, but also by population-level dynamics and the effectiveness of mitigation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-29 Hosein Masoomy , Tom Chou , Lucas Böttcher

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

We study the relative importance of two key control measures for epidemic spreading: endogenous social self-distancing and exogenous imposed quarantine. We use the framework of adaptive networks, moment-closure, and ordinary differential…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-22 Leonhard Horstmeyer , Christian Kuehn , Stefan Thurner

The frequent emergence of diseases with the potential to become threats at local and global scales, such as influenza A(H1N1), SARS, MERS, and recently COVID-19 disease, makes it crucial to keep designing models of disease propagation and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-27 I. A. Perez , M. A. Di Muro , C. E. La Rocca , L. A. Braunstein

It is critical to understand and model the behavior of individuals in a pandemic, as well as identify effective ways to guide people's behavior in order to better control the epidemic spread. However, current research fails to account for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-09-01 Wenxiang Dong , H. Vicky Zhao

A key challenge in responding to public health crises such as COVID-19 is the difficulty of predicting the results of feedback interconnections between the disease and society. As a step towards understanding these interconnections, we pose…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-29 Philip N. Brown , Brandon Collins , Colton Hill , Gia Barboza , Lisa Hines

The success of a vaccination program is crucially dependent on its adoption by a critical fraction of the population, as the resulting herd immunity prevents future outbreaks of an epidemic. However, the effectiveness of a campaign can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-07-02 Anupama Sharma , Shakti N. Menon , V. Sasidevan , Sitabhra Sinha

Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig

Human diseases spread over networks of contacts between individuals and a substantial body of recent research has focused on the dynamics of the spreading process. Here we examine a model of two competing diseases spreading over the same…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-19 Brian Karrer , M. E. J. Newman

We review and introduce a generalized reaction-diffusion approach to epidemic spreading in a metapopulation modeled as a complex network. The metapopulation consists of susceptible and infected individuals that are grouped in subpopulations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Halvor Lund , Ludvig Lizana , Ingve Simonsen

Modelling epidemics via classical population-based models suffers from shortcomings that so-called individual-based models are able to overcome, as they are able to take heterogeneity features into account, such as super-spreaders, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-16 C. Courtès , E. Franck , K. Lutz , L. Navoret , Y. Privat

In this paper, we study the dynamics of epidemic processes taking place in temporal and adaptive networks. Building on the activity-driven network model, we propose an adaptive model of epidemic processes, where the network topology…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado , Naoki Masuda

We propose an efficient strategy to suppress epidemic explosion in heterogeneous metapopulation networks, wherein each node represents a subpopulation with any number of individuals and is assigned a curing rate that is proportional to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-02-15 Chuansheng Shen , Hanshuang Chen , Zhonghuai Hou

This study is concerned with the dynamical behaviors of epidemic spreading over a two-layered interconnected network. Three models in different levels are proposed to describe cooperative spreading processes over the interconnected network,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-15 Xiang Wei , Xiaoqun Wu , Shihua Chen , Jun-an Lu , Guanrong Chen

This paper studies the SI1SI2S spreading model of two competing behaviors over a bilayer network. We address the problem of determining resource allocation strategies which design a spreading network so as to ensure the extinction of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-17 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , Victor M. Preciado , George J. Pappas

Epidemic spread in single-host systems strongly depends on the population's contact network. However, little is known regarding the spread of epidemics across networks representing populations of multiple hosts. We explored cross-species…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-06 Shai Pilosof , Gili Greenbaum , Boris R. Krasnov , Yuval R. Zelnik

Spreading dynamics of information and diseases are usually analyzed by using a unified framework and analogous models. In this paper, we propose a model to emphasize the essential difference between information spreading and epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-28 Linyuan Lü , Duan-Bing Chen , Tao Zhou

The outbreak of an infectious disease in a human population can lead to individuals responding with preventive measures in an attempt to avoid getting infected. This leads to changes in contact patterns. However, as we show in this paper,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-15 Ka Yin Leung , Frank Ball , David Sirl , Tom Britton

Motivated by the importance of individual differences in risk perception and behavior change in people's responses to infectious disease outbreaks (particularly the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic), we propose a heterogeneous…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-04 Yang Ye , Qingpeng Zhang , Zhongyuan Ruan , Zhidong Cao , Qi Xuan , Daniel Dajun Zeng

We study epidemic spreading processes in large networks, when the spread is assisted by a small number of external agents: infection sources with bounded spreading power, but whose movement is unrestricted vis-\`a-vis the underlying network…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-04-15 Siddhartha Banerjee , Aditya Gopalan , Abhik Kumar Das , Sanjay Shakkottai
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