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We introduce a distributed, cooperative framework and method for Bayesian estimation and control in decentralized agent networks. Our framework combines joint estimation of time-varying global and local states with information-seeking…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-09-24 Florian Meyer , Henk Wymeersch , Markus Fröhle , Franz Hlawatsch

Stochastic models of biochemical reaction networks are widely used to capture intrinsic noise in cellular systems. The typical formulation of these models are based on Markov processes for which there is extensive research on efficient…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-03 Thomas P. Steele , David J. Warne

We develop a stochastic epidemic model progressing over dynamic networks, where infection rates are heterogeneous and may vary with individual-level covariates. The joint dynamics are modeled as a continuous-time Markov chain such that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-16 Fan Bu , Allison E. Aiello , Alexander Volfovsky , Jason Xu

Transposable data represents interactions among two sets of entities, and are typically represented as a matrix containing the known interaction values. Additional side information may consist of feature vectors specific to entities…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-29 Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Cheng Lee , Joydeep Ghosh

Tensors have found application in a variety of fields, ranging from chemometrics to signal processing and beyond. In this paper, we consider the problem of multilinear modeling of sparse count data. Our goal is to develop a descriptive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-09-16 Eric C. Chi , Tamara G. Kolda

The Poisson distribution is the default choice of likelihood for probabilistic models of count data. However, due to the equidispersion contraint of the Poisson, such models may have predictive uncertainty that is artificially inflated.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Jimmy Lederman , Aaron Schein

Many properties of perceptual decision making are well-modeled by deep neural networks. However, such architectures typically treat decisions as instantaneous readouts, overlooking the temporal dynamics of the decision process. We present…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-25 Hayden R. Johnson , Anastasia N. Krouglova , Hadi Vafaii , Jacob L. Yates , Pedro J. Gonçalves

High-order interaction events are common in real-world applications. Learning embeddings that encode the complex relationships of the participants from these events is of great importance in knowledge mining and predictive tasks. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-11 Zheng Wang , Yiming Xu , Conor Tillinghast , Shibo Li , Akil Narayan , Shandian Zhe

We propose a latent self-exciting point process model that describes geographically distributed interactions between pairs of entities. In contrast to most existing approaches that assume fully observable interactions, here we consider a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-05-02 Yoon-Sik Cho , Aram Galstyan , P. Jeffrey Brantingham , George Tita

Temporal sequences of discrete events that describe natural and social processes are often driven by non-Poisson dynamics. In addition to a heavy-tailed interevent time distribution, which primarily captures the deviation from a Poisson…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-08 Takayuki Hiraoka , Hang-Hyun Jo

Many microbes associate with higher eukaryotes and impact their vitality. In order to engineer microbiomes for host benefit, we must understand the rules of community assembly and maintenence, which in large part, demands an understanding…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-02 Surojit Biswas , Meredith McDonald , Derek S. Lundberg , Jeffery L. Dangl , Vladimir Jojic

Discrete biomarkers derived as cell densities or counts from tissue microarrays and immunostaining are widely used to study immune signatures in relation to survival outcomes in cancer. Although routinely collected, these signatures are not…

Newsroom in online ecosystem is difficult to untangle. With prevalence of social media, interactions between journalists and individuals become visible, but lack of understanding to inner processing of information feedback loop in public…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Pau Perng-Hwa Kung

We introduce a new dynamical system for sequentially observed multivariate count data. This model is based on the gamma--Poisson construction---a natural choice for count data---and relies on a novel Bayesian nonparametric prior that ties…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-23 Aaron Schein , Mingyuan Zhou , Hanna Wallach

We introduce Bayesian Poisson Tucker decomposition (BPTD) for modeling country--country interaction event data. These data consist of interaction events of the form "country $i$ took action $a$ toward country $j$ at time $t$." BPTD…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-07 Aaron Schein , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei , Hanna Wallach

We present the first framework for Gaussian-process-modulated Poisson processes when the temporal data appear in the form of panel counts. Panel count data frequently arise when experimental subjects are observed only at discrete time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Hongyi Ding , Young Lee , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

Finding interactions between variables in large and high-dimensional datasets is often a serious computational challenge. Most approaches build up interaction sets incrementally, adding variables in a greedy fashion. The drawback is that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-27 Rajen Dinesh Shah , Nicolai Meinshausen

The Markov-modulated Poisson process is utilised for count modelling in a variety of areas such as queueing, reliability, network and insurance claims analysis. In this paper, we extend the Markov-modulated Poisson process framework through…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-06 Benjamin Avanzi , Greg Taylor , Bernard Wong , Alan Xian

Bayesian networks are powerful statistical models to study the probabilistic relationships among set random variables with major applications in disease modeling and prediction. Here, we propose a continuous time Bayesian network with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Syed Hasib Akhter Faruqui , Adel Alaeddini , Jing Wang , Carlos A. Jaramillo

Deep learning (DL) has recently drawn much attention in image analysis, natural language process, and high-dimensional medical data analysis. Under the causal direct acyclic graph (DAG) interpretation, the input variables without incoming…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-22 Jong-Hyeon Jeong , Yichen Jia
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